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Author: [Website Promotions] Topic: Sunday Afternoon - NFL
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
si1ly
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#1
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:10:03 AM
'10-11 NBA:  90-67  (57.3%)  +19.90u
'10-11 NBA-P:  30-16  (65.2%)  +18.25u
'10-11 NCAAB:  8-1  (88.9%)  +7.90u
'10-11 NHL-P:  11-4  (73.3%)  +7.00u
'10-11 MLB:  97-66  (59.8%)  +31.61u
'10-11 MLB-P:  9-3  (75.0%)  +9.22u
'11-12 NCAAF:  16-21  (43.2%)  -7.40u
'11-12 NCAAF-P:  9-6  (60.0%)  +1.65u
'11-12 NFL:  42-35  (54.5%)  +5.05u
'11-12 NFL-P:  5-5  (50.0%)  -0.40u
'11-12 NCAAB:  9-3  (75.0%)  +5.70u
'11-12 NCAAB-P:  5-3  (62.5%)  +1.60u
'11-12 NBA:  77-80  (49.0%)  -13.28u
'11-12 NBA-P:  23-20  (53.2%)  +2.30u
'11-12 NHL-P:  2-1  (66.6%)  +1.10u
'11-12 MLB:  130-86 (60.2%)  +38.27u
'11-12 MLB-P:  1-1 (50.0%)  +0.35u

'12-13 NFL:  27-11  (71.2%)  +20.50u


6 Point Teaser - Seattle Seahawks PK  &  Houston +7.5 (+100)

1:00 EST - Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers Under 47 (-105)

4:25 EST - Dallas Cowboys -1.5 (-110)

4:25 EST - St. Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers Under 38.5 (-110)
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#2
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:10:47 AM
bol
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#3
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:10:56 AM
BOL
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#4
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:11:51 AM
looks great ... wish I'd grabbed the Cowboys now instead of the under
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              Antilles
#5
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:12:31 AM
bol si1ly
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#6
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:12:48 AM
GL
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#7
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:13:03 AM
Just curious to why you like the under in the broncos game.  I personally like the over, but it's good to hear the opposite side's pick. 
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#8
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:14:36 AM
 Seattle Seahawks PK  &  Houston +7.5

Wow that looks GREAT

Gl...
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#9
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:15:27 AM
many thanks Silly      BOL
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#10
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:15:39 AM
BOL si1ly
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si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#11
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:15:54 AM
There are a lot of very tight lines today.  All the games that I wanted to be on for the line value I found enough reasons to stay away.  Minnesota is the best example of this.  Statistically speaking they should be about -3 point favorites today.  The Lions spread is inflated because CP threw for 44 yards last week and Detroit is on a 4-0 ATS run.  For Minny to win, they'll have to dominate special teams (which is very possible) and AP will need to carry them offensively.
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#12
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:16:33 AM

I put a coulple teasers together and wanted you opinion.

CIN +11.5 & DEN +1.5

Ravens -1.5 & PHI +7.5

BOL Today!!

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#13
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:18:57 AM
BOL like them all
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#14
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:19:00 AM
GL 
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#15
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:20:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:



'12-13 NFL:  27-11  (71.2%)  +20.50u


6 Point Teaser - Seattle Seahawks PK  &  Houston +7.5 (+100)


adding Chargers +9 to this teaser 

GL si1ly 
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#16
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:21:42 AM
Thx a buncg, Sil!

btw, for everyone having trouble checking out your site, I went through a free proxy. Works like a charm.

GL today, S!


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#17
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:22:48 AM

Good luck Bro!!

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#18
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:23:05 AM

Teasers and suckers rhyme together.

BOL

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si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#19
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:23:47 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BamaTaxMan:

I put a coulple teasers together and wanted you opinion.

CIN +11.5 & DEN +1.5

Ravens -1.5 & PHI +7.5

BOL Today!!


Philly is in the wong zone so they're a smart teaser up if they come to play (although I have a feeling that the Cowboys defensive line smells blood and if this gets ugly it will be like playing a road game for the Eagles).

Oakland hasn't won a 1:00 start on the east coast in forever, so I like your chances.  

I don't think you crossed enough key numbers moving Denver to +1.5 - you gave up a lot of value making this move.  Also Carolina has played a tough schedule and they've been in almost every game.  They're going to come to play today and Denver is in a bad spot.. could come out flat offensively against a pretty solid defense.
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#20
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:26:18 AM
Oh and Cincinnati crossed a lot of key numbers getting to 10.5 and the sharps seem to love this play.  Cinci and Carolina have seen some of the most sharp action this week.
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#21
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:26:34 AM
any ideas for parlays? cheers silly!

also any love for the pats?
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#22
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:27:35 AM
Glad to see your posts! Thanks again
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si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#23
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:27:53 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by courtt44:

Teasers and suckers rhyme together.

BOL


I think Teasers can be used responsibly in the NFL to cross key numbers and get extra value for your buck.  But that said, I'm 21-1 ATS and ML if you include the three team parlay I through out week 4.  And I'm barely .500 on teasers and totals.  Hmph.
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#24
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:32:44 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:

looks great ... wish I'd grabbed the Cowboys now instead of the under

The under looks great statistically at first glance, but digging deeper and for it to go as low as my model says, both offenses will have to be exceptionally inefficient.  With both teams so turnover prone, and Philly's motivation and effort completely in question, I felt it better to go with the team that smells blood.  Dallas is historically horrible in this spot (narrow spread, divisional game) but I'll buck the trends and take the better team.
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#25
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:35:00 AM
cowboys
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