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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: ***NFL WEEK 9 PLAYS***
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#126
Posted: 10/31/2012 5:53:48 PM
These are my last plays & basically almost all in with my entire roll but spread apart, thats the only management I was looking for instead of putting down 15k on one game:



3 team ML parlay:


Tampa ML (+100), Steelers ML (+155), Eagles ML (+155)...............$1,000 to win $12,005


6 team parlay:


Chargers ML (-320), Texans ML (-525), Seattle (-230), Tampa ML (+100), Steelers (+155), Eagles (+155)............$600 to win $16,893.14




Steelers ML (+155)  $2,000 to win $3,100

Eagles ML (+155)  $2,000 to win $3,100


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#127
Posted: 10/31/2012 6:29:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by James_Dean:



Shiva, 

Make sure your system isn't including the Seattle game from 2010 which the Giants had a bye week in between their Dallas game.  Here's what I've got;


2012 vs. Tampa Bay W41-34 L-9
2011 vs. Washington L10-23 L-5.5
2010 @ Philly L17-27  L+3.5
2009 vs. Philly L38-45 L+1

1-3 SU 0-4 ATS


Yeah, you're right. I ran it excluding the BYES and ...

Anyways, I like the way the STEELERS are rounding into form so I took them for a UNIT at +3.5
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#128
Posted: 10/31/2012 6:31:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by shivaseven:



Yeah, you're right. I ran it excluding the BYES and ...

Anyways, I like the way the STEELERS are rounding into form so I took them for a UNIT at +3.5



You wont need the points Shiva.............Steelers win SU this week!
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#129
Posted: 10/31/2012 7:20:30 PM

This weeks bets;

SD -7.5

CIN +3.5

JAC +3.5

MIA -2.5

BAL -3.5

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#130
Posted: 10/31/2012 8:20:46 PM
5 star call bangeles +3
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#131
Posted: 10/31/2012 8:26:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by eggy45:

This weeks bets;

SD -7.5

CIN +3.5

JAC +3.5

MIA -2.5

BAL -3.5



That Thursday night spread is way too tough to play..................
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#132
Posted: 10/31/2012 10:02:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:



^^^^^^^^^


correction***********

Panthers are +3.5 (-110)  $1,100 to win $1,000

 

You seem to make these kind of mistakes a lot. I totally understand though considering you are not actually betting these large amounts on the games. GL anyway

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#133
Posted: 10/31/2012 10:30:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by robbypants:

 

You seem to make these kind of mistakes a lot. I totally understand though considering you are not actually betting these large amounts on the games. GL anyway



I assume you dont make mistakes when you are typing? With no edit button, this will happen more & more in this forum from anyone & everyone...............do I detect a bit of jealousy?? 

We all dont wager $50 or $100 on games, it wouldnt be worth my time or yours, since you couldnt complain in my thread..............

I recommend changing your screen name as well, it doesnt bode well for a man with a screen name like yours.................
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#134
Posted: 10/31/2012 10:32:20 PM
BOL PTB!
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#135
Posted: 11/1/2012 1:18:51 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:




You wont need the points Shiva.............Steelers win SU this week!


Yeah, it is time for the big boys to rise to the top. BR looking good and assimilating Haley's offense. Steelers not the best road crew but still think they will get it done.
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#136
Posted: 11/1/2012 1:33:37 AM
Hey PTB, first time posting on one of your forums. Forget the haters I respect your picks and how you come to them. Oakland is giving 1.5 to Tampa this Sunday and it boggles my mind why Oakland is the favorite. I am really considering slamming on Tampa because I see no way that Oakland wins this game. Tampa destroyed Minnesota last week, their offense looks phenomenal. Any thoughts or comments for me NOT to lay my max bet? 
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#137
Posted: 11/1/2012 1:37:40 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

Dallas receiver Dez Bryant fingers tips cost me $26k, yes, that was the difference between winning 26k & losing -600 for the week................but thats gambling...........Dallas handed the Giants that win thanks to Romo's picks & turnovers (6 in all)

49ers -7 (-110)  $2,200 to win $2,000  (Pending)

49ers -6.5 (-125)  $1,250 to win $1,000  (Pending)

Tampa +16.5, Dallas +11, Cards +16.5...........$600 to win $500 (Pending)

_______________________________________________________



Ravens -3 (-120)   $1,200 to win $1,000  

Panthers +3.5 (-110)  $1,200 to win $1,000  (will also be on the ML)


Goodluck!!

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#138
Posted: 11/1/2012 1:47:26 AM

Hey Prime

Great bounceback last week, Atl and Miami were bbbbeasts

Cowboys are atrocious

You mentioned home dogs covering this weekend, IM on board

I like the Colts in this spot, RG3 is a monster but dont sleep on Andrew luck...the boy has an arm and unlike RG3 has some receivers to catch his throws!

what you think?

