*** Best Play of the Month *** It's Hammer Time!

Forum: NFL Betting Page 2 of 5  1 2 3 4 5  
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: *** Best Play of the Month *** It's Hammer Time!
nuggins PM nuggins
Joined: Jun 2007
Posts: 3070
 
nuggins
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/15/2012 6:15:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by thx4thecookies:

I have the inside scoop on this game. Not wiseguy info or some clown saying he "he got the call". My information is more around Big Ben,



so what's your skinny?
Zephyr_10 PM Zephyr_10
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1461
 
Zephyr_10
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/15/2012 6:52:48 PM
League.... I got a question for you I hope you can help me out with. I agree with you whole-heartedly and love the play.... But my predicament comes down to my "confidence pool". Spreads for the pool are introduced on Tuesday so the line for the pool is **-3.5 Steelers**.  What would you're pick be here with this sort of line and most importantly where would you weight the ranking of that pick between 16 and 3???

Any feedback is appreciated. Thanks!
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 7589
 
LeagueCapper
Participation Meter
Captain
Posted: 11/15/2012 7:09:18 PM
Burly - Can't recall off the top of my head, somewhere in that vicinity I believe.

BigLick08 - 3-1 , only loss was Cowboys +4.5 to the Falcons

Zephyr_10 - This game should be low scoring so taking the Steelers at -3.5 is a huge difference than +3.5. I do have the Steelers winning this one but it won't be a blowout. Tough call

Junior316 PM Junior316
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 187
 
Junior316
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 11/15/2012 7:12:09 PM
I like the way you think and your take on the game but I don't agree at all in this situation.

Steelers are also 0-4 all time vs Ravens without Ben Roethlisberger as the starting quarterback . 
Numero_Uno PM Numero_Uno
Joined: Apr 2010
Posts: 606
 
Numero_Uno
Participation Meter
Rookie
Posted: 11/15/2012 7:13:36 PM
You going to be on anything else this weekend?  I know you don't play a lot of favorites, but I really like the Broncos to win in blowout fashion this weekend.
nooob PM nooob
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 801
 
nooob
Participation Meter
Rookie
Posted: 11/15/2012 7:14:51 PM
Unsure how I feel about this game. Big Ben has to be top 3 most important persons for an offense. I don't think Pitts can throw in a good running game and the return of Mendy to make up for Ben. Maybe Vegas gets slaughtered
RobG PM RobG
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 1041
 
RobG
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/15/2012 7:36:27 PM
Good write-up

BOL


LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 7589
 
LeagueCapper
Participation Meter
Captain
Posted: 11/15/2012 8:12:09 PM
Junior316 - This is only a play for the first game without the starting QB. Steelers are 0-4 without Big Ben against the Ravens but Ben has never been injured the week before playing the Ravens. Again these types of plays only work the first game with the star player out.

Numero_Uno - Only other plays I like are the Raiders and Eagles. Chargers are in a absolute must-win situation here if they want a chance at the playoffs. They lose here season is all but over. I would lean Chargers; however, i've learned it's almost impossible to bet against Peyton this year. He's on a mission to prove something.
bigkaptain PM bigkaptain
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 1121
 
bigkaptain
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/15/2012 8:47:18 PM
i agree, like the play
kimoinsd808 PM kimoinsd808
Joined: Apr 2008
Posts: 4808
 
kimoinsd808
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/15/2012 8:56:21 PM
Hell yes LC!!!
skyclassic PM skyclassic
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 3839
 
skyclassic
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/15/2012 9:00:30 PM
Bol
Lefty1981 PM Lefty1981
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 2297
 
Lefty1981
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/15/2012 9:55:55 PM
Just started paying more attention to NFL this year, but even I know the QB is the most important position and losing Big Ben is probably the worst thing that couldve happened to PIT. We all saw how pathetic the offense looked with Leftwich out there. It doesnt matter how great of a receiving core you have if you don't have anyone who can throw. I would feel a lot better if Troy was out there, but he's hurt too. BAL -3 looks like a trap, but thats only because no expects PIT to stay within 3.

GL people, I like BAL.
SIMADMAN PM SIMADMAN
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 602
 
SIMADMAN
Participation Meter
Rookie
Posted: 11/15/2012 10:13:34 PM
LC LIKE THE ANGLE, LINES 3.5 SB MORE BY GAME TIME. BOL
time-out PM time-out
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 118
 
time-out
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 11/15/2012 10:33:54 PM
do you like the eagles for same reason?  
billyweather PM billyweather
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 10647
 
billyweather
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 11/16/2012 12:31:07 AM
BOL buddy, love the play
naesiy PM naesiy
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1973
 
naesiy
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/16/2012 1:05:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by time-out:

do you like the eagles for same reason?  

Pitt=Championship quality team
Eagles=not so much
naesiy PM naesiy
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1973
 
naesiy
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/16/2012 1:05:33 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by time-out:

do you like the eagles for same reason?  

Pitt=Championship quality team
Eagles=not so much
ApocalypseLater PM ApocalypseLater
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 4260
 
ApocalypseLater
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/16/2012 1:58:55 AM
oh boy...


bobafett PM bobafett
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 2960
 
bobafett
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/16/2012 1:14:07 PM
dont forget....pit lost to them 2x last year (revenge).....
nuggins PM nuggins
Joined: Jun 2007
Posts: 3070
 
nuggins
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/16/2012 3:02:43 PM
Also...without a doubt i will be betting the Low ALT under...unit size depends.

It hit last night, on MNF, and on SNF... all of which i was on

and many other primetime games so far this year. 

what is weird is... when my book lists the alt totals as the only prop before others earlier in the day... every time this year except once when they do this the low alt U hits... when they release it w/ all the other props it's prob about 50/50   ... it was released early L3 games...  crazy that this fact is working.

anways I can see this being a less than 30 pt game for sure  ...Low Alt should be 31.5(ish)
Fiasco21 PM Fiasco21
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 9
 
Fiasco21
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 11/16/2012 5:27:27 PM
Good luck LC. Ive been following you for 2 years, youre def one of the best here.
seattleseahawks PM seattleseahawks
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 536
 
seattleseahawks
Participation Meter
Rookie
Posted: 11/16/2012 5:35:45 PM
LC, respect your angle and picks as always.  However, I would take Ravens if I was to bet on this game.  I would pass though cause there are better fish in the pond this weekend.  GL.
bullmoose PM bullmoose
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 2230
 
bullmoose
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/16/2012 6:24:14 PM
doesn't phila fit the same "hurt QB" system with vick out?
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 7589
 
LeagueCapper
Participation Meter
Captain
Posted: 11/16/2012 7:06:22 PM
Eagles are in a similar position yes. They aren't as much of a championship team but there still a veteran team as they've been to the playoffs 3 of the last 5 years under Andy Reid. They will play much harder this weekend. I have them in a teaser as well.
PLAYAAAA1969 PM PLAYAAAA1969
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 6852
 
PLAYAAAA1969
Participation Meter
Captain
Posted: 11/16/2012 7:10:32 PM
Raiders
Forum: NFL Betting Page 2 of 5  1 2 3 4 5  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.