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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: ***NFL WEEK 9 PLAYS***
peter10
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#176
Posted: 11/2/2012 6:59:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

Did you say the same thing about pats over cards?

How about the 49ers vs Vikings?

How about the Jags vs Ravens last year on Monday night?


i guess your not paying attention, this Arizona team is not the same team  that beat the pats in week 2 both on  offense and defense .
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#177
Posted: 11/3/2012 12:31:43 PM
The roads teams are on fire:


Week 8: 10-4 ATS  (road teams by 6 games)

Week 7: 10-2-1 ATS  (road teams by 8 games)

Week 6: 8-6 ATS  (road teams by 2 games)

Week 5: 5-9 ATS  (home teams by 4 games)

Week 4: 11-3-1 ATS  (road teams by 8 games)

Week 3: 10-6 ATS  (road teams by 4 games)

Week 2: 4-11-1 ATS  (home teams by 7 games)

Week 1: 8-8 ATS  (evenly)



The road teams have out numbered the home teams when it came to covering the spread this season 5 week to 2 weeks & week 1 had it even..............will it regress back to the mean?? Possibly but imo, I dont think so...............

I like a lot of road teams this week...............  does the streak continue.....................
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#178
Posted: 11/3/2012 4:20:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by shivaseven:

Originally Posted by James_Dean]

Giants are also 0-4 ATS and 1-3 SU in their last 4 games right after playing the Cowboys.
[/Quote

I don't have those numbers. I've got ATS 1-3 and SUP 2-2 but with the ATS numbers it all comes down to the closing number.

You are ridiculous looking for trends on a sample size of 4 games if any of you knew something about statistics you should know you need a much bigger sample size than 4!! And the majority of 'trends' people post are based on 'after the event ' ... Try identifying one of these trends early and following it and having a solid record.. Noone posts about a trend that is 4-0 ATS and goes 10-0 ..people find trends that by chance have a great record and then think it will continue.. Do u think the Giants care that they played the cowgirls last week and now it means they 'can't' win by 4+ this week .. If Pitt cover this week it won't be because of that 
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#179
Posted: 11/3/2012 5:23:25 PM
Fellas ...How are ya...been a while but you all know ......Cowboys pound em this is the Play to make haven't got a crazy bank roll so I will be conservative but this is one game to not pass on. BOL
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#180
Posted: 11/3/2012 5:33:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by statsman49:

You are ridiculous looking for trends on a sample size of 4 games if any of you knew something about statistics you should know you need a much bigger sample size than 4!! And the majority of 'trends' people post are based on 'after the event ' ... Try identifying one of these trends early and following it and having a solid record.. Noone posts about a trend that is 4-0 ATS and goes 10-0 ..people find trends that by chance have a great record and then think it will continue.. Do u think the Giants care that they played the cowgirls last week and now it means they 'can't' win by 4+ this week .. If Pitt cover this week it won't be because of that 



You can't have it both ways! First you criticize me for posting STATS that have a small sample size. Then you criticize me for not taking an approach that identifies trends early. If I posted a trend that pointed to a NYG letdown after a Cowboy match say at an imaginary ATS of 31-10, you'd say that the numbers are stale and I should have been on this trend when it was say ... ATS 4-0. I'm not saying you don't make some interesting points but I can't win any kind of argument with the logic you are using. Also, I am big proponent of situational handicapping so I 'do' believe teams have let-down spots on their schedule. If PIT does lose it will probably be because their secondary is a major issue without TP on the field. Oh, here's another trend for you.

STEELERS with TP in secondary SUP 28-9
STEELERS without TP in secondary SUP 9-9

Maybe I should hedge  my bet and take the Steelers and the OVER so if PIT secondary gets shredded I'll catch the over.

 

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#181
Posted: 11/3/2012 6:09:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by shivaseven:



You can't have it both ways! First you criticize me for posting STATS that have a small sample size. Then you criticize me for not taking an approach that identifies trends early. If I posted a trend that pointed to a NYG letdown after a Cowboy match say at an imaginary ATS of 31-10, you'd say that the numbers are stale and I should have been on this trend when it was say ... ATS 4-0. I'm not saying you don't make some interesting points but I can't win any kind of argument with the logic you are using. Also, I am big proponent of situational handicapping so I 'do' believe teams have let-down spots on their schedule. If PIT does lose it will probably be because their secondary is a major issue without TP on the field. Oh, here's another trend for you.

STEELERS with TP in secondary SUP 28-9
STEELERS without TP in secondary SUP 9-9

Maybe I should hedge  my bet and take the Steelers and the OVER so if PIT secondary gets shredded I'll catch the over.

 



The Steelers record without Palamalu and the Steelers record on the road have been on ESPN a few times this week, in other words they are widely recognized as being garbage.

Yet.... books are juicing -3 for the Giants
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#182
Posted: 11/3/2012 7:12:34 PM

hey pt

Recap all of your picks please!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I cant be scrolling through 9 pages of picks and idiots talking

can you compress your ind. picks into one posting??

thanks!

