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[NFL Betting] Topic: ***NFL WEEK 9 PLAYS*** |
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peter10 |
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#176 Posted: 11/2/2012 6:59:16 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys: Did you say the same thing about pats over cards?
How about the 49ers vs Vikings?
How about the Jags vs Ravens last year on Monday night?
i guess your not paying attention, this Arizona team is not the same team that beat the pats in week 2 both on offense and defense . |
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PrimeTimeBoys |
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#177 Posted: 11/3/2012 12:31:43 PM
Week 8: 10-4 ATS (road teams by 6 games)
Week 7: 10-2-1 ATS (road teams by 8 games)
Week 6: 8-6 ATS (road teams by 2 games)
Week 5: 5-9 ATS (home teams by 4 games)
Week 4: 11-3-1 ATS (road teams by 8 games)
Week 3: 10-6 ATS (road teams by 4 games)
Week 2: 4-11-1 ATS (home teams by 7 games)
Week 1: 8-8 ATS (evenly)
The road teams have out numbered the home teams when it came to covering the spread this season 5 week to 2 weeks & week 1 had it even..............will it regress back to the mean?? Possibly but imo, I dont think so...............
I like a lot of road teams this week...............  does the streak continue..................... |
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statsman49 |
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#178 Posted: 11/3/2012 4:20:01 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by shivaseven: Originally Posted by James_Dean]
Giants are also 0-4 ATS and 1-3 SU in their last 4 games right after playing the Cowboys.
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I don't have those numbers. I've got ATS 1-3 and SUP 2-2 but with the ATS numbers it all comes down to the closing number. You are ridiculous looking for trends on a sample size of 4 games if any of you knew something about statistics you should know you need a much bigger sample size than 4!! And the majority of 'trends' people post are based on 'after the event ' ... Try identifying one of these trends early and following it and having a solid record.. Noone posts about a trend that is 4-0 ATS and goes 10-0 ..people find trends that by chance have a great record and then think it will continue.. Do u think the Giants care that they played the cowgirls last week and now it means they 'can't' win by 4+ this week .. If Pitt cover this week it won't be because of that |
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Twinz2307 |
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#179 Posted: 11/3/2012 5:23:25 PM |
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shivaseven |
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#180 Posted: 11/3/2012 5:33:42 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by statsman49:
You are ridiculous looking for trends on a sample size of 4 games if any of you knew something about statistics you should know you need a much bigger sample size than 4!! And the majority of 'trends' people post are based on 'after the event ' ... Try identifying one of these trends early and following it and having a solid record.. Noone posts about a trend that is 4-0 ATS and goes 10-0 ..people find trends that by chance have a great record and then think it will continue.. Do u think the Giants care that they played the cowgirls last week and now it means they 'can't' win by 4+ this week .. If Pitt cover this week it won't be because of that
You can't have it both ways! First you criticize me for posting STATS that have a small sample size. Then you criticize me for not taking an approach that identifies trends early. If I posted a trend that pointed to a NYG letdown after a Cowboy match say at an imaginary ATS of 31-10, you'd say that the numbers are stale and I should have been on this trend when it was say ... ATS 4-0. I'm not saying you don't make some interesting points but I can't win any kind of argument with the logic you are using. Also, I am big proponent of situational handicapping so I 'do' believe teams have let-down spots on their schedule. If PIT does lose it will probably be because their secondary is a major issue without TP on the field. Oh, here's another trend for you.
STEELERS with TP in secondary SUP 28-9
STEELERS without TP in secondary SUP 9-9
Maybe I should hedge my bet and take the Steelers and the OVER so if PIT secondary gets shredded I'll catch the over.
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LeagueCapper |
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#181 Posted: 11/3/2012 6:09:50 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by shivaseven: You can't have it both ways! First you criticize me for posting STATS that have a small sample size. Then you criticize me for not taking an approach that identifies trends early. If I posted a trend that pointed to a NYG letdown after a Cowboy match say at an imaginary ATS of 31-10, you'd say that the numbers are stale and I should have been on this trend when it was say ... ATS 4-0. I'm not saying you don't make some interesting points but I can't win any kind of argument with the logic you are using. Also, I am big proponent of situational handicapping so I 'do' believe teams have let-down spots on their schedule. If PIT does lose it will probably be because their secondary is a major issue without TP on the field. Oh, here's another trend for you. STEELERS with TP in secondary SUP 28-9 STEELERS without TP in secondary SUP 9-9 Maybe I should hedge my bet and take the Steelers and the OVER so if PIT secondary gets shredded I'll catch the over.
The Steelers record without Palamalu and the Steelers record on the road have been on ESPN a few times this week, in other words they are widely recognized as being garbage.
