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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: WEEK 6 TNF »kn0wn« (25-15 YTD)
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#1
Posted: 10/10/2012 3:04:39 PM
20-6 ATS
5-9 Totals
25-15 TYD

Hey guys back for another week of NFL starting with Thursday Night Football.

This was an interesting game to cap...I really dug deep into this game and tried my best to find things supporting the Titans here and while there are a few things that say they COULD do better than what their record shows I just cant justify betting on them.  

With that said I have two plays for Thursday night and will probably add another one at Half.

Pittsburgh Steelers 1H -3
Pittsburgh Steelers -6

Now I hate playing heavily bet favorites on primetime games so trust me I tried to find reasons not to but the titans are just playing awful right now.  They cannot drive the ball at all, Chris Johnson has not done anything since he got his money their Defense is one of the worst in the league their is nothing going for this team right now.  Now I understand the Steelers tend to drop the ball night time on the road and also on primetime games, and that Tenn will want a win here, but they just dont have right game plan right now to do it. 

 I see Pitt coming out early and getting a lead (like they did against the Eagles) which is why I bet them -3 for the first half.  But I also think they will hang onto the lead for the game this time. The Eagles have a much better defense than the titans do right now and Pitt wont have as much trouble moving the ball here.

I understand that Pitt is banged up but when is this team not banged up.  They are rarely completely healthy and I dont think injuries will be to big of a deal in this game.  Tenn wont be able to score at Pitt will win easily here.  Also the short week for Pitt isnt as big of a deal this week because they just came off of a bye last week so they are a bit more rested than Tenn who has been getting beat up on weekly since the start of the season.

Pitt wins this game 27-17

GL 
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#2
Posted: 10/10/2012 4:30:25 PM
Known I want to pound the ML in particular. Just don't see how the Titans will produce enough offensively to outscore Big Ben. Titans have zero run game. I think the Steelers cover but I just can't lay the 5.5/6. If it was 2.5 3 then I would but I'm smelling a pitt win titans cover here. BOL tho I will continue to cap this one even tho I feel like I'm overthinking this one just cuz of how pitt has performed on the road historically and against the raiders this year. Raiders stink and I'm a raider fan. GL!
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brent0887
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#3
Posted: 10/10/2012 4:31:48 PM
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#4
Posted: 10/10/2012 7:04:00 PM
TreyInventor...
your thinking makes sense man I was thinking bout just taking the ML but I dont like payin for that.  I really think Pitt covers here and they are already 0-2 on the road they will be lookin to change that vs the titans this week.  But GL to you man  I really feel either a pitt or no play in this game cause idk how anyone can put money on the titans.  They are sooo bad.  The Jets game on MNF was different cause they were only a 2-2 team, have talent at least too.  The Titans are not doing one good thing right now and until I see different I wont be betting a penny on that team.
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#5
Posted: 10/10/2012 7:04:21 PM
brent0887
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#6
Posted: 10/10/2012 8:44:52 PM
Respect your capping abilities Known....Do you think Hasselbeck will score 3 TD's here since he only need 3 TD's to get career 200 TDs. Also Roethlesberger need to surpass Old bald head for team's for most yardage leader in Pitt. I was thinking since this is a Prime time game. The league would want to see that since it'll be a good show during the game? I am looking at the total going over just taking the angle Tennesee will show up at home and put up a fight and Ben needing 300 yard and heath Miller needing 2 TD. Considering over the total of 44 or 43.5. What do you think?
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#7
Posted: 10/10/2012 8:58:37 PM
salsaboy27...

Im laying off the total until second half then I will prolly play something, but if I were to play it I would be on the OVER.  The reasons you said are interesting and will def help but also Titans are allowing like 30 PPG right now and I think Steelers are also allowing quite a few as well.  Especially when the under is going to be more "publicly" backed in this game because of how often Thursday night games have been going under.  GL man
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#8
Posted: 10/10/2012 8:59:54 PM
Tough to say about the 3 TD's by hasselbeck though....this whole titans squad is hard to guage because they are a mess right now...especially with their own players blaming each other and everything.  To me they have nothing to play for right now...
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#9
Posted: 10/10/2012 9:19:17 PM
Kn0wn Sounds good...I've been on the Under the last 3 weeks on thursday and I think that the perception the Titans have nothing to play for here is gonna justify the fact they might just go for the Milestones and so does Pittsburgh. It also helps they give up 30 plus points. I know for sure Heath Miller is gonna be a beast and the return man from Tennesee is a speedster. We might see one just the like of Joe Mcknight 100 yards td on Monday night. He is very capable okus this being in Tennessee I doubt we will see a snoozer...The league somehow make it interesting to watch so we don't change channels.

GL to you...and keep giving good insights!
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#10
Posted: 10/10/2012 9:25:10 PM
yea man I dont usually like playing overs on primetime games but I think this would be a good spot to play it 
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#11
Posted: 10/10/2012 9:36:38 PM
Titans are shitty team, where is their motivation to play tomorrow night?
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#12
Posted: 10/10/2012 9:37:38 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rr207:

Titans are shitty team, where is their motivation to play tomorrow night?

they dont have any 
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#13
Posted: 10/10/2012 9:46:38 PM
Steelers 31-13..................
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#14
Posted: 10/10/2012 10:09:38 PM
Steelers -5.5, I'm on it too brother. Let's get this money.
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#15
Posted: 10/10/2012 10:11:38 PM
clovercloverclover
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#16
Posted: 10/10/2012 10:12:50 PM
gl
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#17
Posted: 10/10/2012 10:25:44 PM
i am with ya known  locked in pitt @-5.5 here in sin city
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#18
Posted: 10/10/2012 10:26:35 PM
i am with ya known  locked in pitt @-5.5 here in sin city
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#19
Posted: 10/10/2012 10:53:57 PM
PrimeTime 
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#20
Posted: 10/10/2012 10:55:49 PM
Nastynate-
action_junkee
neurofit
vegasroy

lets get it boys!!

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#21
Posted: 10/10/2012 10:58:28 PM
Good luck.  I hope you're right.
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#22
Posted: 10/10/2012 11:04:14 PM
FadeOnly GL to you as well man!
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#23
Posted: 10/10/2012 11:06:44 PM
Pitt and under
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#24
Posted: 10/10/2012 11:59:37 PM
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#25
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:12:32 AM

Road Favorite

GL Known!

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