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#183
Posted: 11/3/2012 8:37:10 PM
hahahahahah dumbass
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#184
Posted: 11/3/2012 8:37:44 PM
dont bother dude is a poser he switches up picks and theres proof out here , Fraud girl thats that garbage i dont like !
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#185
Posted: 11/3/2012 8:39:31 PM
dumb darn
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#186
Posted: 11/3/2012 8:40:26 PM
bump ! dumb darn ! LOL t(-.-)t PTB killaaaa whos with it
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#187
Posted: 11/3/2012 8:41:14 PM
heres a play for you ptb B=====D~~~
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TREE88
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#188
Posted: 11/3/2012 8:53:04 PM
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#189
Posted: 11/3/2012 9:00:45 PM
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#190
Posted: 11/3/2012 11:11:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

Buying out of my Ravens play........................found 2 system plays supporting the Browns when I didnt even think I had................jumped the gun too early but luckily im catching 3.5 with the Browns...............



Browns +3.5 (-110)  $1,100 to win $1,000


Gonna take the loss on the juice & possibly play the Browns in a few parlays.................

loser
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#191
Posted: 11/4/2012 12:33:26 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:



The Steelers record without Palamalu and the Steelers record on the road have been on ESPN a few times this week, in other words they are widely recognized as being garbage.

Yet.... books are juicing -3 for the Giants


Good point. I've got the STEELERS +3 despite the fact they are 3-11 ATS on the road. Good Luck on the weekend
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#192
Posted: 11/4/2012 2:19:25 AM
you are more idiotic than me idiot
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#193
Posted: 11/4/2012 3:26:19 AM
I like the Ravens bet. Good luck.
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#194
Posted: 11/4/2012 3:30:43 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

Romos record in November is 19-2 straight up.

IgetMoney   Will u be posting ur picks before sundays games?  
                   
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#195
Posted: 11/4/2012 8:01:09 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

+$1,800 last week.....................roll sitting at $31,800...........(-$30k for the year but gonna win it all back, stay tuned)

Updated wagers:


Ravens -3 (-120)   $1,200 to win $1,000  

Browns +3.5 (-110)  $1,100 to win $1,000  (bought out of Ravens play)

Panthers +3.5 (-110)  $1,100 to win $1,000

Broncos -3 (-120)   $1,200 to win $1,000

Bengals +3.5 (-110)  $1,100 to win $1,000  (bought out of my Broncos wager)

Cowboys +4.5 (-110)  $2,200 to win $2,000  (will also play the ML)

Eagles +3.5 (-110)   $2,200 to win $2,000  (will also play the ML)

Colts +2.5 (-110)  $1,100 to win $1,000  (will also play the ML)

Steelers +3.5 (-110)  $3,300 to win $3,000  (will also play the ML)

Jaguars +3.5 (-110)   $2,200 to win $2,000

Titans +3 (+110)  $1,000 to win $1,100

Tampa ML (+100)  $1,000 to win $1,000





Correct me if I am wrong. If you are down an imaginary $30,000 for the season and you add an imaginary $30,000, then you win an imaginary $1800, shouldn't you be up an imaginary $1800? I imagine covers will box me again for calling this guy a , but I fail to see how they haven't boxed this joker yet.
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#196
Posted: 11/4/2012 8:41:50 AM
^^^^^^^^^^


You must be retarded.....................
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#197
Posted: 11/4/2012 9:13:43 AM

Too many wagers yet once again.  PTB obviously lives in his grandma's basement with imaginary dollars.  Probably doesn't get out much and got no friends in real life.  So this covers thread is what his joy in life really is.

 Lets not take away his only joy in life and let him continue to be the biggest   and the joke in here.

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#198
Posted: 11/4/2012 9:23:12 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by courtt44:

Too many wagers yet once again.  PTB obviously lives in his grandma's basement with imaginary dollars.  Probably doesn't get out much and got no friends in real life.  So this covers thread is what his joy in life really is.

 Lets not take away his only joy in life and let him continue to be the biggest   and the joke in here.


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#199
Posted: 11/4/2012 10:58:01 AM
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#200
Posted: 11/4/2012 3:22:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SCUZZYBUZZARD:



Correct me if I am wrong. If you are down an imaginary $30,000 for the season and you add an imaginary $30,000, then you win an imaginary $1800, shouldn't you be up an imaginary $1800? I imagine covers will box me again for calling this guy a , but I fail to see how they haven't boxed this joker yet.


Well they will never box PTB because of the amount of views he has. Yes everyone who lives in the real world knows he is a fraud but people come on to this threads to either hate on him or love him. I'd miss him if he left. I love see him losing his imaginary money. I mean whjo would ever tail a guy that has so far lost 30k and after the weekend looks a lot more..

Just enjoy the stupidity of the guy. I do..
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