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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: *ANOTHER PARLAY* »kn0wn«
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#1
Posted: 11/14/2012 12:41:22 AM
I hit a 7 team parlay a few weeks ago, and some people were asking what the next one would be.  Proof for the people that wanna say im lying

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101446814

I said I dont play them often but next time I do I will post it, so here it is. lots of value this week.

*5 Team Parlay*

Miami Dolphins pk
Cleveland Browns +9
Indianapolis Colts +10
Oakland Raiders +4.5
Denver Broncos -7

GL

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#2
Posted: 11/14/2012 12:48:28 AM
I love how EVERYONE in that thread told you hedge. lol
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#3
Posted: 11/14/2012 12:57:58 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BradyWearsUGGZ:

I love how EVERYONE in that thread told you hedge. lol

haha yea and when I said I was thinkin bout lettin it ride I got flamed lol.  But it worked out in the end middling the hedge.  This parlay wont have that possiblility though. GL this week man
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#4
Posted: 11/14/2012 1:09:27 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kn0wn:

I hit a 7 team parlay a few weeks ago, and some people were asking what the next one would be.  Proof for the people that wanna say im lying

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101446814

I said I dont play them often but next time I do I will post it, so here it is. lots of value this week.



*5 Team Parlay*

Miami Dolphins pk
Cleveland Browns +9
Indianapolis Colts +10
Oakland Raiders +4.5
Denver Broncos -7

GL


quote
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#5
Posted: 11/14/2012 1:30:04 AM

Why Oak??? Just curious...

Im tailing you on this regardless though...

Hopefully we hit this... GL this week

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#6
Posted: 11/14/2012 1:39:06 AM
hoku808pc....man I had oakland last week and they fucked me over by shitting the bed.  But im gonna take then again this week because I think they are in a prime spot here.  Oakland is such a hit or miss team depending if they show up or not...they arent very consistent. But they can score, and I think they will be able to put up some points against NO this week.  NO is coming off a HUGE win in ATL and now they have to travel 1800+ miles across time zones to play in Oakland.  Oakland coming off a beating, I see a very close game.  Idk if Oakland will pull the upset but for sure a FG  Lets cash man!
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#7
Posted: 11/14/2012 1:46:24 AM
Hey Kn0wn,

Been following you since you hit the Parlay, Rough Sunday, but like you said, your BIG plays you've been on spot.

I'm gonna continue to follow you, your insight is definately respected, there's yourself and one other dude I follow (silly) You guys are good cappers. I don't count the last wknd, just a bump in the road LOL

Miami is a tough play, IMO I dunno if Miami can pull it off TBH, I think Buffalo plays well at home, they are used to the cold and Miami coming in to this weather might have an effect. 

Line is definately sharp, I think I give Buf the edge here though

he Dolphins are 4-4 ATS.
The Dolphins are 3-2 ATS away.
The Dolphins are 4-1 ATS as the underdog.
The Dolphins are 3-1 ATS as an away underdog.
The Bills are 4-5 ATS.
The Bills are 1-2 ATS at home.
The Bills are 2-1 ATS as the favorite.
The Bills are 1-1 ATS as a home favorite.
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#8
Posted: 11/14/2012 1:52:21 AM

Yeah... Out of the 5, I think Oak worries me the most to cover the number... Hoping Saints D reverts back to how they played the first few games... lol

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#9
Posted: 11/14/2012 1:56:02 AM
KC4U2ENVY...thanks man I appreciate it.  It sucks because most people will start to notice Im doing really good so they will start to tail and then right when that happens I will just so happen to have a bad couple days, and wouldnt you know, all of the sudden I have haters lol.  But I like you, rambler, a group of others who have paid attention to my threads for awhile and know it was only a couple bad days. (Not even terrible) lol.  

But on the Miami pick, I do think C.J. Spiller starting is def. going to help the bills more than hurt them.  I just see Buffalo not really being over that NE loss and Miami wanting to bounce back after a terrible game.  When Miami has a balanced run/pass game they do well, the last two games where they lost they got away from the run.  Throwing 77 passes in both games combined.  With Buffalos bad defense I think this will be the deciding factor in the game, and I do see Miami being able to contain Spiller enough.

An advantage for Buffalo though is there SOS IMO has been a lot tougher than Miami's.  
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#10
Posted: 11/14/2012 2:26:43 AM
Oakland is a whole diff animal at home...

Could be a shootout

I like Oakland here too, they are very unpredictable, so up and down and here's one game where they will surprise you, i say they cover and may even win!

(Undercover Hopeful Raiders Fan) 

LOL

F the Saints (sorry just rambling, no disrespect to Saints fans)
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#11
Posted: 11/14/2012 3:18:53 AM
gl
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#12
Posted: 11/14/2012 5:16:54 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kn0wn:

KC4U2ENVY...thanks man I appreciate it.  It sucks because most people will start to notice Im doing really good so they will start to tail and then right when that happens I will just so happen to have a bad couple days, and wouldnt you know, all of the sudden I have haters lol.  But I like you, rambler, a group of others who have paid attention to my threads for awhile and know it was only a couple bad days. (Not even terrible) lol.  

