*** Best Play of the Month *** It's Hammer Time!

Forum: NFL Betting Page 3 of 5  1 2 3 4 5  
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: *** Best Play of the Month *** It's Hammer Time!
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 10/13/2012 10:05:33 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kevmode:

I think the score will be 24-10 Ravens.  The Cowboys offense has been off all season long and they can't run the ball effectively either.  Bol League I respect your opinion even though I am on the other side.


You truly think that overrated defense which has 0 pass rush will hold the cowboys to 10 points off a bye?
LasVegasLord PM LasVegasLord
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Posted: 10/13/2012 11:49:44 AM
I like Dallas +3.   BOL League.
CurtisBlow304 PM CurtisBlow304
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Posted: 10/13/2012 11:56:46 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by clubtnt:

two plays of the month? you had STL last week as POM.


And he nailed it.
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 10/13/2012 1:38:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LasVegasLord:

I like Dallas +3.   BOL League.



mikesomoney PM mikesomoney
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Posted: 10/13/2012 2:01:21 PM
Hey LC still good at +3?
Posted using a mobile device.
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 10/13/2012 2:21:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mikesomoney:

Hey LC still good at +3?


I'm on the ML as well so you bet
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 10/13/2012 9:33:30 PM
Line down to +3 and ML down to +145
casheasy PM casheasy
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Posted: 10/13/2012 9:44:11 PM
I like some of your reasoning. I've gone back and forth and this game. When it opened I liked Dallas. Then I dug deeper and liked Baltimore's odds of rebounding after a laskluster performance last week. I like their ability at home to dictate the outcome more than most teams. But then I thought even more (LOL) and came to some of the same conclusions you did. I like the cowboys to pressure Fluke-O (I actually like him but love that moniker) and think Dallas has been hearing how bad they are for two weeks. They just might finally use Demarco Murray the way they should. Big D, little a, ell ell a ess.....DALLAS
rosaritoking PM rosaritoking
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Posted: 10/13/2012 10:11:23 PM
liking dallas, center costa is said to be starting which should help that O-line as well as ratliff, another pass rusher...   GL with ur picks league!  
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 10/13/2012 10:17:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by casheasy:

I like some of your reasoning. I've gone back and forth and this game. When it opened I liked Dallas. Then I dug deeper and liked Baltimore's odds of rebounding after a laskluster performance last week. I like their ability at home to dictate the outcome more than most teams. But then I thought even more (LOL) and came to some of the same conclusions you did. I like the cowboys to pressure Fluke-O (I actually like him but love that moniker) and think Dallas has been hearing how bad they are for two weeks. They just might finally use Demarco Murray the way they should. Big D, little a, ell ell a ess.....DALLAS


The more I look at this game, the more and more I love DAL in this spot. Baltimore will be extremely lucky to sniff 20 points tomorrow. Cowboys defense is going under the radar to this point since all the talk about them has been about all their turnovers.
az49erdog PM az49erdog
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Posted: 10/13/2012 10:27:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Dallas Cowboys @ Baltimore Ravens

If anyone has been following, I am 3-0 fading the Ravens the past three weeks and 1-0 fading the cowboys in the same timespan so it's safe to say I know these two teams pretty well. Not only are the Cowboys off a blowout loss, but they are coming out of a bye week as well so they have had plenty of time to gameplan for the Ravens. The Cowboys have been historically bad as a favorite the past few years (4-17 ATS) as you can tell with how they played against the Bears last but they play exceptionally well as an underdog. When the Oline for the Cowboys is doing their job and preventing Romo from throwing INT's and costly turnovers, they are one of the best teams in the NFL, hands down. This game means so much more to the cowboys who are only 2-2 and a game back in their division. Ravens are #1 in their division, off three straight wins, and won't care as much to face a non-conference opponent. Especially since they have the undefeated Texans next week. Everyone knows how I feel about the Ravens defense and lack of pass rush this year with T. Suggs being out. This is the cowboys statement game. When's the last time someone went into Baltimore and came out with a win? Cowboys will show everyone they are legit contenders after this sunday.

Ravens sacked Brandon Weeden 1 time in 53 pass attempts 2 weeks ago.
Ravens sacked Cassell/Quinn 0 times in 18 pass attempts last week.


Joe Flacco has been sacked 4 times by the Browns two weeks ago.
Joe Flacco has been sacked 4 times by the Chiefs last week.

I've always said line movement or late line movement is pointless to watch as it could go either way and doesn't indicate anything. But the one thing that does matter and that I do pay attention to is early line movement. And by early, I mean within hours of the line being posted. Immediately after this line opened at -4/-4.5, it was bet down to -3.5 despite 83% of bets being on the Ravens up to today. Early line movement like this indicates some high rollers who were waiting for this line to come out and pounced on it immediately.

The Cowboys are 16-7 SU and 16-7 ATS off their bye week. The Cowboys are 10-4 ATS on the road, following their bye week including 1-0 ATS last year.

The Ravens longest active streak in the NFL of 13 consecutive wins at home comes to an end this Sunday.

I'm all over the Cowboys this week. Bring it home Romo!