Yet.... books are juicing -3 for the Giants
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aaustinova67 |
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#182 Posted: 11/3/2012 7:12:34 PM hey pt
Recap all of your picks please!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I cant be scrolling through 9 pages of picks and idiots talking
can you compress your ind. picks into one posting??
thanks! |
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The-iLLuminati |
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#183 Posted: 11/3/2012 8:37:10 PM |
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The-iLLuminati |
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#184 Posted: 11/3/2012 8:37:44 PM |
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The-iLLuminati |
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#185 Posted: 11/3/2012 8:39:31 PM |
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The-iLLuminati |
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#186 Posted: 11/3/2012 8:40:26 PM |
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The-iLLuminati |
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#187 Posted: 11/3/2012 8:41:14 PM |
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TREE88 |
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#188 Posted: 11/3/2012 8:53:04 PM  |
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mastaplann |
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#189 Posted: 11/3/2012 9:00:45 PM |
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The-iLLuminati |
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#190 Posted: 11/3/2012 11:11:52 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys: Buying out of my Ravens play........................found 2 system plays supporting the Browns when I didnt even think I had................jumped the gun too early but luckily im catching 3.5 with the Browns...............
Browns +3.5 (-110) $1,100 to win $1,000
Gonna take the loss on the juice & possibly play the Browns in a few parlays.................
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shivaseven |
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#191 Posted: 11/4/2012 12:33:26 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:
The Steelers record without Palamalu and the Steelers record on the road have been on ESPN a few times this week, in other words they are widely recognized as being garbage.
Yet.... books are juicing -3 for the Giants
Good point. I've got the STEELERS +3 despite the fact they are 3-11 ATS on the road. Good Luck on the weekend |
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jdayvee100 |
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#192 Posted: 11/4/2012 2:19:25 AM |
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GunShard |
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#193 Posted: 11/4/2012 3:26:19 AM
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joesanouvong |
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#194 Posted: 11/4/2012 3:30:43 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:
Romos record in November is 19-2 straight up.
IgetMoney Will u be posting ur picks before sundays games? |
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SCUZZYBUZZARD |
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#195 Posted: 11/4/2012 8:01:09 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys: +$1,800 last week.....................roll sitting at $31,800...........(-$30k for the year but gonna win it all back, stay tuned)
Updated wagers:
Ravens -3 (-120) $1,200 to win $1,000
Browns +3.5 (-110) $1,100 to win $1,000 (bought out of Ravens play)
Panthers +3.5 (-110) $1,100 to win $1,000
Broncos -3 (-120) $1,200 to win $1,000
Bengals +3.5 (-110) $1,100 to win $1,000 (bought out of my Broncos wager)
Cowboys +4.5 (-110) $2,200 to win $2,000 (will also play the ML)
Eagles +3.5 (-110) $2,200 to win $2,000 (will also play the ML)
Colts +2.5 (-110) $1,100 to win $1,000 (will also play the ML)
Steelers +3.5 (-110) $3,300 to win $3,000 (will also play the ML)
Jaguars +3.5 (-110) $2,200 to win $2,000
Titans +3 (+110) $1,000 to win $1,100
Tampa ML (+100) $1,000 to win $1,000
Correct me if I am wrong. If you are down an imaginary $30,000 for the season and you add an imaginary $30,000, then you win an imaginary $1800, shouldn't you be up an imaginary $1800? I imagine covers will box me again for calling this guy a  , but I fail to see how they haven't boxed this joker yet.
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PrimeTimeBoys |
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#196 Posted: 11/4/2012 8:41:50 AM
You must be retarded.....................  |
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courtt44 |
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#197 Posted: 11/4/2012 9:13:43 AM Too many wagers yet once again. PTB obviously lives in his grandma's basement with imaginary dollars. Probably doesn't get out much and got no friends in real life. So this covers thread is what his joy in life really is.
Lets not take away his only joy in life and let him continue to be the biggest and the joke in here. |
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abadboycali |
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#198 Posted: 11/4/2012 9:23:12 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by courtt44: Too many wagers yet once again. PTB obviously lives in his grandma's basement with imaginary dollars. Probably doesn't get out much and got no friends in real life. So this covers thread is what his joy in life really is.
Lets not take away his only joy in life and let him continue to be the biggest and the joke in here.
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casanova27 |
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#199 Posted: 11/4/2012 10:58:01 AM  |
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Mack05 |
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#200 Posted: 11/4/2012 3:22:49 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by SCUZZYBUZZARD: Correct me if I am wrong. If you are down an imaginary $30,000 for the season and you add an imaginary $30,000, then you win an imaginary $1800, shouldn't you be up an imaginary $1800? I imagine covers will box me again for calling this guy a , but I fail to see how they haven't boxed this joker yet.
Well they will never box PTB because of the amount of views he has. Yes everyone who lives in the real world knows he is a fraud but people come on to this threads to either hate on him or love him. I'd miss him if he left. I love see him losing his imaginary money. I mean whjo would ever tail a guy that has so far lost 30k and after the weekend looks a lot more..
Just enjoy the stupidity of the guy. I do..
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