Posted: 9/8/2012 2:38:45 PM
Got a busy night ahead of me, so this might be my only time to post.
Saints -8. Snoozed on line, but I'm confident they cover anyway. With or without some key defensive members(Hawthrone, Lofton, Greer). Nothing really to say that hasn't been already said.
Jets -3/-2.5. I locked Jets originally when it hit 3, but it was one of those "circle" games and 100 was the limit. Added another 50 at -2.5 to complete the unit(and make me feel warm inside that I didn't get totally pawned on that line). Defense shuts down the Bills and grinds out an easy win.
Arizona +3. I know Seattle getting a lot of hype(deservedly so as they did some good things last year, built it into this preseason, and also possibly stumbled onto a good QB), but rookie QB making his first start on the road LAYING points?? Not my bag. Besides that, I can make an argument Arizona is the all around better team. Problems at QB hurt that argument, but I like their DL(all fat mean muhfuckas), their LB are all aggressive fast guys(I don't think Wilson has ever seen the speed these guys are gonna bring to the table), and the secondary is a decent group of veterans. Arizona has a special teams edge too(stop me if I'm wrong; left my notes at work). I'll take the home dog with who I believe is the better team.
Cincinnati +7. I don't think the Bungals are getting the respect they deserve after last year. With a rookie QB, they came pretty close to moving deep into the playoffs. They return a similar squad. They have the CB's to disrupt Flacco and his no huddle horseshit, they have a mean DL, a few weapons for Dalton to work with(Dalton another guy who gets no respect; all he did in TCU and Cincy was WIN). I'll take the TD and hope this doesn't turn into a friggin shootout.
Denver -2. Read Andy's initial post. That says it all. Pitt due for a down year, Big Ben talking about missing the game if his wife has baby, defense a year older, key injuries, blah blah blah.
All offseason, I had GB circled. I was planning on letting it drop down to the -4 area once the SF hype started, and then pounding them.......can't seem to pull the trigger though.
Lots of big dogs this week and I have a feeling a bunch of them cover. Looking at them though, it's tough to pick with all the baby QB's out there. People see Brady, Ben, Matt Ryan, Newton and think that all young QB magically are players right off the bat. That's not the case though. QB's need time to mature and let the game come to them, so putting my money on ANY of them is bothersome. First look was the HOME team, but Cleveland just looks like a festering infected wound.
Miami +13 is intriuhing. I can see this being a 23-13 kind of game. Rams +9 or so is also interesting as Bradford has shown some potential before(unlike the rooks getting trotted out everywhere else). Bradford has an okay running game to work with, Gibson and Amendola are serviceable, and coach Fisher brings some stability behind the scenes. Lions can score(in bunches), but no one ever said their defense was anything special. Bradford puts up 24, and that might be enough for the cover.
Tennessee I liked initally, but I'm staying away. Too much of a "wise guy" pick for me. It's like that piece of garbage horse that takes insane money in the Kentucky Derby each year that always shits the bed. Bunch of braindead fools that THINK they are sharp because they are going against the public, and it rarely works out. That what the Titans feel like to me. Some wise guy pick. I ain't friggin with Tom Brady.
Looking at JAX +3.5/4 as well. Jax very sneakily had a good defense last year. Considering how putrid the offense was, their overall numbers were more than impressive. The superior dfefense in a game like this might set the tone and cruise.
Anyway GL to all. Jets, Saints, Denver, Zona, and Cincy are all locked and loaded. Might add one of those dogs tomorrwo(most likely Jax or St Lou), but card is mostly intact. Andy great thread as always.