Going LARGE on INDY WK 5 plays...

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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Going LARGE on INDY WK 5 plays...
hawgpix PM hawgpix
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Posted: 10/3/2012 12:29:03 AM
I already know...coach out, rookie QB, etc etc etc.  They fit 2 angles I use for sure, and waiting to see if they fit a 3rd.  5U is typically my largest play.  I may have to go higher if the 3rd angle hits too.

IND +7 5U

BUFF +10 3U

NO -3.5  3U

NE -6.5  3U

Looking for a good week after a train wreck last week.  GL 2all
billyweather PM billyweather
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Posted: 10/3/2012 12:36:56 AM
JBecks12 PM JBecks12
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Posted: 10/3/2012 2:34:31 AM
Agree with Indy pick. Public expects Indy to fail w/o their coach. Luck and team will actually rally and play to honor the coach at home.
Al_Capone007 PM Al_Capone007
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Posted: 10/3/2012 3:11:49 AM
idgi. They might cover, but green bay is on a totally diff level than the colts
lookindicey PM lookindicey
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Posted: 10/3/2012 12:01:15 PM
Yup and with ur bills and colts picks, ur on ur way to another week of trainwrecks, but keep talking urself into how good those picks are
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 10/3/2012 12:03:52 PM
I like that Indy pick
crock22 PM crock22
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Posted: 10/3/2012 12:43:42 PM
What is the 3rd angle?
molardoctor PM molardoctor
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Posted: 10/3/2012 1:17:19 PM
he is waiting to see peoples respones then will have one  lol
shawty321 PM shawty321
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Posted: 10/3/2012 1:27:51 PM
after getting the shaft 2 weeks in a row by officials... green bay's looking for blood this week. good luck with your bet dude but i'd look for other games on the board. Last week the packers shouldve won by 14
MaximusRamulous PM MaximusRamulous
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Posted: 10/3/2012 2:03:47 PM
hawgpix PM hawgpix
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Posted: 10/3/2012 4:02:39 PM
Crock, the 3rd angle has to do with line movement, combined with public perception.  Thats why I wait til Sun morning on that angle.
PrimeTimeBoys PM PrimeTimeBoys
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Posted: 10/3/2012 4:44:33 PM
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nbk12ht PM nbk12ht
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Posted: 10/3/2012 5:14:11 PM

I smell something funny with the line at 7.  In my head it should be at least 10.  So I think you're on to something.  BOL 

hawgpix PM hawgpix
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Posted: 10/4/2012 9:47:55 PM
If Vegas really wanted 50/50, line would be closer to 10.  Hoping they know something! 
Andrew1976 PM Andrew1976
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Posted: 10/4/2012 10:03:17 PM
3rd is GJ is out and 4th is colts got a bye week. you are daydreaming
choiOi PM choiOi
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Posted: 10/4/2012 10:04:37 PM
Large on Indy?
hawgpix PM hawgpix
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Posted: 10/4/2012 11:20:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by choiOi:

Large on Indy?

Get you some GB then... not trying to twist your arm, just what I see.  
hawgpix PM hawgpix
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Posted: 10/4/2012 11:24:59 PM
I've tracked both angles 60+% over 5 yrs.  When both line up, right at 80%.  Obviously, its gonna lose occasionally.  But I'd much rather be on the 80% side. 
hawgpix PM hawgpix
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Posted: 10/6/2012 2:36:53 AM
ADD....

3U NYJ+9   3U

Just graded 3 years of teams in this scenario....70% chance that the Jets cover, based on past scenarios.  It is amazing how often they win...but 9pts is a lot!
SuperCappa PM SuperCappa
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Posted: 10/6/2012 3:39:31 AM
You're third angle is very misleading.
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SuperCappa PM SuperCappa
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Posted: 10/6/2012 3:44:34 AM
Week 2 GJ was out vs Chicago.
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hawgpix PM hawgpix
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Posted: 10/6/2012 11:49:00 AM
Super...with respect, I don't see where that changes anything that I am using for my tools.
hawgpix PM hawgpix
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Posted: 10/7/2012 11:48:04 AM
ADDED ... 5U KC+7    1U JAX +6.5

FINAL CARD

5U  IND+7    KC+7

3U  BUF+10   NO-3.5   NE-6.5   NYJ+9

1U  JAX+6.5  

GL2ALL

hawgpix PM hawgpix
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Posted: 10/7/2012 11:50:36 AM
BTW, leaving IND at a top play, as they don't fit the 3rd angle.  Was hoping they would. 
LaDaddy PM LaDaddy
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Posted: 10/7/2012 11:51:12 AM
,gL
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