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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: "Fade the Forum" MNF
TampaTony send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
TampaTony
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#1
Posted: 9/17/2012 2:08:06 PM

Well fellas, its been a fantasitic run while fading the forum. Lets get something str8, IM FADING PARTICULAR CAPPERS ( a bunch of them none the less).

Since i started this thread my picks have went 7-2.

 

Last night I posted DET +7.5, but bought the hook @ 8. Broke even last night, but Ill take the loss on the thread.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tonight, you figure it out and pick either one........... (ATS or O/U) cause you already see what EVERYBODY is playing
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#2
Posted: 9/17/2012 2:11:32 PM
BOL
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#3
Posted: 9/17/2012 2:28:53 PM
A fade would be the UNDER?
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capskip
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#4
Posted: 9/17/2012 3:11:14 PM
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FadeOnly
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#5
Posted: 9/17/2012 6:23:49 PM
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#6
Posted: 9/17/2012 6:25:44 PM
Great insight Tony....Your method is actually what I ended up doing with two guys in my real life, years ago....If they agreed, it was almost "gold in the bank" going opposite....They've moved and I'm no longer in touch....Tonight, hmmmmmmm, I can't overwhelmingly get the feel....Hope you post more!!....Thanks bud!
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#7
Posted: 9/17/2012 6:32:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TampaTony:

Well fellas, its been a fantasitic run while fading the forum. Lets get something str8, IM FADING PARTICULAR CAPPERS ( a bunch of them none the less).

Since i started this thread my picks have went 7-2.

 

Last night I posted DET +7.5, but bought the hook @ 8. Broke even last night, but Ill take the loss on the thread.

tonight, you figure it out and pick either one........... (ATS or O/U) cause you already see what EVERYBODY is playing



Nice that you put it at 7-2.  I'm on the train with you tonight, whatever that is.  I see things almost 50/50.  Hopefully you can provide me with the side that wins, that way you can keep a straight record without people second guessing you.  Thanks Tony.
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#8
Posted: 9/17/2012 6:34:49 PM
It may be wise to list the cappers you're regularly fading to avoid chaos .Not that I buy into this or will read your posts anymore. A wiser idea may be to fade the public if you're going for that angle. BOL
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#9
Posted: 9/17/2012 6:48:45 PM
 I've checked three sites, and the "side" is almost 50-50 everywhere.....The "moneyline" is around 75-25 on Denver....The "total" is also around 75-80 on the "over!".....Is this what you see?....Then Atl. and/or the under is best??
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estes1717
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#10
Posted: 9/17/2012 6:49:48 PM
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gambling-devil send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#11
Posted: 9/17/2012 6:51:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TodaysLocks:

It may be wise to list the cappers you're regularly fading to avoid chaos .Not that I buy into this or will read your posts anymore. A wiser idea may be to fade the public if you're going for that angle. BOL


hahaha ... most funny post I ever read on here
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11spread11
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#12
Posted: 9/17/2012 6:58:32 PM
Tony I asked u if fading the conceness picks from the contest page might be better .....FYI.....using the +60% angle the contest page from covers is 17-13-1 with tonight pending!!!!! Better than what I though. The college picks are not quit as good. But it looks like u know WHO to fade so keep it up and good luck tonight.
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js4u send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#13
Posted: 9/17/2012 7:02:47 PM
Total waste of a thread.
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#14
Posted: 9/17/2012 7:25:34 PM
Gl
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austintx11
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#15
Posted: 9/17/2012 7:31:49 PM
Not a waste, gives you a great idea of REAL public perception. Keep it up Tony.
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FritoLay
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#16
Posted: 9/17/2012 7:39:05 PM
Dude this thread sucks you don't even tells us your pick you just leave it up to us to assume then you post a record under that assumption .........so in other words give us you pick darn stick!
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KyleBowler
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#17
Posted: 9/17/2012 7:52:10 PM
denver team total under 23.5
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#18
Posted: 9/17/2012 7:52:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by FritoLay:

Dude this thread sucks you don't even tells us your pick you just leave it up to us to assume then you post a record under that assumption .........so in other words give us you pick darn stick!

he'll be posting his 8-2 record tomorrow no matter which side hits.
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#19
Posted: 9/17/2012 8:28:48 PM
TT Man I hope you're on Denver 
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phat03
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#20
Posted: 9/17/2012 8:30:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KyleBowler:

denver team total under 23.5



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#21
Posted: 9/17/2012 8:39:03 PM
The play must be on the under since the betting is more lopsided there than on the side. Plus, even with 80% on the over, the line is continuing to drop. It was at 52, now it's 49.5.

Under for me at 51. 2 units.
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#22
Posted: 9/17/2012 8:41:44 PM
75%on the over but late money dropped that total to 50.5   I took under 25.5 1st half
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austintx11
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#23
Posted: 9/17/2012 11:06:00 PM
So what did ya play?
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mannyfrisco
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#24
Posted: 9/17/2012 11:28:57 PM
TAmpaTony:   No,  you were actually right.  I started looking into what the public is favoring and I am more careful on my bets.  Wagering is a science and its all on the lines/spreads.  You gotta read between the lines.  Last night,  public money was on the Lions.  Initially on this game,  the Falcons were favorite but I was watching the line movement all day and money started favoring the Broncos.  I checked a couple of websites about 2 hours before the game and the public side had switch to Denver.  I originally meant to pick Denver but once I saw the movement, I picked Atlanta.  It does mean a lot because Vegas will not lose.
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#25
Posted: 9/18/2012 2:59:14 AM
QUOTE  Originally Posted by phat03:






Thanks. I took "fading the forum" a step further and faded the popular prop play.
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