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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: - Week 11 - Plays of the week
FadeThisXen send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
FadeThisXen
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#1
Posted: 11/16/2012 12:45:54 AM
I'm 4-0 since Monday Night Football and Thursday Night Football.

Hit these 2 two-team parlays in the last week:
Kansas City Chiefs+14, Under 40 (1 unit bet, +2.5 units)
Buffalo Bills -1.5, Under 45 (1 unit bet, +2.5 units)

Here are my plays for Sunday:

Individual plays:
Denver Broncos -7.5 (1 unit), Under 48 (1 unit)
New Orleans Saints -5.5 (1 unit)
Arizona Cardinals +10 (.5 unit)
Cleveland Browns +8 (.5 unit)
St. Louis Rams -3.5 (.5 unit)

3 Team Teaser:
Denver Broncos -2, New Orleans Saints pick, New England Patriots -3 (1 unit)

I'll post a write up afterwards.  This is where I stand right now.  I have some leans that I'll probably post a bit later, with reasoning.  Best of Luck all!
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#2
Posted: 11/16/2012 1:44:40 AM
Denver Broncos -7.5 (1 unit), Under 48 (1 unit)
Broncos at home, coming off two road wins.  Broncos are an elite team looking to clinch the division.  Broncos are playing very well and they should continue to do so for this game.  I expect they'll take a strong lead early and play ball control.  They're playing against a Chargers team that just lost a disappointing road game vs Tampa Bay.  I have a feeling that the Chargers come out flat, but finish strong.  Calling this game Denver Broncos 26-17.

New Orleans Saints -5.5 (1 unit)
Same case for the Saints, Drew Brees is leading an elite offense as usual and their defense is starting to click under new defensive coordinator Spagnoulo.  This Oakland team is reeling after two consecutive blow outs.  Raiders are also facing some key injuries on both sides of the ball.  Calling this game for the Saints 34-20.

Arizona Cardinals +10 (.5 unit)
Cardinals offense is due to show up in a big game and I think this is the week for Skelton and Fitzgerald to do well.  Falcons are way over-rated and play better on the road than at home.  Cardinals defense is elite as well and I'm smelling upset, Cardinals 21-20.

Cleveland Browns +8 (.5 unit)
Browns are extremely under-rated and have been in every game this season thanks to decent, but unspectacular plays on both sides of the ball.  Dallas on the other hand, definitely has a talent advantage, but they lack both focus and discipline to bring it every week.  I just don't trust the Cowboys and Jason Garrett is terrible as a head coach.  Dallas may win this, but it'll be closer than many expect.  Dallas wins 23-21.

St. Louis Rams -3.5 (.5 unit)
Rams are playing pretty decent, almost winning on the road vs the 49ers.  I think this a young team, that continues to progress from week to week.  Sure there's going to be ups and downs, but Rams are on the right track under new head coach Jeff Fisher.  The Jets are almost the polar opposite.  This team has serious drama and looks like it's lost.  Head coach Rex Ryan is indeed in charge of a circus.  Jets definitely have players on defense, but that team is a train wreck in terms of cohesiveness.  Sanchez is, at best, a mediocre NFL quarterback at this stage in his career.  Rams win this, 23-13
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#3
Posted: 11/16/2012 10:43:37 PM
Here's my card, I went apeshit.

5 Team Teaser #272285524

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread

(415) Arizona Cardinals +16 Nov 18/12@08:00a

Competitor: (416) Atlanta Falcons

Teased 6.0 points

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread

(414) Detroit Lions +9½ Nov 18/12@08:00a

Competitor: (413) Green Bay Packers

Teased 6.0 points

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread

(417) Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4 Nov 18/12@08:00a

Competitor: (418) Carolina Panthers

Teased 6.0 points

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread

(419) Cleveland Browns +14 Nov 18/12@08:00a

Competitor: (420) Dallas Cowboys

Teased 6.0 points

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread

(422) St. Louis Rams +2½ Nov 18/12@08:00a

Competitor: (421) New York Jets

Teased 6.0 points



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LasVegasLord
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#4
Posted: 11/16/2012 10:45:56 PM
Good job man last week.  Best of Luck this week. 
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#5
Posted: 11/17/2012 2:07:36 PM
Thanks LVL, BOL to you as well.
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#6
Posted: 11/17/2012 4:13:54 PM
Best of luck everyone! Tampa Bay -2, going big as possible.
Posted using a mobile device.
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#7
Posted: 11/18/2012 4:57:48 PM
Denver Broncos -7.5 (1 unit) pending, Under 48 (1 unit) pending
New Orleans Saints -5.5 (1 unit) pending
Arizona Cardinals +10 (.5 unit)
Cleveland Browns +8 (.5 unit)
St. Louis Rams -3.5 (.5 unit)
Tampa Bay -2 (3 units)

3 Team Teaser:
Denver Broncos -2, New Orleans Saints pick, New England Patriots -3 (1 unit) pending

5 Team Teaser:
Arizona Cardinals +16, Detroit Lions +9.5, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4, Cleveland Browns +14, St. Louis Rams +2.5 (1 unit)

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#8
Posted: 11/18/2012 7:43:46 PM
Sunday Night Football -

Pittsburgh Moneyline (3 units)

I'm leaning over, probably wait until the last 10-15 minutes before I make a play on the total.
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#9
Posted: 11/18/2012 7:53:18 PM
I hit 4 individual plays, lost on 3.
I hit my 3 team teaser, but lost my 5 team teaser.  Feeling really down after Broncos let them get that garbage TD and blew the under and the cover.  Just disappointing.

Denver Broncos -7.5 (1 unit) , Under 48 (1 unit)
New Orleans Saints -5.5 (1 unit)
Arizona Cardinals +10 (.5 unit)
Cleveland Browns +8 (.5 unit)
St. Louis Rams -3.5 (.5 unit)
Tampa Bay -2 (3 units)

3 Team Teaser:
Denver Broncos -2, New Orleans Saints pick, New England Patriots -3 (1 unit) pending

5 Team Teaser:
Arizona Cardinals +16, Detroit Lions +9.5, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4, Cleveland Browns +14, St. Louis Rams +2.5 (1 unit)
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#10
Posted: 11/18/2012 7:55:30 PM

2 Team Parlay #272930926 - .75 units

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Moneyline

(434) Pittsburgh Steelers +145 Nov 18/12@03:30p

Competitor: (433) Baltimore Ravens

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total

(433) Baltimore Ravens vs. (434) Pittsburgh Steelers

Over 41 (-105) Nov 18/12@03:30p


Single #272930925 - 1.5 units

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Moneyline

(434) Pittsburgh Steelers +145 Nov 18/12@03:30p

Competitor: (433) Baltimore Ravens


I have faith in Pitt @ Home.

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#11
Posted: 11/18/2012 8:00:10 PM
All together this week I'm 2-0 TNF and 4-3 for Sunday.  Sunday night I have Pittsburgh moneyline and the over.  I'm feeling excited guys!  BOL!
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#12
Posted: 11/18/2012 9:10:56 PM
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#13
Posted: 11/18/2012 9:57:31 PM
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#14
Posted: 11/19/2012 3:59:13 AM
Pitt moneyline
Over
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#15
Posted: 11/19/2012 2:59:35 PM

2 Team Parlay #273005430 (2 units)

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread

NFL WEEK 11

(436) San Francisco 49ers -3½ (-105) Nov 19/12@03:40p

Competitor: (435) Chicago Bears

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total

NFL WEEK 11

(435) Chicago Bears vs. (436) San Francisco 49ers

Over 34 (-105) Nov 19/12@03:40p

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