But on the Miami pick, I do think C.J. Spiller starting is def. going to help the bills more than hurt them.  I just see Buffalo not really being over that NE loss and Miami wanting to bounce back after a terrible game.  When Miami has a balanced run/pass game they do well, the last two games where they lost they got away from the run.  Throwing 77 passes in both games combined.  With Buffalos bad defense I think this will be the deciding factor in the game, and I do see Miami being able to contain Spiller enough.

An advantage for Buffalo though is there SOS IMO has been a lot tougher than Miami's.  
Known you hit an awesome parlay and made some great picks to do so, but you dont want people tailing you.  Nor should anyone tail anyone for that matter, snag some info from sources you respect and make your own picks.  Otherwise where is the gratification?   As for your picks,  i like the majority.  I fervently disagree with the miami game,  and oakland has really proven itself to be inept.  Especially the defense and when a hot NO team comes to town with a real coach they will make this ugly.   This game goes over without oakland scoring 20.  Swap those out and get ready for another thread of jock sniffers
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#13
Posted: 11/14/2012 5:31:08 AM
Is it just me or is NO defense playing better since Vilma came back. I really didn't think one person can make a different but after Atlanta game I'm seeing a more feisty corner back. I hate OAK, enough to make a note to never bet on any of their games... unless Silly backs it up like the over on Tampa and Raiders game. That one makes sense to me. 

GL buddy always look at your cards before I make my own 


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#14
Posted: 11/14/2012 8:37:09 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kn0wn:

I hit a 7 team parlay a few weeks ago, and some people were asking what the next one would be.  Proof for the people that wanna say im lying

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101446814

I said I dont play them often but next time I do I will post it, so here it is. lots of value this week.

*5 Team Parlay*

Miami Dolphins pk
Cleveland Browns +9
Indianapolis Colts +10
Oakland Raiders +4.5
Denver Broncos -7

GL


BOL....if you hit two in a row they may put your photo in Vegas casinos as banned, LOL.  I'm going to throw a little $25 at it to tail (even though I'll probably be going the other way on some of these games for larger plays), if for no other reason I'd be kicking my own behind if you hit again and I didn't at least take a nibble.  BTW, and this had nothing to do with the subject (or NFL), but the best money I see on the board is Stanford v Oregon OVER 64.5.  Anyway, I'll be posting that in the college section and you can chime in if you want.  Putting a dime on that.
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#15
Posted: 11/14/2012 8:46:35 AM
How in the world can the Raiders with all of the needles penalty's they take cover +4.5 against DREW BREES and the Number one passing offense in the NFL. MCFADDEN AND SEYMOUR are out CARSON PALMER BLOWS! NEW ORLEANS 41 - RAIDERS 17 at best!
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#16
Posted: 11/14/2012 8:54:06 AM
NEW ORLEANS 24 -17 if Oakland can do anything offensively and defensively. NEW ORLEANS - Can not lose this game, to have six losses at this point would be pushing it in the tough NFC. Oakland always takes penalty after penalty ever year it seems they are the NFL'S most highly PENALIZED TEAM. So you always have to take Oakland's penalty's in account when handicapping this one.
NEW ORLEANS BY 6 AT THE VERY VERY LEAST
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#17
Posted: 11/14/2012 8:56:58 AM
Bills-1.5,Saints-5.5,Indy+9, (philly+3 optional)

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#18
Posted: 11/14/2012 9:05:22 AM
BOL kn0wn 
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#19
Posted: 11/14/2012 9:11:03 AM
BILLS 34 Dolphins 17-20 - The "AMISH RIFLE!" gets it done - BUFFALO PRIDE! MARIO WILLIAMS OWNS THE BILLS SOME SACKS - I THINK HE GETS SOME HERE
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#20
Posted: 11/14/2012 9:13:17 AM
THIS IS THE BILLS SUPERBOWL - HOSTING THE HATED DOLPHINS FITZPATRICK can be very productive at times
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#21
Posted: 11/14/2012 9:14:12 AM
Im actually pumped for this BILLS/DOLPHINS AFC EAST CLASH!
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#22
Posted: 11/14/2012 9:15:04 AM
BILLS 33 DOLPHINS 23 another possible score - BILLS HAVE A CHIP ON THEIR SHOULDER
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#23
Posted: 11/14/2012 10:03:56 AM
Good luck buddy
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#24
Posted: 11/14/2012 10:06:06 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by malkin:

BILLS 33 DOLPHINS 23 another possible score - BILLS HAVE A CHIP ON THEIR SHOULDER

You could also make the case that the Bills blew their load so to speak in the Pats game this past weekend and now are set-up for an emotion letdown on a short week.  All you need to do is look at the Jets for an example.  They put everything on the Pats game and lost at the end.  They came back the following week (at home I believe) against this same Miami team and got rolled.
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#25
Posted: 11/14/2012 10:08:21 AM
kn0wn,

So I just put that parlay into 5dimes using a dollar just in order to get the odds and it is 24.55 to 1 at this moment.  If you don't mind me asking, how much did you put on this parlay?
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