139543638-1 10/9/12 5:52pm $234.00 $200.00 Pending 10/14/12 1:00pm  NFL Football  217 Dallas Cowboys +4 -117* vs Baltimore Ravens 

139543627-1 10/9/12 5:51pm $220.00 $200.00 Pending 10/14/12 1:00pm  NFL Football  218 Baltimore Ravens Under 24 -110* vs Dallas Cowboys 

139543604-1 10/9/12 5:51pm $351.00 $300.00 Pending 10/14/12 1:00pm  NFL Football  217 Dallas Cowboys +4 -117* vs Baltimore Ravens 
139616610-1 10/10/12 4:02pm $236.00 $200.00 Pending 10/14/12 1:00pm  NFL Football  217 Dallas Cowboys +4 -118* vs Baltimore Ravens 
139616610-2 10/10/12 4:02pm $100.00 $165.00 Pending 10/14/12 1:00pm  NFL Football  217 Dallas Cowboys +165* vs Baltimore Ravens 
League, I respect your analysis, however even as good as it looks to you on paper, Dallas has more holes than a block of swiss cheese and Romo is highly Overrated IMHO. The bears got to him early and often and the Ravens are just as capable of a  "pick six". TR more often than not looks like a deer in the headlights and even if he plays well, Dallas "D" leaves a lot to be desired. I'm layin the lumber here especially @ the small #. GL to you buddy!
LeagueCapper PM LeagueCapper
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Posted: 10/13/2012 10:32:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by az49erdog:

League, I respect your analysis, however even as good as it looks to you on paper, Dallas has more holes than a block of swiss cheese and Romo is highly Overrated IMHO. The bears got to him early and often and the Ravens are just as capable of a  "pick six". TR more often than not looks like a deer in the headlights and even if he plays well, Dallas "D" leaves a lot to be desired. I'm layin the lumber here especially @ the small #. GL to you buddy!


That's just the thing, the Ravens aren't "just as capable." The Bears defense and the Ravens defense is lightyears apart right now. Everyone still thinks this Ravens defense is good, there not. CHI is leading the NFL in sacks this year, Ravens have 1 sack in the past 2 weeks. Cowboys have the #1 secondary in the NFL, you will see how good it is tomorrow
hapunbaby PM hapunbaby
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Posted: 10/13/2012 10:34:51 PM
the_underdog PM the_underdog
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Posted: 10/14/2012 12:21:10 AM
im all in gl
cambyspree99 PM cambyspree99
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Posted: 10/14/2012 12:25:35 AM
cowboys suck!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
SiMbEcK11 PM SiMbEcK11
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Posted: 10/14/2012 12:37:41 AM
The Cowboys are the most underachieving crap team ever. IMO they are soft and can't hang with BAL.

I would never back Romo in any game. Guy is an inconsistent clown who can't even hold a FG properly in a playoff game.

BOL
mikesomoney PM mikesomoney
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Posted: 10/14/2012 3:09:54 AM
Its annoying that 5Dimes wont let me buy up to 4 pts.
phillyfranko PM phillyfranko
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Posted: 10/14/2012 3:15:03 AM
Love the Cowboys to win and cover...put a few plays in for me...I only have about 4 units in my acct to play with and at least one is going on Cowboys and maybe a half unit on Boys ML  Good Luck...
fresh4lyph PM fresh4lyph
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Posted: 10/14/2012 3:23:14 AM
so crazy it might work
jerzeyboy56 PM jerzeyboy56
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Posted: 10/14/2012 3:40:52 AM
Cowboys fan and LeagueCapper/follower/tail/fade when necessary..Love the play..no NOT because im a cowboys fan but because I feel this is a spot play..I also LOVE the Giants in this spot and i LITERALLY friggin hate the Giants more then you know..HATE betting my team and HATE betting Gmen but both of these spots scream out to me for some reason..Looking for insight from anyone cuz i may be "blinded" and need some explaining. Bol This Sunday Boys
Stevedore PM Stevedore
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Posted: 10/14/2012 4:01:57 AM
Locked in at +4 -115 
CertifiedWizard PM CertifiedWizard
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Posted: 10/14/2012 6:07:30 AM
LC you're right about the defense not being as good as it was last year but those sack stats regarding Browns and Chiefs are misleading. The reason the defense didn't get after the qb is because those team both have a premier back. The defense being as short-handed as they are had to adjust and respect their opponents run game. 

With Dallas's lack of a running game. I can see more pressure from the defense. The O-line for cowboys is nothing spectacular. By betting Cowboys, you are betting that Tony Romo single handedly beats the defense with one of those magical games in which he evades every tackle and scrambles to make a big play on a broken play. 

Dallas's D might be flying under the radar but the check down pass to Ray Rice will be there all game and i see little to no turnovers from Flacco.

I hope you are right and I am wrong though. Just my .02

BOL LC 
Orangemen44 PM Orangemen44
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Posted: 10/14/2012 6:08:54 AM
mp5070 PM mp5070
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Posted: 10/14/2012 7:27:13 AM
rod_steel PM rod_steel
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Posted: 10/14/2012 7:50:00 AM
Forum: NFL Betting Page 3 of 5  1 2 3 4 5  
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