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Author: [Website Promotions] Topic: Sunday Afternoon - NFL
5t4r5align
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#26
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:35:03 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


 I'm 21-1 ATS and ML
 
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#27
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:35:43 AM
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#28
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:35:58 AM
Good luck Si thanks for the info

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#29
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:38:43 AM
Sweet! So happy you have you back!  Best of luck! I guess the HOU tease could be due to poor weather and great defenses? 
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#30
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:40:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by FedererFan28:

Just curious to why you like the under in the broncos game.  I personally like the over, but it's good to hear the opposite side's pick. 

Carolina has played the second toughest schedule in the NFL and they've hung in to a lot of games lately.  This is a team that is making positive improvements every week.  The ESPN hoopla about Cam Newton is way over blown.  They have a solid running game and a good defense.  Denver is also in a tough spot playing their second east coast road game in a row after playing the Saints on MNF three weeks ago.  They haven't seen even a remotely good defense in a month and I think playing a tough Carolina D on the road could mean they come out flat offensively.
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#31
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:42:25 AM
do you like the over in the pats and chargers games?

just made a grand on joker when he was down a set + game in 2nd set woooo! im ready for nfl
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#32
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:42:52 AM
BOL
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#33
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:42:53 AM
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#34
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:44:14 AM
thanks silly
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#35
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:44:52 AM
Thoughts on SD/Tampa?
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#36
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:45:12 AM
Good luck today.
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#37
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:47:26 AM
Si1ly,

Better tease?

Carolina/Raiders or Carolina/Vikes?

Thanks and GL
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#38
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:50:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by as440042:

Sweet! So happy you have you back!  Best of luck! I guess the HOU tease could be due to poor weather and great defenses? 

Lets look at the offenses that Chicago has played this season (based on my rankings):

IND #25
GB #6
STL #22
DAL #24
JAC #32
DET #12
CAR #20
TEN #18


Their defense has benefited from a very easy schedule.  After adjusting for SOS with in my RPI, the Bears D ranks #5 (Houston ranks #2).  In the two games that the Bears played an offense similar in caliber to the Lions, they lost by 13 to the Packers and won by only 6 against the Lions.  Also, if you remove all the defensive scores from the Bears point total this season, they become a below average team in terms of scoring production.  The Bears are a good team, don't get me wrong.  But I don't think their offense will be able to put a touchdown of difference ahead of Houston.  Houston also runs a very tight show and they're not prone to the same type of big play meltdowns that the Bears have feasted on all season.




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#39
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:51:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by davopnz:

do you like the over in the pats and chargers games?

just made a grand on joker when he was down a set + game in 2nd set woooo! im ready for nfl



The #'s are strong to the over in New England, but I'm expecting a run heavy game plan by the Pats.  A fast moving clock will make any total in the 50's hard to get to.  I don't have a clue on the Chargers game.  Pass.
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#40
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:52:36 AM
can't believe they moved this over here to WPs 

anyway, looks like sharp action on the Under in CHI even @ 40.  Was just pounded down to 39 -115 at my shop 
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#41
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:53:11 AM
Why the $#^! was this thread moved.  I'm not promoting any website in here.  I haven't even %!@^&# mentioned it.
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#42
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:54:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by flyknot:

Si1ly,

Better tease?

Carolina/Raiders or Carolina/Vikes?

Thanks and GL

I like them both.  What numbers are you moving Oakland and Minny to?
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#43
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:55:24 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:

can't believe they moved this over here to WPs 

anyway, looks like sharp action on the Under in CHI even @ 40.  Was just pounded down to 39 -115 at my shop 

sharp and square.. people everywhere tuning into the weather forecast for SNF
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#44
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:58:58 AM
Can the mod who moved this thread please explain their actions.  I'd like to know what aspect of this thread is promoting a website.
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#45
Posted: 11/11/2012 12:03:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


I like them both.  What numbers are you moving Oakland and Minny to?
 Oak 13.5. Minny 8.5
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#46
Posted: 11/11/2012 12:04:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by flyknot:

 Oak 13.5. Minny 8.5

Minny.
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#47
Posted: 11/11/2012 12:06:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


Minny.
 Thanks.  Crush em today .
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#48
Posted: 11/11/2012 12:39:43 PM
Hi Silly,

Do you like Baltimore -8 at home. Your website looks great. I just started following you. 

Smile.. 
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#49
Posted: 11/11/2012 12:43:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gkavadoy:

Hi Silly,

Do you like Baltimore -8 at home. Your website looks great. I just started following you. 

Smile.. 

Baltimore's defense isn't good enough to be laying over a touchdown even against Oakland.  I know my model says something like Baltimore -11.5, but I don't feel as confident about this prediction as the raw statistics do.  Lots of room for a backdoor with a pass happy Oakland team and a very very poor Baltimore secondary.
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#50
Posted: 11/11/2012 12:44:15 PM
si1ly, sent you a freind request, please accept.
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