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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: WEEK 5's SUCKER BET BROUGHT TO YOU BY TOOTSIE POP
demapples send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 10/4/2012 2:12:41 PM
"A pleasant good morning to everyone and welcome to Week 5's SUCKER BET brought to you by the fine folks at Tootsie Pop!  For those of you who are unfamiliar with the SUCKER BET, each week I identify the games where the public seems to be heavily favoring one side.  Typically there are 3 or 4 choices each week.  From those games, I choose one unpopular pick as the SUCKER BET. Last week was not a good one for the SUCKER as the Raiders plus the points never had a chance.  That brings our season tally to 3-1 ATS.  This week is not an easy one to select a SUCKER BET.  Ultimately we have 3 home dogs (IND, KC, JAX) to choose from.  This won't be a popular pick, but I'm taking the Colts +7 hosting the Packers.  There isn't a ton out there to support this pick.  I'm thinking the Colts will be playing with raw emotion as coach Chuck Pagano was suddenly diagnosed with Leukemia.  The Packers have been progressively getting better as the year goes on which doesn't trend nicely for my pick.  But I look at their victory last week vs. the Saints and I can help but think what the outcome would have been if the Saints could only tackle.  We've all seen those games where the Packers defense looks awful.  I'm hoping that defense shows on Sunday along with the most penalized defensive unit in the league.  The Colts have followed up their past 4 SU loses with an ATS win.  They are well rested coming off their bye week in which they are 4-1 ATS L5.  The Pack are both 1-4 ATS L5 overall and their L5 vs. a team with a losing record.  I'm hoping a low scoring under game takes place here.  Colts are 7-0 Under in their last 7 home games and 6-1 Under in their last 7 overall.  Neither team has a lot of familiarity with each other which may or may not support my pick.  One match-up I like is Colts D-Line vs. Pack O-Line.  There you have it, Colts +7 hosting the Pack.  Good luck to everyone this week and see you next week for Week 6's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!"
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cisco
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#2
Posted: 10/4/2012 2:30:01 PM

Nice writeup demapples. I like the play.

Indy +7

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#3
Posted: 10/4/2012 3:13:37 PM
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#4
Posted: 10/4/2012 3:23:14 PM

I thought 9ers/Vikings and Atl/Car were trapped games...I don't think Packers are it this week. Look at the Saints w/out a HC this season.....the sucker should be Skins +3 but you've done well so I would hate to bet against you this week.

GL bud.

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#5
Posted: 10/4/2012 3:58:44 PM
Love it !!
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#6
Posted: 10/4/2012 4:04:03 PM
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#7
Posted: 10/4/2012 4:47:58 PM
Best of Luck 
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#8
Posted: 10/4/2012 7:16:28 PM
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demapples send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#9
Posted: 10/5/2012 9:18:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by choiOi:

I thought 9ers/Vikings and Atl/Car were trapped games...I don't think Packers are it this week. Look at the Saints w/out a HC this season.....the sucker should be Skins +3 but you've done well so I would hate to bet against you this week.

GL bud.



The Redskins weren't an option.  I can only chose from the 3 or 4 most lopsided consensus picks.  Simply being an underdog doesn't qualify...I like to make it hard on myself. 
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#10
Posted: 10/5/2012 11:44:39 AM
I find it hard to believe my Skins don't qualify.  The entire betting nation is salivating over what the Falcons passing game will do to our secondary.
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#11
Posted: 10/5/2012 11:46:01 AM

CROSS OVER GAME,,IF THIS GAME WAS IN WISC I WOULD BE ON THE OTHER SIDE<BUT..UR RIGHT ON THE MONEY>

THE JAX GAME IS TEMTIM...

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#12
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:45:04 AM
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raychard
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#13
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:48:23 AM
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#14
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:48:35 AM
BOL
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#15
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:49:01 AM
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#16
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:54:54 AM
Nice thread.  Like the pick!  GB D not good enough to lay a TD on the road.
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#17
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:56:40 AM
apples i like to see u back this season before i had an account here i always followed u im on ur pic ur sucker bet of the week has always been a big play for me i sent a request as a friend so its easier to follow u for sure colts +7 is the best of the week BOL APPLES IM FOLLOWING ....
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#18
Posted: 10/7/2012 12:00:06 PM
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#19
Posted: 10/7/2012 12:00:55 PM
LIKE  IT.  GOOD  LUCK !

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vetdrm
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#20
Posted: 10/7/2012 12:02:58 PM
LIKE THAT SUCK'A
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#21
Posted: 10/7/2012 12:38:32 PM
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#22
Posted: 10/7/2012 12:45:53 PM
Thanks. I went with it. Colts fan here. Let's see where it leads...

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#23
Posted: 10/7/2012 12:58:51 PM
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#24
Posted: 10/7/2012 5:09:44 PM

Bam!

 

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rr207
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#25
Posted: 10/7/2012 5:10:46 PM
That was awesome 
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