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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: NFL Week 11 : Sunday
SettleDownSpaz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 11/16/2012 12:03:31 AM

Overall: 63-39-3 +317.12 units

Went heavy on the Dolphins tonight and lost, but rather than cry in the corner over spilled milk, I'd rather channel the frustration of watching that thing they call the Miami offense into getting after some profit on Sunday.. 

This week for me is all about the dogs.  Not to say they sweep the board, but instead of people's normal routine of flipping a coin for winners, I'd recommend just taking the dogs.  I haven't really dug in too deeply, so I imagine I will end up with some favorites on my card, but doubt more than a few.  General theme I'm seeing is dogs and unders, but I need to dive in fully on this card and narrow down the leans.

Philadelphia Eagles +3 and ML

Detroit Lions +3.5 and ML

Carolina Panthers ML (ugh, again?)

New York Jets +3.5 and ML

Oakland Raiders +4.5 and ML

San Diego Chargers +7.5 and ML

Dallas Cowboys -7.5

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#2
Posted: 11/16/2012 12:50:42 AM
Really would like to know what you see in NY? Ugh, played stl earlier in the week
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#3
Posted: 11/16/2012 12:54:08 AM
Good luck this week. Really like Dallas too. Looking at their schedule and the Giants down the stretch, they have just as much chance to win the division as the Giants. Should be motivated to roll a much weaker Browns team.
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#4
Posted: 11/16/2012 2:38:57 AM
I like the Raiders, Spazzer.  A lot.    
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thx4thecookies
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#5
Posted: 11/16/2012 3:27:36 AM
Wow, on the other side on every bet
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#6
Posted: 11/16/2012 3:34:14 AM
I dunno about pure underdogs this week. Was definitely underdog last week but the lines and situations were right for it. The lines favor the favorites this week a bit more. I see maybe 3 winners in there? but I'll look like a jack behind saying this when you cash 
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#7
Posted: 11/16/2012 6:18:53 AM
gl spaz, agree with the 1st 2 and dallas
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#8
Posted: 11/16/2012 8:03:03 AM
Packers will light up detriot....
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#9
Posted: 11/16/2012 8:30:40 AM
Cleveland coming off a bye....might keep it close against Dallas coming off a big win against philly.
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#10
Posted: 11/16/2012 8:40:28 AM
Must win for gb and dallas - a chance to makeup ground....
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SettleDownSpaz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#11
Posted: 11/16/2012 8:46:42 AM
Wuss - The Jets lean is all about public opinion and line setting.  Things can't get much worse the Jets following their secret tweets about how terrible their backup QB.  The organization is a circus.  They can't do anything right.  Stl is favored for the first time all year and the line is conveniently nestled above a possession.  The Jets have struggled with turnovers all year, but the Rams haven't had a takeaway in their last four games and that speaks to them being winless in their last four.  The Rams played exceptionally well last week and while a tie is better than a loss, they can't feel great about not coming away with a W.  Public will see all the Jets' issues and STL hanging with SF on the road and the oddsmakers know this. 
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#12
Posted: 11/16/2012 8:56:01 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SettleDownSpaz:

Wuss - The Jets lean is all about public opinion and line setting.  Things can't get much worse the Jets following their secret tweets about how terrible their backup QB.  The organization is a circus.  They can't do anything right.  Stl is favored for the first time all year and the line is conveniently nestled above a possession.  The Jets have struggled with turnovers all year, but the Rams haven't had a takeaway in their last four games and that speaks to them being winless in their last four.  The Rams played exceptionally well last week and while a tie is better than a loss, they can't feel great about not coming away with a W.  Public will see all the Jets' issues and STL hanging with SF on the road and the oddsmakers know this. 

Before the season started, we all knew that Jets was a circus team.  The club (management) has no desire to win.  They just want headlights to cover all of the glories of the Giants winning the Superbowl.  Remember the Jets getting Brett Favre after Giants won their first Superbowl with Manning?  Now, it's Tebow after Giants won their second Superbowl with Manning.  If you are a NY fan and want to see trophies, be a Giants fan.  If you want to watch reality TV and drama, be a Jets fan.  

Jets are a joke, the club is a joke, players are divas and can't shut their face up.  3-6 record and they are still guaranteeing a playoff berth.  

STL suffered a heartbreaker tie with SF.  They had them throughout the game last week but just couldn't finish them off.  
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#13
Posted: 11/16/2012 8:58:22 AM

fsu - I kept going back and forth on Dallas.  They have a great opportunity to put themselves into the NFC East title race.  Record shows as 2-3 since the bye, but the Cowboys have actually played much better than that record shows.  Could have beaten the Ravens and Falcons (I know if they were playing good they would have won) and despite 6 turnovers, still had a shot against the Giants. 

GiL - good to see that buddy.  Bad spot for the Saints. 

Brady - tons of 3.5 lines out there to navigate around.  Oddsmakers are planting bombs all over the card

 

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#14
Posted: 11/16/2012 9:03:53 AM

kaptain - good seeing that buddy

ut - Hard to go against Rodgers and the Pack, but must win for Detroit as well especially with Houston on Thanksgiving.  I'm not putting any stock into GB's last three wins.  They will be tested and with the Gmen looming up next, they could be prime to be taken out by an active home dog. 

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#15
Posted: 11/16/2012 9:09:49 AM
I think we should see a shoot out in dtown without woodson and matthews. Mr. Rodgers will be the diff maker - if this game was played in gb they would be dd favs.... The 4 teams I'm looking at to close a parlay hou-dallas-gb-atl..... Also det sucks in the 1st half....
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#16
Posted: 11/16/2012 9:14:20 AM
With ny on deck its even a better situation to play gb - they understand how hungry ny is for a win right now esp coming off a bye....
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#17
Posted: 11/16/2012 9:56:08 AM
ut - I was thinking more that GB wanted to beat the Giants after last years' early playoff exit at home.  This is not to say they won't be focused on Detroit, but I do not think they will be at the top of their game.  And for me, that makes Detroit a live pup. 
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#18
Posted: 11/16/2012 3:26:09 PM
BOL Spaz
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#19
Posted: 11/16/2012 3:28:37 PM
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#20
Posted: 11/16/2012 3:59:24 PM
Spaz, your thoughts on the Cinci/KC under?
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#21
Posted: 11/16/2012 4:02:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by thx4thecookies:

Wow, on the other side on every bet


I feel very, very sorry for you.
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#22
Posted: 11/16/2012 4:11:26 PM
Good luck, Spaz! 
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#23
Posted: 11/16/2012 5:07:21 PM
Plus KC and the ML

GL
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#24
Posted: 11/16/2012 5:30:40 PM
Good luck buddy....I love the way you play.I dont agree with spread picks and paying juice but at least you have the parts to unload on ml dogs. I am with you on the Chargers ml +280. Keep playing those ml dogs and best of luck
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#25
Posted: 11/16/2012 7:27:24 PM
Sticking 1 toe in this week, 2u plays on all road dogs...gives us some similar plays. Bol
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