You CANT CAP a GAME like TONIGHT!

Forum: NFL Betting
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: You CANT CAP a GAME like TONIGHT!
curitiba PM curitiba
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 1452
 
curitiba
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/15/2012 6:43:49 PM

I see all the same posters week in and week out posting about tonights game.

He we have to losing teams separated by one game. One team has a good defense that has been bad for 4 weeks now with a Rookie QB.

The other team has 175 million dollars on the Defensive line and cant squash a mosquito.  However they have a pretty good offense and a great running back who can take over tonights game.

Im pretty disappointed that no good capper has acknowledged that tonights game is a coin flip.

You can post your sides but Bills being -1 or -2 basically means that if you love to gamble, flip a coin and hope for the best.

 

BTW..GO BILLS!

Getty3 PM Getty3
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 19601
 
Getty3
Participation Meter
MVP
Posted: 11/15/2012 6:49:30 PM
I'm not a good capper but I acknowledge that tonite's game is a coin flip. 
 So many variables in effect. Recreational betting only. 
Dolphan PM Dolphan
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 1280
 
Dolphan
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/15/2012 6:55:59 PM
And why is this any different than all the variables to account for with any other games?

MIA +3
MIA ML

Just capped it for ya

Getty3 PM Getty3
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 19601
 
Getty3
Participation Meter
MVP
Posted: 11/15/2012 6:58:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jonesin4awinner:

WHEN PEOPLE SAY THIS IT MEANS YOU DON'T KNOW HOW TO HANDICAP TONIGHT IS EASY IF YOU KNOW WHAT I KNOW!
says the man looking to get you to buy a pick that my clueless wife would have an equally good chance at making...
The wife says the Bills. She thinks it's too cold for Dolphins to play in Buffalo.
curitiba PM curitiba
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 1452
 
curitiba
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/15/2012 6:59:16 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Dolphan:

And why is this any different than all the variables to account for with any other games?

MIA +3
MIA ML

Just capped it for ya

 

Great insight!!  I cant believe you crunched those numbers and shared with fellow posters!

Good luck with your pick.  If Buff wins I will let you know how full of garbage you are!

komot PM komot
Joined: May 2009
Posts: 4999
 
komot
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/15/2012 7:14:49 PM
it is a coin flip, the fact that it is a short week also adheres to how each team played on sunday.

slight lean on the bills because of where it is being played at.
Mccabetmj PM Mccabetmj
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 69
 
Mccabetmj
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 11/15/2012 7:18:35 PM
If it is a coin flip then both teams have a 50 percent shot at winning.  Since that is apparently the case then technically the smart bet is not sitting on the sidelines but taking Miami.  Because if it's fifty fifty the money line would give you a good return according to your statistics..... Ahhhh now who's thinkin?
curitiba PM curitiba
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 1452
 
curitiba
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/15/2012 7:31:15 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Mccabetmj:

If it is a coin flip then both teams have a 50 percent shot at winning.  Since that is apparently the case then technically the smart bet is not sitting on the sidelines but taking Miami.  Because if it's fifty fifty the money line would give you a good return according to your statistics..... Ahhhh now who's thinkin?

 

Not you!  Its a known fact that Vegas gives 3 points for the home team.  So if you see that Buffalo opened at -1, then Miami was the favorite. However, now Buffalo is -2.5 or -3 at some places...

 

Take Miami and hope for the best cuz no one can really defend a side tonight!

Mccabetmj PM Mccabetmj
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 69
 
Mccabetmj
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 11/15/2012 7:36:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by curitiba:

 

Not you!  Its a known fact that Vegas gives 3 points for the home team.  So if you see that Buffalo opened at -1, then Miami was the favorite. However, now Buffalo is -2.5 or -3 at some places...

 

Take Miami and hope for the best cuz no one can really defend a side tonight!


Obviously you don't understand simple probability.
Forum: NFL Betting
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.