|Look, I am a young sportsbetter trying to improve on my craft. This is partly a numbers game, partly a trends game, and partly knowing this great game of football better. There is way 2 much hating going on in this forum.
Posted: 11/13/2012 6:57:10 PM
So instead of just posting 10,000 different threads about the same game just with your own picks, why not make a thread were we can all discuss this game, trends and angles. all perspective should be considered and if I only listen to myself then my views can become obsolete.
Mia +1 (+105) v Buff -1 (-120) O/U 45.5
Initial thoughts are:
1.Miami is not as bad as their last home loss was. Yes, I got burned by them as the favorite but I have also cashed big on them this season as a road dog which is what they are this week.
2. Buffalo is 27-16 ATS in their last 43 home games in November (vegasinsider). The cold seems to play to their advantage. Miami weather this week is in the 80s..Kickoff in Buffalo is projected in the mid 30s.
3. Miami has solid trends as road dog (3-1), vs AFC East (5-1) and (8-2) following a SU loss.
I have put some time into my craft and I am hoping to find those who also do the same. Speak your mind!