NFL : Week 10

Forum: NFL Betting Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: NFL : Week 10
SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
Joined: Feb 2004
Posts: 12379
 
SettleDownSpaz
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 11/7/2012 2:32:08 PM

Overall : 56-31-2 +305.32 units

I've been working from home this week, so have more time to be on the forum and capping the weekend games.  After an initial run through the opening lines, here is where I'm leaning for Sunday's games.  I'll start up a separate post for the Thursday night game.  Happy to discuss any of the leans or any other plays on the card.

Carolina Panthers + and ML

New Orleans Saints + and ML

Saint Louis Rams +

New York/Cincinnati Over

Oakland/Baltimore Under

Kansas City Cheifs +11.5

 

 

 

KktdocT PM KktdocT
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 64397
 
KktdocT
Participation Meter
Legend
Posted: 11/7/2012 2:37:20 PM
GL, mate.
rr207 PM rr207
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 2932
 
rr207
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/7/2012 2:50:40 PM
Spaz, John Fox return to Carolina.  What do you like about the Panthers this week?
dibcompany PM dibcompany
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 1400
 
dibcompany
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/7/2012 3:03:34 PM
I like rams, they are better than record indicates.  I also like fading ATL, NO can take down the dragon this sunday.  Their offense seems to be back and will play tough at home.

GL
gbpackman PM gbpackman
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 5107
 
gbpackman
Participation Meter
Banned
Posted: 11/7/2012 3:08:46 PM
I like the Rams too, but their QB chokes!
usikbasterd PM usikbasterd
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 1636
 
usikbasterd
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/7/2012 3:22:38 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dibcompany:

I like rams, they are better than record indicates.  I also like fading ATL, NO can take down the dragon this sunday.  Their offense seems to be back and will play tough at home.

GL

their offense was always on fire you idiot

gbpackman PM gbpackman
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 5107
 
gbpackman
Participation Meter
Banned
Posted: 11/7/2012 3:25:31 PM
Only 20 pts against the Packers??? Come on! Did you see the game??? He overthrew the ball many times!
dibcompany PM dibcompany
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 1400
 
dibcompany
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/7/2012 4:09:49 PM
usik:

if you watched their games, their offense didn't play as well as expected.  Obviously you are going by the stats but you know if you watched all their games, they would drop crucial balls, miss on third and short, running game was ineffective.  Obviously their D was in disarray, they seem to be turning the corner on D and O.

You should watch your name calling, just because it's online doesn't mean you should write stuff like that.  You certainly wouldn't do that to my face.

GL
bigkaptain PM bigkaptain
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 1121
 
bigkaptain
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/7/2012 4:35:24 PM

love saints and that giants over, gl spaz

idle_havoc PM idle_havoc
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 3645
 
idle_havoc
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/7/2012 4:50:26 PM
I like the points on the Saints and Panthers but not the ML
BOL Spaz
learningthegame PM learningthegame
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 11
 
learningthegame
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 11/7/2012 5:17:33 PM

it's kinda like hitting a small window for me but denver to beat carolina because the absense of chris gamble.  carolina doesn't have much of a d.  i know cam newton has kept it close a couple times then won.  but if you consider that denver is now rated basically the best team in the afc i see no reason why they can't trash carolina just like NE or Houston would

 

nothing to do with john fox.  he's not even a good coach.  never would i feel safe about a pick if it was riding on a good performance from john fox

 

i'm going for atlanta.  i don't have to worry about sean payton either.  so i'm happy with the pick of atlanta.  i know it's the road but i'm really riding this team.  maybe i'll crash but i doubt it

 

st louis does get amandola back this week which could help some.  san fran doesn't run the score up so i'm not sure how this one will go.  i know they blew out arizona on the road.  but they didn't win there game before that by much

SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
Joined: Feb 2004
Posts: 12379
 
SettleDownSpaz
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 11/7/2012 5:24:39 PM

rr - I think this week has the potential to be a dud for the Broncos.  Carolina is actually pretty decent defensively and despite their record, they have been close in every game but one.  Still need to look things over, but I think Carolina will be able to run the ball effectively and their pass defense will be somewhat effective vs. Peyton.  Cam is always a wildcard

bigkaptain - really like the giants-bungles over.  I might hit that one pretty hard.  And right now, I'm leaning to the Saints rolling over the Falcons

Gordon Gekko PM Gordon Gekko
Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 5992
 
Gordon Gekko
Participation Meter
Captain
Posted: 11/7/2012 6:26:13 PM
 Like Carolina as well as they are a better team than the record indicates..I've been on Denver a number of games this year however it seems oddsmakers have priced them above value in this one and knowing that public bets favorites they set it at 4 which is an interesting number.  I may not make it a larger wager but may include the Panthers in a teaser or two..
utfootball4 PM utfootball4
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 20033
 
utfootball4
Participation Meter
Banned
Posted: 11/7/2012 6:34:34 PM
Trying to find a reason not to hammer this parlay:

ML: sf/pitt/balt/pats: even money

Jose_Reyes PM Jose_Reyes
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 20350
 