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#139
Posted: 11/1/2012 1:49:04 AM
you worry about the loss of nicks for tampas ground game prime?
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#140
Posted: 11/1/2012 2:51:55 AM
How do you decide how much to put on the M.L. bets. Is it a percentage of your points line bet or does it just vary pending your feeling on the game?
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#141
Posted: 11/1/2012 7:54:05 AM
gl
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#142
Posted: 11/1/2012 12:40:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bachn1911:

Hey PTB, first time posting on one of your forums. Forget the haters I respect your picks and how you come to them. Oakland is giving 1.5 to Tampa this Sunday and it boggles my mind why Oakland is the favorite. I am really considering slamming on Tampa because I see no way that Oakland wins this game. Tampa destroyed Minnesota last week, their offense looks phenomenal. Any thoughts or comments for me NOT to lay my max bet? 


Bach, anything can happen in these NFL games, as we all saw on that Monday night game between the Packers & Seattle..............

Imo, Tampa wins this game by 10 points..............as for you playing a max wager on Tampa, that is up to you & your financial wealth. If you can handle a loss of the kind of wager you are thinking of placing, go for it.............I myself dont think Tampa loses but Tampa isnt my best game of the week..............my best bets are the Steelers 1st & then the Eagles.....................

I have Tampa winning this week & surprisingly losing next week at home vs the Chargers..................


Good luck with whatever you choose to do.....................
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#143
Posted: 11/1/2012 12:40:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by davopnz:

you worry about the loss of nicks for tampas ground game prime?


Is Nicks out? If so, that's a huge loss. Didn't they lose Joseph in preseason?
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#144
Posted: 11/1/2012 12:45:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by aaustinova67:

Hey Prime

Great bounceback last week, Atl and Miami were bbbbeasts

Cowboys are atrocious

You mentioned home dogs covering this weekend, IM on board

I like the Colts in this spot, RG3 is a monster but dont sleep on Andrew luck...the boy has an arm and unlike RG3 has some receivers to catch his throws!

what you think?



Colts are coming off an awesome win in over time, im hoping it didnt take anything out of them since it was their 1st road win of the season. Kind of like when they won their 1st home game of the season & then lost the following week..................I think I may have jumped the gun with the Colts this week so be careful, its the least liked game for me this week.................

They also play next Thursday at Jacksonville so they will be having a short week...................Andrew Luck will win a super bowl before he retires but its still way too early & he is a great young Qb learning the system & will make mistakes.

Although I did wager on the Colts, I wouldnt recommend this game to anyone, like I said, I jumped the gun too early on this one................

Good luck with whatever you decide.................
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#145
Posted: 11/1/2012 12:48:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by davopnz:

you worry about the loss of nicks for tampas ground game prime?



The Tampa play isnt so much of how well Tampa is playing, its more of how terrible the Raiders are & a play against them.................injuries dont really bother me in the NFL unless its the center or the main Qb of a team..........................teams in the NFL seem to rally around their injured teams.................except for the Ravens 2 weeks ago when they got waxed......................
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#146
Posted: 11/1/2012 12:53:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Goolay:

How do you decide how much to put on the M.L. bets. Is it a percentage of your points line bet or does it just vary pending your feeling on the game?



When I cap a game, I cap to see if one team can beat the other, not can they cover so like the Steelers this week..............there is no doubt in my mind I know they can beat the Giants coming off an emotional win vs Dallas where they almost lost the game after a 2nd half meltdown.....................

As for how much to wager on the ML, I dont have a percentage. Last week I risked a dime to win over 3 dimes on the Panthers & a dime on the Panthers plus the points.............too bad the panthers lost by 1...............the smart thing would have been to wager a dime on the points & 30% or $300 on the Panthers ML because the line was so high.

When the line is 3 points or less, it doesnt usually matter because the spread comes into play only about 18% of the time but this year is an anomaly & the spread is coming into play over 30% I believe................
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#147
Posted: 11/1/2012 1:02:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

These are my last plays & basically almost all in with my entire roll but spread apart, thats the only management I was looking for instead of putting down 15k on one game:



3 team ML parlay:


Tampa ML (+100), Steelers ML (+155), Eagles ML (+155)...............$1,000 to win $12,005


6 team parlay:


Chargers ML (-320), Texans ML (-525), Seattle (-230), Tampa ML (+100), Steelers (+155), Eagles (+155)............$600 to win $16,893.14




Steelers ML (+155)  $2,000 to win $3,100

Eagles ML (+155)  $2,000 to win $3,100





Money Management mixed with 3 team parlays????



Come on man....  
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#148
Posted: 11/1/2012 1:04:18 PM
I honestly think if you take away the amounts on games and not talk about your "roll" and money management  -  you won't get many people in your threads attacking the thread in whole.


IMO.    
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#149
Posted: 11/1/2012 1:16:05 PM
Gilmo, are you a follower or a leader?? If your wife/girlfriend jumped off a bridge, would you follow?

What im getting at is not everyone follows a money management plan like you or most others..............I toned down playing 10 or 15 k on one game because that will bankrupt anyone really quick. Spread the money around & if you have confidence in your plays, you will make money.............

As for the haters, they never bothered me................... in fact, I encourage a good debate when it comes to the NFL & betting, as for people hating on me because of my roll or what I wager..........well thats pure jealousy & misery loves company.......................& I would say 70% of covers fits that bill.....................
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#150
Posted: 11/1/2012 1:22:28 PM
If anyone is looking for a possible long shot & a huge upset..............look for the Cards to go into Gbay & win SU....................



Cards ML (+450)  (think the Cards win this game)

Cards +11
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