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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Going LARGE on INDY WK 5 plays...
hawgpix send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: MGM Grand |
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#1
Posted: 10/3/2012 12:29:03 AM
I already know...coach out, rookie QB, etc etc etc.  They fit 2 angles I use for sure, and waiting to see if they fit a 3rd.  5U is typically my largest play.  I may have to go higher if the 3rd angle hits too.

IND +7 5U

BUFF +10 3U

NO -3.5  3U

NE -6.5  3U

Looking for a good week after a train wreck last week.  GL 2all
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#2
Posted: 10/3/2012 12:36:56 AM
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#3
Posted: 10/3/2012 2:34:31 AM
Agree with Indy pick. Public expects Indy to fail w/o their coach. Luck and team will actually rally and play to honor the coach at home.
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#4
Posted: 10/3/2012 3:11:49 AM
idgi. They might cover, but green bay is on a totally diff level than the colts
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#5
Posted: 10/3/2012 12:01:15 PM
Yup and with ur bills and colts picks, ur on ur way to another week of trainwrecks, but keep talking urself into how good those picks are
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#6
Posted: 10/3/2012 12:03:52 PM
I like that Indy pick
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#7
Posted: 10/3/2012 12:43:42 PM
What is the 3rd angle?
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#8
Posted: 10/3/2012 1:17:19 PM
he is waiting to see peoples respones then will have one  lol
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#9
Posted: 10/3/2012 1:27:51 PM
after getting the shaft 2 weeks in a row by officials... green bay's looking for blood this week. good luck with your bet dude but i'd look for other games on the board. Last week the packers shouldve won by 14
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#10
Posted: 10/3/2012 2:03:47 PM
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hawgpix send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: MGM Grand |
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#11
Posted: 10/3/2012 4:02:39 PM
Crock, the 3rd angle has to do with line movement, combined with public perception.  Thats why I wait til Sun morning on that angle.
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#12
Posted: 10/3/2012 4:44:33 PM
//////////////////////////////////////
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nbk12ht
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#13
Posted: 10/3/2012 5:14:11 PM

I smell something funny with the line at 7.  In my head it should be at least 10.  So I think you're on to something.  BOL 

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#14
Posted: 10/4/2012 9:47:55 PM
If Vegas really wanted 50/50, line would be closer to 10.  Hoping they know something! 
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#15
Posted: 10/4/2012 10:03:17 PM
3rd is GJ is out and 4th is colts got a bye week. you are daydreaming
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#16
Posted: 10/4/2012 10:04:37 PM
Large on Indy?
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#17
Posted: 10/4/2012 11:20:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by choiOi:

Large on Indy?

Get you some GB then... not trying to twist your arm, just what I see.  
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#18
Posted: 10/4/2012 11:24:59 PM
I've tracked both angles 60+% over 5 yrs.  When both line up, right at 80%.  Obviously, its gonna lose occasionally.  But I'd much rather be on the 80% side. 
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#19
Posted: 10/6/2012 2:36:53 AM
ADD....

3U NYJ+9   3U

Just graded 3 years of teams in this scenario....70% chance that the Jets cover, based on past scenarios.  It is amazing how often they win...but 9pts is a lot!
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#20
Posted: 10/6/2012 3:39:31 AM
You're third angle is very misleading.
Posted using a mobile device.
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#21
Posted: 10/6/2012 3:44:34 AM
Week 2 GJ was out vs Chicago.
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#22
Posted: 10/6/2012 11:49:00 AM
Super...with respect, I don't see where that changes anything that I am using for my tools.
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#23
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:48:04 AM
ADDED ... 5U KC+7    1U JAX +6.5

FINAL CARD

5U  IND+7    KC+7

3U  BUF+10   NO-3.5   NE-6.5   NYJ+9

1U  JAX+6.5  

GL2ALL

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#24
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:50:36 AM
BTW, leaving IND at a top play, as they don't fit the 3rd angle.  Was hoping they would. 
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#25
Posted: 10/7/2012 11:51:12 AM
,gL
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