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[NFL Betting] Topic: *** Best Play of the Month *** It's Hammer Time! |
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LeagueCapper |
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#1 Posted: 10/1/2012 2:14:16 AM
Up 16.3 units
over the past 7 days and won big with the Rams as my best play of the
week on Sunday but I like the Rams even more this week. This will most
likely be my 2nd biggest bet of the year (been eyeing a play in week 8
since the start of the season).
Anyhow, I love the Rams in this spot. Teams do EXTREMELY poorly on the road as a favorite after winning a home game in
overtime.
The 4-1 Vikings who just beat the 49ers and Lions only loss this year
was on the road to the 1-3 Colts after a week 1 overtime victory at
home. It happens time and time again as overtime victories at home are
very draining emotionally.
To add to this, the Cardinals have to
travel 1,229 miles on a short week while the Rams have been at home for
the past 10+ days.
Also, if anyone saw my big play on the Rams
for week 4, I posted that Division opponents were 19-0 ATS and SU if
they got swept the year before and the line is 4 or less. That trend is
now 20-0 ATS and 20-0 SU and 2-0 this year (Rams vs Seahawks, Panthers vs
Saints). This situation applies once more this week as the Rams play the
Cardinals.
You won't find a better situation than this all month. Taking the Rams ML as well as them in a couple teasers for now but will be adding Rams at an alternative line once my book releases them. Probably will be -3.5 (+185) or near that. Getting in on this early as I see the Rams being favorites by kickoff.
| 138150343-1 | 10/1/12 2:08am | $405.00 | $300.00 | Pending | 2 Team Teaser (ties push) Teaser tp 7½fb & 5½bk |
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| Pending | 10/4/12 8:25pm NFL Football 302 St. Louis Rams +8½ * vs Arizona Cardinals |
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| Pending | 10/7/12 1:00pm NFL Football 412 Washington Redskins +10½ * vs Atlanta Falcons |
| | 138146926-1 | 10/1/12 2:01am | $400.00 | $400.00 | Pending | 10/4/12 8:25pm NFL Football 302 St. Louis Rams +1 +100* vs Arizona Cardinals |
| | 138131541-1 | 10/1/12 1:37am | $270.00 | $200.00 | Pending | 2 Team Teaser (ties push) Teaser tp 7½fb & 5½bk |
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| Pending | 10/1/12 8:35pm NFL Football 231 Chicago Bears +10½ * vs Dallas Cowboys |
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| Pending | 10/4/12 8:25pm NFL Football 302 St. Louis Rams +8½ * vs Arizona Cardinals |
| | 138131531-1 | 10/1/12 1:35am | $250.00 | $250.00 | Pending | 10/4/12 8:25pm NFL Football 302 St. Louis Rams +1 +100* vs Arizona Cardinals |
| | 138130723-1 | 10/1/12 1:03am | $270.00 | $200.00 | Pending | 2 Team Teaser (ties push) Teaser tp 7½fb & 5½bk |
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| Pending | 10/1/12 8:35pm NFL Football 231 Chicago Bears +10½ * vs Dallas Cowboys |
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| Pending | 10/4/12 8:25pm NFL Football 302 St. Louis Rams +8½ * vs Arizona Cardinals |
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MagicBoy |
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#2 Posted: 10/1/2012 2:19:20 AM BOL brother
Hawks will hammer that ram behind in seattle by 14 plus  |
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MagicBoy |
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#3 Posted: 10/1/2012 2:21:09 AM what u think about mnf??
Got 10 units on cowboys ML
hit with the eagles ml.... loved all the line movement and public on the giants, same tommorow siding with vegas |
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LeagueCapper |
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#4 Posted: 10/1/2012 2:25:24 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by MagicBoy: what u think about mnf??
Got 10 units on cowboys ML
hit with the eagles ml.... loved all the line movement and public on the giants, same tommorow siding with vegas
Bears always play exceptionally well on MNF. Two really good defenses if I had to choose i'd take the points with the bears in what seems to be a close game. I'm not gonna bite though as the Cowboys have a bye next week and will most likely be extra focused for this one. Hence me teasing the bears.
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MagicBoy |
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#5 Posted: 10/1/2012 2:30:14 AM |
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McLovinU |
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#6 Posted: 10/1/2012 2:31:04 AM
Short week
Cards travel west to east , their body is still in the west time zone.
this sounds really really good.
Nice write up!
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CoverLane |
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#7 Posted: 10/1/2012 2:40:10 AM
defense had trouble stopping Lynch, but most teams do. secondary for rams played well but seahawks have a fairly weak passing game.
i dunno if az wins another one i think their luck has ran out |
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McLovinU |
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#8 Posted: 10/1/2012 2:42:19 AM
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smoovethug |
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#9 Posted: 10/1/2012 2:44:40 AM |
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LeagueCapper |
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#10 Posted: 10/1/2012 2:52:10 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by smoovethug:
BOL on this. I like the angle. Looking ahead...your wk8 play must be Cowboys at home vs the G-Men?
No, the situation only applies the first time the teams play each other. Cowboys already played the Giants in week 1 in this situation and they not only covered ATS but won SU. I didn't count it when I said the situation is 2-0 this year because the cowboys were +4.5 not 4 or less but regardless it still won.
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MPChino |
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#11 Posted: 10/1/2012 3:00:39 AM
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CoverLane |
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#12 Posted: 10/1/2012 3:02:35 AM
Think there is a chance this line flips to -1? |
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str8from228 |
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#13 Posted: 10/1/2012 3:21:17 AM so you take the team who lost last year no matter if they favor or underdog 4 pts or less? Or do they have to be underdog +pts....just wondering. |
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CanadaCup |
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#14 Posted: 10/1/2012 7:23:53 AM  |
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BrownGem |
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#15 Posted: 10/1/2012 8:24:58 AM  |
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Bet_The_House |
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#16 Posted: 10/1/2012 9:28:35 AM |
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LeagueCapper |
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#17 Posted: 10/1/2012 11:32:38 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by str8from228: so you take the team who lost last year no matter if they favor or underdog 4 pts or less? Or do they have to be underdog +pts....just wondering.
underdog or favorite, both are okay as long as the spread is small. that indicates the teams are evenly matched and that motivation will step in and be the deciding factor
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LeagueCapper |
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#18 Posted: 10/1/2012 11:47:00 AM
Go ahead and act like your the only one with this trend
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ShadowWarrior |
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#19 Posted: 10/1/2012 11:52:10 AM |
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Neurofit |
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#20 Posted: 10/1/2012 12:01:11 PM |
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Magic_Steam |
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#21 Posted: 10/1/2012 12:02:28 PM Nice angle LeagueCapper! I was already on the Home dog Rams, but your post makes me even more confident!
GL pal! |
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mikesomoney |
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#22 Posted: 10/1/2012 1:16:00 PM |
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duke8628 |
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#23 Posted: 10/1/2012 1:16:19 PM |
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duke8628 |
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#24 Posted: 10/1/2012 1:18:02 PM |
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AnthonyStarks |
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#25 Posted: 10/1/2012 1:28:56 PM
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