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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Sun 9/30 NJPORKY's 2H NFL System Plays
NJPorky send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
NJPorky
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#376
Posted: 10/2/2012 5:44:27 PM
Js4u is a guy that was all for the system weeks 1-2 and now is a hater.... Flops more than a fish out of water. Wait when it has a couple good weeks he'll be back on the wagon. Pick a side and stay with it....lmao
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#377
Posted: 10/2/2012 5:50:17 PM
And since you have trouble reading my threads,I said I have used this system to hit between 70-75% over the last 8 years,BUT I never have bet every single platform an entire season. I have things to do, I can't be around for every single game for an entire year!!! Part of the reasoning of these threads to track it for an entire season. So if your going to quote me, read my entire threads
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#378
Posted: 10/2/2012 5:51:18 PM
Play for not platform....damn autocorrect
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#379
Posted: 10/3/2012 2:17:46 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by crazygambler2:

BONES

I WANT TO MAKE SURE NO ONE ELSE FALLS FOR THIS CRAP LIKE I DID. IT COST ME A FORTUNE THIS WEEKEND AND IM PISSED. HE SHOULDNT BE ALLOWED ON HERE OR TO POST LOSING LIKE THIS. I BET HE PROBABLY WORKS FOR VEGAS


crazygambler2 who pointed a gun to your head and told you to follow? wank2 you hate this system so much but your in here and in every single one of njporky thread or the 2h system thread...js4u dam you so quick to talk when you were posting some of the plays acting like nobody knows what side your on HAHAHa...

THE PLAYS ARE THERE LIKE "AN ADVICE" YOU EITHER TAKE IT OR YOU DONT NO ONE IS FORCING YOU TO TAKE A SIDE ITS YOUR OWN MONEY..

NJPORKY DID SAY ITS A SEASON LONG SYSTEM NOT A WEEKLY!! IF YOUR LOOKING TO MAKE FAST MONEY THIS AINT THE THREAD FOR YOU DUHHHH!!
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#380
Posted: 10/3/2012 2:19:14 AM
BOL NJPORKY KEEP DOING YOU..
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oluebbert
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#381
Posted: 10/3/2012 2:47:31 AM
i like the system    
i am in in ones and out in others   
but so far  i am not in red numbers..   

also I try to pick winners by using  my logic

keep it rollinggggg
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#382
Posted: 10/3/2012 2:48:56 AM
Well said, lets look forward to next games instead, and close this dark thread. 
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#383
Posted: 10/3/2012 3:20:32 AM

NJPorky  Oh I understand now.  In post #377 you stated "I have used this system to hit between 70-75% over the last 8 years,BUT I never have bet every single platform an entire season. I have things to do, I can't be around for every single game for an entire year!!!"  So what that means is you won at a rate of 70-75% when you felt like tracking the plays.  Sir, you cant quote results if you dont backtest the plays, ALL OF THE PLAYS, not just the ones you feel like tracking.

 

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#384
Posted: 10/3/2012 3:21:52 AM
Oluebbert thats what i do too but theres to many idiots out here who thinks this system is like a "get rich scheme" or something..but anyways i dont know why in ncaaf the system was using the 10pt when the week before we used the 13pt and we made more..and last week morning i used the 13 and came out on top..but i did lose a few
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#385
Posted: 10/3/2012 3:22:08 AM

This thread is a circus.  You have 50 people posting plays and the other 50 dont have a freakin clue whats going on.

The juice with these plays will make this a failure, I promise you that.  Have fun with it!

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#386
Posted: 10/3/2012 3:22:36 AM

By the way whats the current record, 50%?

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#387
Posted: 10/3/2012 3:23:25 AM
In the evening game
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oluebbert
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#388
Posted: 10/3/2012 3:58:04 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Soujah24:

Oluebbert thats what i do too but theres to many idiots out here who thinks this system is like a "get rich scheme" or something..but anyways i dont know why in ncaaf the system was using the 10pt when the week before we used the 13pt and we made more..and last week morning i used the 13 and came out on top..but i did lose a few

hahaha  its funny cuz in those games I just took over 13pts and putting some logic into it and hit (no bullshit)  10 out of 13 picks that day with ncaaf

also i got lucky because i missed some plays cuz i was busy  and those were not that good (like 50-50)

anyways  i am having a good one. also hitting good teasers in NFL  

 I bet because I like to put some condiment into the games and enjoy them with some money in it.    THATS IT..  not living from it hahha

good karma to u all  and lets try to pick some winners!!!

