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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Fox's **12/6 Picks and Analysis**
Jfox6546 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Top Bet |
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#1
Posted: 12/5/2012 5:32:45 PM
NFL/NCAAF: +51,200 (+102.4u) 125-76-2 (62%) ATS/Totals

NBA YTD: -1,890 (-3.78u) 47-48-5 (49%) ATS/Totals

NCAAB YTD: 
 +2,080(+4.13u) 15-9 (64%) ATS/Totals

1unit= $500
Max Bet = $2000

Week 11/13-11/19:  +13,090   30-16-1 ATS 

Week 11/20-11/26:  +2,550   25-20-2 ATS

Week 11/27-12/3 +8,970   18-11-1 ATS 

Week 12/4-12/10:   +1000   2-0 ATS
Pending 12/5 Picks
10-3 Last 2 weeks in the NFL. Posting early for the TNF game. I will add any additional plays for 12/6 in this thread. BOL! 

$500 Denver Broncos -10
I know the overall trends are against me here, but sometimes you just have to consider the game at hand and not worry about the trends. IMO this is the case in this game. The Raiders are a bad team, and they have been bad both away and at home. The Broncos are one of the hottest teams in football. They have a top qb in Manning and one of the best defenses in the league. McFadden hasn't done anything all year and I expect that to continue, that's if he even plays. The Raiders offensive line is horrible, and the play calling doesn't help. The Raiders get pass happy because they know they can't run block well enough, and this ends up in sacks and int for Palmer. Palmer doesn't have any weapons at wr either that he can trust to go and get the ball. 

The Bronocs defense had their way with the Raiders earlier this year and the same will happen this time around. Peyton Manning will also have his way with this terrible Raiders defense. A 300 plus yard and 2 TD perforance from Manning is almost guaranteed. The Broncos will be able to run the ball a lot easier than in previous weeks, ( The Bucs and even Chiefs are good against the run) and have a balanced attack, which will make it even easier for Peyton and company. The Raiders also have some injuries on a defense that was already very bad. I'm a Raiders fan and I fully expect the Broncos to dominate this game from start to finish. Manning will have his team motivated and remind him what can happen if they don't come out fast, like what happened against the Cheifs. The only way I don't see a cover is by a late back door from the Raiders, and even then it will prolly be a push at 10. The 10 point line prevents me from putting more than a unit on this play. Broncos win 34-17
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#2
Posted: 12/5/2012 5:52:30 PM
not a bad prediction... i like a teaser now
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#3
Posted: 12/5/2012 6:12:11 PM
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#4
Posted: 12/5/2012 10:46:30 PM
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#5
Posted: 12/5/2012 11:16:18 PM
Always enjoy reading your threads....Thanks!
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#6
Posted: 12/5/2012 11:52:49 PM
I took a dive last week  Good luck this week 
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#7
Posted: 12/6/2012 12:50:51 AM

BOL this week

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#8
Posted: 12/6/2012 1:23:24 AM
I haven't locked it in yet but most likely I'll be on the other side.
BOL JFox



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#9
Posted: 12/6/2012 1:44:38 AM

THANX FOR TAKING YOUR TIME TO EXPLAIN UR PICKS,FOR A NEWBIE LIKE ME ITS VERY RESOURCEFUL!!!BOL JFOX

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#10
Posted: 12/6/2012 2:25:27 AM
Always look forward for your picks and reasons!! 
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#11
Posted: 12/6/2012 3:34:07 AM
Good luck mate and may the odds be ever in your favour!
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#12
Posted: 12/6/2012 5:48:27 AM
bol fox I too am loving denver tonight. Lets get it back I had the t-wolves last night and I know you can't hit them all nobody can. I feel Mannning is going to tear them apart tonight
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#13
Posted: 12/6/2012 6:33:36 AM
Good luck, nice run hope you continue 

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#14
Posted: 12/6/2012 9:36:44 AM
fOXY- remember my your and my rul about double digit favs in the NFL, just saying my man- bol to you on this fine day - DARK
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#15
Posted: 12/6/2012 1:14:34 PM
With you on Denver! They may start slow but think they will pull away in the 2nd half.

GL to us!!!
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#16
Posted: 12/6/2012 1:24:59 PM
I'm pretty heavy on the Under, you liking the over in this game?
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#17
Posted: 12/6/2012 1:53:33 PM
Thx everyone! 

Dark - I heat ya bro, this is one of those rare times I'm willing to lay DD on the road. I think the situation warrants it.

BigBaller- I think the over/under will be very close sir. Within 3 points either way. 
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#18
Posted: 12/6/2012 1:55:26 PM

tough gme to cap.JFOX if this gme was on sunday card would you pass on it ? MY point being w sat nfl and bowl season upon us ,i find myself playn gmes i might normally pass on , do you have the same dilemma?  thxs again for your insight DK

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#19
Posted: 12/6/2012 2:07:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by arubadk:

tough gme to cap.JFOX if this gme was on sunday card would you pass on it ? MY point being w sat nfl and bowl season upon us ,i find myself playn gmes i might normally pass on , do you have the same dilemma?  thxs again for your insight DK


I may pass on it because I'm laying DD on the road, but i still like the play and I like betting on primetime games. IMO I really didn't find this hard to cap. The Raiders are just a bad team, I have them dead last in the NFL right now in terms of a betting aspect. The Broncos are Top 3 team in a betting aspect for me. And I have them winning by 17 like I stated above. If I wasn't  confident enough on the side tho I wouldn't bet it period. 

Also, yes, sometimes you may bet games you normally wouldn't but this doesn't always mean its not a game you can't find an edge on. Certain people like certain situations, and by capping games you normally wouldn't, it  will help you gain valuable knowledge and experience in the long run. So even if you lose on a game you weren't quite as confident in, it may help you win 5 more down the road. It's all about gaining knowledge, experience, and being patient. That's how you make $$. Hope that helps bro! 
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#20
Posted: 12/6/2012 2:18:22 PM
Thanks fox i ve just had a bad run this year ,sometimes  ya gotta say what the heck trust yer insticts and go!  GOOD LUCK TONITE  GO BRONCOS
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#21
Posted: 12/6/2012 2:49:07 PM
Best of Luck
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#22
Posted: 12/6/2012 3:26:28 PM
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#23
Posted: 12/6/2012 3:34:54 PM
ON 1H -6-
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#24
Posted: 12/6/2012 3:47:49 PM
  BRONCOS!!
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#25
Posted: 12/6/2012 4:03:13 PM
Good Luck Tonight.....
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