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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: WEEK 6 - NFL Breakdown Sheets
orionshadow
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#101
Posted: 10/14/2012 5:10:45 AM
Crazy detail. Props
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#102
Posted: 10/14/2012 9:04:30 AM
Morning guys!  I see some good questions, I'll try and get to answering them in a bit.  Might have a few plays today.. looking over a few more things before locking anything in.
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#103
Posted: 10/14/2012 9:50:22 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Unplug:

what do u think about colts vs jets?
nyj have lost their 2 biggest playmakers, but now there best pass rusher is out and their starting saftey

Rex ryan gonna disguise his blitz against luck, but he should normally have time and we all know about NYJ offensive woes, but they should be able to run decently on the colts bad run D

Yes the Jets offense sucks and will continue to suck.  No ands or buts about it.  Losing playmakers is just making a bad thing worse.  Yuck.

The Jets defense can survive without playmakers.  Rex Ryan is a schemer.  His defenses work because of positioning on the field and X's and O's - not great players.  He's been at home for two weeks and I would expect him to be more than prepared for Andew Luck.  One thing I'll never do is bet on a rookie quarterback against a great coach.  Seattle is one example and the Colts are another.

Also remember that the Colts really gave it their all last week at home on top of all the drama with their coach.  Traveling on the road to a pissed off Jets team that has been waiting at home is a really tough situational spot to be in.  I find it hard to believe that they'll be able to put out the same amount of effort that earned them a victory last week.  On the road against a better defense and it could be a disaster.

I like the Jets -3 (-120)
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#104
Posted: 10/14/2012 9:52:45 AM
When I say "great coach" in reference to Rex Ryan - I mean great defensive coach.  He doesn't know offense from his elbow or his fool.  But he knows defense better than just about any HC in the NFL.
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#105
Posted: 10/14/2012 9:54:12 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DaSaltySluG:

Did you ever breakdown the CIN vs CLE game or the MIA vs STL...? Please get back to me ASAP!

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B8gd-be68XCvUVpnci1IUWMtRFE/edit

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B8gd-be68XCvcURxalc4VWtYNW8/edit
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#106
Posted: 10/14/2012 10:02:38 AM
Great stuff as always!  What are you leaning today silly? 
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#107
Posted: 10/14/2012 10:03:27 AM
Just locked in Jets -3 (-120)
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#108
Posted: 10/14/2012 10:07:27 AM
silly if you were doing a 3 team 10 point teaser what teams would u give the points to
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#109
Posted: 10/14/2012 10:14:29 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by brianpitts3:

silly if you were doing a 3 team 10 point teaser what teams would u give the points to

Atlanta definitely

Minnesota probably

Detroit maybe

Seattle maybe

Buffalo maybe
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#110
Posted: 10/14/2012 10:14:55 AM
just the first few that came to mind brianpitts
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#111
Posted: 10/14/2012 10:37:17 AM
Hi there
Do your stats include breakdown of home versus road.
When dealing with homer teams like Balt and Seattle, the overall shakedown would be different depending on venue.
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#112
Posted: 10/14/2012 10:51:16 AM
Hello Sil1y,

Do you see any value in taking the Jets 1H -3 EV as opposed to paying -120 to get it at -3 for the game.  I don't see this as a very close game so I was thinking it makes more sense to get better odds with the 1H bet.  Thanks and GL on the Jets.
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#113
Posted: 10/14/2012 10:53:29 AM

SI1ly:

Your picks are beast.

Question: Money line to win a g....Atlanta? or Jets better value less risk??

Thanks and Gl

 

 
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#114
Posted: 10/14/2012 10:56:43 AM
BOL--Great Stuff.  Very detailed and helpful
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#115
Posted: 10/14/2012 10:59:38 AM
Great info as always sil1y

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#116
Posted: 10/14/2012 11:20:51 AM

LIKE FALCONS 1ST HALF A LOT,,,

AGREE ON THE JETS,,,
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#117
Posted: 10/14/2012 11:29:16 AM
JETS 
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#118
Posted: 10/14/2012 11:43:32 AM
Jets is the only pick for Sunday?

I have Jets first half -3 (because it was even money).

I am leaning Vikings and Eagles.

Any thoughts?
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#119
Posted: 10/14/2012 11:50:10 AM
what all the official plays locked in?
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#120
Posted: 10/14/2012 11:54:19 AM
Jets and under in Baltimore are my only 1 oclock games. Leaned hard on Cleveland, but decided to pass.
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#121
Posted: 10/14/2012 11:56:27 AM
I find it very unlikely that Atlanta loses.. but Oakland has a great run game and they're off a bye. Atlanta's one weakness is their run d. That's what kept me away from this game.
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#122
Posted: 10/14/2012 11:57:53 AM
Silly, thx for your hard work.....according to your sheets, do you think the under in the Bal-Dal game is a good play?
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#123
Posted: 10/14/2012 12:04:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ver310061:

Silly, thx for your hard work.....according to your sheets, do you think the under in the Bal-Dal game is a good play?



thx, i just saw the previous post
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#124
Posted: 10/14/2012 12:53:21 PM
Thanks guys!  Good luck with everyone's plays!  
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#125
Posted: 10/14/2012 12:55:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by FinzzFan_Utah:

Jets is the only pick for Sunday?

I have Jets first half -3 (because it was even money).

I am leaning Vikings and Eagles.

Any thoughts?

Seems reasonable to me.
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