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#389
Posted: 10/3/2012 6:56:05 AM
Just sharing some of my data in re: to Porky 2H system plays. 

*Note these are CFB & NFL and plays that I played, still seeking for "stats" of games I missed to crunch.

52%43%

72%39%

62%100%58%0%

64%33%
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#390
Posted: 10/3/2012 6:56:55 AM
darn! copy&paste didn't work...
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#391
Posted: 10/3/2012 7:02:50 AM
>=13 Diff
24-22  52%

<13 Diff
10-13  43%

Over
13-5  72%

Unders
7-11  39%

Overs >=13
8-5  62%

Overs<13
5-0  100%

Unders >=13
7-5  58%

Unders <13
0-6  0%

Favs
7-4  64%

Dogs
7-14  33% 
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#392
Posted: 10/3/2012 10:46:04 AM
@PUNKCASH


so ur saying ...

OVERS w/ less than 13pts diff are 5-0?
UNDERS w/ less than 13pts diff are 0-6?

If true, you just created a 5pt window for a 11-0 performance result...interesting
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#393
Posted: 10/3/2012 10:54:44 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:

@PUNKCASH


so ur saying ...

OVERS w/ less than 13pts diff are 5-0?
UNDERS w/ less than 13pts diff are 0-6?

If true, you just created a *6pt window for a 11-0 performance result...interesting

* typo
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#394
Posted: 10/3/2012 11:09:47 AM

Are you using < to mean less than and

Are you using > to mean more than?

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#395
Posted: 10/3/2012 11:22:18 AM

10 points differential is absolute. we need to have a percentage. if original line is 40 then 10 points is 25%. if original line is 70 then 10 points is 13%.

blindly playing 10 points differntial in every game may not be good. assuming average line is around 45, then 13 points differential would be around 28%. may be we take 30%

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#396
Posted: 10/3/2012 5:09:07 PM
We have to find a cut thats 13> because when it was greater than 13 by alot like 30 we lost most of them..i think regaurdless of the totals if it falls 13> we should play anything over if the 2h line is between 21 and less..49ers 2h 20.5 nyg 2h 20.5 bears 2h 20.5
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#397
Posted: 10/3/2012 7:33:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:

@PUNKCASH


so ur saying ...

OVERS w/ less than 13pts diff are 5-0?
UNDERS w/ less than 13pts diff are 0-6?

If true, you just created a 5pt window for a 11-0 performance result...interesting


Time to go look at previous seasons and see if this adds up.  There's a way we can make this work for us.
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PUNKCASH send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#398
Posted: 10/4/2012 4:38:14 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:

@PUNKCASH


so ur saying ...

OVERS w/ less than 13pts diff are 5-0?
UNDERS w/ less than 13pts diff are 0-6?

If true, you just created a 5pt window for a 11-0 performance result...interesting

Yeah...its looks that way.

So basically you have "better odds" when you play Overs w/ less than 13pts diff and if it's Under w/ less than 13pts diff...play the Over instead.

But I think we still need more data to confirm it.

I works nights so when I have time, I'm going through the start of this NFL season and entering every game in to Porkys' 2H system to get a better look.

I'm also looking into the 2H spreads W/L, Diff W/L, Opening lines vs Closing lines, etc...

I would like to run CFB games but there got to be an easier way to pull this data and crunch them in my sheet.

Slowly but surely we can improved on this 2H system Porky was kind enough to share with us guys on Covers. 
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#399
Posted: 10/4/2012 4:43:33 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by roundrock9:

10 points differential is absolute. we need to have a percentage. if original line is 40 then 10 points is 25%. if original line is 70 then 10 points is 13%.

blindly playing 10 points differntial in every game may not be good. assuming average line is around 45, then 13 points differential would be around 28%. may be we take 30%


This is also true...but we need more data to determine what this percentage is.

I'll look into that too! 

Thanks for the heads up!
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#400
Posted: 10/4/2012 6:16:02 AM
Question for everyone.....What do you all use for an online book for getting the best selection of 2nd half lines for both spreads and o/u?  Thanks!
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