Thursday - Browns at Green Bay

Line moved from 4.5 to 3.  Anyone know why?

Lean on the Browns here. 

Ummmm... the line moved in the opposite direction... so if you like GB then wait until game time when its a PK em'.

Yeah I hear you.  Thats a lot of reverse line movement given GB is the public play though.

They are not trying to get 50/50 action on this game.  The public percentages were in Favor of GB -4.5... then the line moved to GB -3.... Keep throwing money on GB, thats exactly what the books want. 

If they wanted even action the line would have moved to -5 GB or more by now.

Browns would seem to be a solid play here, they will want to get as many wins as possible to tide them over for the inevitable regular season  BEATINGS to come .....  

Hard not to take GB here at only -3, but I might lean to the under instead. Let's not forget Clevelands pass defense ranked 2nd in the league last year. Greg Jennings is out with a concussion and as lethal as the Packers are and we know what Rodgers can do, the group looked out of sync as a unit in week 1. Not to mention the lack of running game, and the 2nd and 3rd string quarterbacks pose no threat.

Packers are my team and might do a small play on them, but I lean under 40 here

This is pre-season.  People are jumping on GB like this game actually matters. 

The lines makers tipped their hand when it moved from -4.5 to -3 with public on GB.  The play is browns or no play.  Worst case scenario I think GB wins by 3 for the push.