Jose_Reyes
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Posted: 11/7/2012 9:17:57 PM
Like New Orleans this week too, Spaz. Really thought last week was the time to fade Atlanta, but they still pulled it out. Saints got a little bit of swagger back beating Philly on Monday night. Loved how all 3 of their backs were running hard. Just opens up the play book for Brees. The lack of a run game is going to hurt Atlanta at some point. When that happens, they probably can't keep up with an offense like the Saints. Just throwing some thoughts out there. Good luck this week.
Posted using a mobile device.
mtbaker PM mtbaker
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 10062
 
mtbaker
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 11/7/2012 11:30:03 PM

Newton

hammertime360 PM hammertime360
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 2832
 
hammertime360
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/7/2012 11:41:52 PM
like them all
si1ly PM si1ly
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 12061
 
si1ly
Participation Meter
Banned
Posted: 11/8/2012 12:11:09 AM
Spaz.

rr207 PM rr207
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 2932
 
rr207
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 11/8/2012 1:25:14 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SettleDownSpaz:

rr - I think this week has the potential to be a dud for the Broncos.  Carolina is actually pretty decent defensively and despite their record, they have been close in every game but one.  Still need to look things over, but I think Carolina will be able to run the ball effectively and their pass defense will be somewhat effective vs. Peyton.  Cam is always a wildcard

bigkaptain - really like the giants-bungles over.  I might hit that one pretty hard.  And right now, I'm leaning to the Saints rolling over the Falcons



thanks for the response

I have already ruled out a good game from cam newton, and i think he could become a nfl bust.  i am most likely playing the broncos. if i lose, it is because super cam showed up for a game.

GiLmo574 PM GiLmo574
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 21804
 
GiLmo574
Participation Meter
Covers Rehab
Posted: 11/8/2012 1:27:19 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SettleDownSpaz:

rr - I think this week has the potential to be a dud for the Broncos.  Carolina is actually pretty decent defensively and despite their record, they have been close in every game but one.  Still need to look things over, but I think Carolina will be able to run the ball effectively and their pass defense will be somewhat effective vs. Peyton.  Cam is always a wildcard

bigkaptain - really like the giants-bungles over.  I might hit that one pretty hard.  And right now, I'm leaning to the Saints rolling over the Falcons



Nothing wrong with this Broncos pick at all.  Before the start of this year, East Coast teams -vs- West Coast teams (1pm EST start time) were 44-15 since 2007.  East Coast teams have won 75% of their games -vs- West Coast teams from 2007 to 2011.  However, the Broncos are known as a MTS (Mountain Time) team  -  even then, the record of East Coast 1pm EST start time -vs- MTS teams since 2007 is 24-11, still clippin' @ 69%


This year, the Broncos have won their only game played on the East Coast @ the 1pm EST start time, which was last week.  Spazzer was on them as well.


I like the Cam Newton as a wild card pick, Spaz.  This is on my heavy leans list.
si1ly PM si1ly
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 12061
 
si1ly
Participation Meter
Banned
Posted: 11/8/2012 1:29:20 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GiLmo574:



Nothing wrong with this Broncos pick at all.  Before the start of this year, East Coast teams -vs- West Coast teams (1pm EST start time) were 44-15 since 2007.  East Coast teams have won 75% of their games -vs- West Coast teams from 2007 to 2011.  However, the Broncos are known as a MTS (Mountain Time) team  -  even then, the record of East Coast 1pm EST start time -vs- MTS teams since 2007 is 24-11, still clippin' @ 69%


This year, the Broncos have won their only game played on the East Coast @ the 1pm EST start time, which was last week.  Spazzer was on them as well.


I like the Cam Newton as a wild card pick, Spaz.  This is on my heavy leans list.

Tough scheduling spot as is.. second road game in a row after prime time against the Saints on a short week.  Carolina meanwhile off a good road win.  This is a game you have to look to fade the Broncos - even though they're the superior team on paper.


Gil
yamda PM yamda
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 910
 
yamda
Participation Meter
Rookie
Posted: 11/8/2012 7:42:42 AM
BOL Spaz!
ratherBgambling PM ratherBgambling
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 27228
 
ratherBgambling
Participation Meter
Hall of Fame
Posted: 11/8/2012 10:31:29 AM
bol brother
SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
Joined: Feb 2004
Posts: 12379
 
SettleDownSpaz
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:40:30 AM

thanks everyone, best of luck today..  I think the dogs show up, but I thought that Thursday and got destroyed.  I'm in a big week 10 hole, so tread carefully...

Buffalo Bills +13.5 (15 units to win 14.29)

Carolina Panthers +4 (12 units to win 11.43)

Carolina Panthers +170 (3 units to win 5.1)

New York/Cincinnati Over 47.5 (20 units to win 19.05)

Tennessee Titans +6.5 (12 units to win 11.43)

Atlanta/New Orleans Over 53 (20 units to win 19.05)

 

 

SettleDownSpaz PM SettleDownSpaz
Joined: Feb 2004
Posts: 12379
 
SettleDownSpaz
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 11/11/2012 11:45:19 AM

missed the Bolts...

San Diego Chargers +3 (12 units to win 11.43)

San Diego Chargers +150 (4 units to win 6)

 

Forum: NFL Betting Page 1 of 2  1 2  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.