Posted: 9/24/2012 1:46:13 AM
I believe we have a winner, Howard.
Green Bay, Dallas and New England are the three biggest public plays in football and all of a sudden, they're only laying 3.5 on the road against an unknown Seattle team. However, I agree with the oddsmakers, they'd be crazy to set this line any higher because the sharps would have a field day. But if the line was -6.5, the public play would still be all over the Packers. At this point, what's to like about Green Bay? Yes, Aaron Rodgers is a great QB and I enjoy watching him read defenses and throw the ball downfield but aside from him, what else do they have? Finley leads TE's in dropped passes, Jennings is already hurt, Driver has lost a few steps, they don't have a strong rushing attack which seems strange since they've been so successful throwing downfield. In Green Bay's first two games, they averaged 46 yds on the ground. Granted, it was against SF and Chicago but the lack of rushing has been a common theme over the last couple of years......I just don't think this offense will click tonight like we're accustomed to seeing. We certainly saw how vulnerable their defense is against a balanced offense such as the 49ers and I've always thought the Packers secondary was overrated anyway and they've already given up an average of 320 yds/g in their first two matchups.. Russell Wilson has impressed me as he's athletic, intelligent and he has a live arm. Seattle has speed on the outside and Braylon provides them with a big body. I don't think Seattle's offensive line will get pushed around and Lynch is a big back who can run between the tackles and he has the speed to get to the edge. And, as Dallas found out, Seattle's front 7 are very good. They aren't the biggest but they're athletic and quick...they fill holes. Against Arizona and Dallas, they gave up 46 yds on the ground and I don't think the scenario will be any different against Green Bay.
I'm not trying to outsmart myself by taking Seattle. I genuinely love this play and as the line indicates, I believe they will be a difficult matchup for Green Bay.