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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Get ready for the football season with these simple systems
WinAllSports send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 7/20/2012 2:58:23 PM
staring a new thread because the first one got all fvcked up...not sure why.


System of the day #1 (NFL):

Favorites of 5 points or less after a dog win of 3 points or less:

45-92 ATS

A similar version of this system is very good in NCAA as well:

Teams with line from +2 to -2.5 are 46-83 ATS after a dog win of 3 points or less. They are also 75-114 ATS if their dog win was by 5-16 points.

Check this thread daily for more football systems !
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#2
Posted: 7/20/2012 2:58:37 PM
System of the day #2 (NFL):

Teams after scoring 7-9 points and covering by 2.5 or more at home are 48-22 ATS in the NFL.

Slightly different system applies to the NCAA:

Teams after scoring 3-9 points away and covering by 1.5 or more are 43-19 ATS.
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#3
Posted: 7/20/2012 2:58:56 PM
System of the day #3:

NFL home dogs after a road dog win are 77-36 ATS if their opponent won at home last week.

NCAA:

Home dogs after a road dog win are 40-17 ATS if their opponent played at home last week and either won as dog or lost as favorite.
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#4
Posted: 7/20/2012 2:59:16 PM
System of the day #4:

NFL favorites with 6 or less days of rest after OT game as a dog:

38-64 ATS

NCAA OT system: NCCA road teams with 6 or less days of rest after home OT win:

39-64 ATS
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#5
Posted: 7/20/2012 3:00:20 PM
System of the day #5 (Friday):

NFL:
Dogs with min.regular rest after 3+pts dog OT win by 3+pts:

39-13 ATS

NCAA: not so successifull...

Road teams with line <11 and >-11 after winning by 3 or less as favorites in OT: 7-33 ATS
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#6
Posted: 7/20/2012 3:00:58 PM
Bonus system posted Thursday:


Since 2002 home favorites of 6-12 points before bye are 52-12 ATS and 59-5 SU.

Thanks for your feedback !!!
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Barnstorm
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#7
Posted: 7/21/2012 12:52:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WinAllSports:

System of the day #2 (NFL):

Teams after scoring 7-9 points and covering by 2.5 or more at home are 48-22 ATS in the NFL.

Slightly different system applies to the NCAA:

Teams after scoring 3-9 points away and covering by 1.5 or more are 43-19 ATS.

This is a rare one. There won't be hardly any plays. Scoring so few points and covering by at least 3. Maybe just a few plays a season.
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#8
Posted: 7/21/2012 12:53:10 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WinAllSports:

System of the day #3:

NFL home dogs after a road dog win are 77-36 ATS if their opponent won at home last week.

NCAA:

Home dogs after a road dog win are 40-17 ATS if their opponent played at home last week and either won as dog or lost as favorite.

I like this one. Will be looking for it. Again, not a whole lot of plays, but you can see where this one makes sense.
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#9
Posted: 7/21/2012 12:56:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WinAllSports:

Bonus system posted Thursday:


Since 2002 home favorites of 6-12 points before bye are 52-12 ATS and 59-5 SU.

Thanks for your feedback !!!

I find this one hard to believe. That's a very high % for such a vanilla criteria. And why would an upcoming bye affect a Team's play? Certainly coming off a bye is a big deal.

Can you post a link to a list of the actual games?

Thanks for your systems. I too am looking for trends like these.
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#10
Posted: 7/21/2012 11:51:35 PM
Just before midnight...Saturday system of the day.

Road NFL faves of 3.5 pts or more after a home dog game and another dog game before that are 1-21 ATS

Home NCAA faves after a road dog win and another dog win before that are 6-21 ATS in last 27.
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#11
Posted: 7/22/2012 11:33:39 AM
Sunday system of the day:

NFL teams before a divisional dog game are 974-1214 ATS in first 16 weeks of the season. Big sample system, particularly good when these teams are looking forward to a big rival (Vikings 5-12 ATS before GB, Redskins 5-17 ATS before Cowboys,etc).


NCAA teams in this same situation are just as bad as the NFL teams. Probably the best way to use this system is to split it team-by-team as you will find out that some teams struggle in this situation more than other teams, especially before big rivals. Vanderbilt is 5-20 ATS in this situation before being a dog against Georgia. CMU is 1-12 ATS in this situation before being a dog against WMU...
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#12
Posted: 7/22/2012 2:49:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WinAllSports:

Bonus system posted Thursday:


Since 2002 home favorites of 6-12 points before bye are 52-12 ATS and 59-5 SU.

Thanks for your feedback !!!


Wow. Will definitely look into this come the reg season, thanks.
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#13
Posted: 7/22/2012 2:59:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WinAllSports:

Just before midnight...Saturday system of the day.

Road NFL faves of 3.5 pts or more after a home dog game and another dog game before that are 1-21 ATS 


I like this system a lot..............
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#14
Posted: 7/23/2012 2:06:16 AM
Monday System of the day:

NFL teams with 13-15 wins last season usually struggle in the first 5 weeks of the following season. Here is the breakdown of their ATS records depending on how many of those wins were upsets.

In the first 5 weeks of the season, teams with 13-15 wins last season are:

18-44 ATS if they had 0 upset wins last season...
25-40 ATS if they had 1 upset win last season...
63-80 ATS if they had 2-5 upset wins last season...
8-5 ATS if they had 6+ upset wins last season.

In conclusion, 12-15 wins teams are a very good early season fade if they collected 0 or very few dog wins last season. (New Orleans could be the team to go against early on, but dont forget to go with an occasional fade against New England, Baltimore and GB as well).

As for the NCAA, there is a good system to go against teams with less than 4 wins last season if they were upset at least 3 times. That system is good for the first two weeks only and it is 43-82 ATS (82-43 ATS if we are going against those teams).
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#15
Posted: 7/23/2012 2:12:41 AM
Feel free to give me your feedback here or on twitter (#winallsports)
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#16
Posted: 7/23/2012 2:20:31 AM
good garbage man
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#17
Posted: 7/23/2012 10:20:06 PM
Honestly, not to be an fool or anything but these are not only garbage, but harmful. The fact that a home dog who's been a dog for 2 straight weeks playing on a Saturday in November against a team that has gone over the total the week before when facing a team that starts with the letter C in an afternoon game is 21-4 ATS is absolutely 100% irrelevant to the game being played. These are strictly coincidence and have absolutely no impact on, or anything to do with present day match up what so ever.
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#18
Posted: 7/23/2012 10:21:20 PM
Also, for every trend such as these, there's always a counter trend. These stats and trends can be manipulated any way you'd like to either positively or negatively support the play.
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#19
Posted: 7/24/2012 12:07:16 AM
fail
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#20
Posted: 7/24/2012 1:38:57 AM
These systems are as asimple as they come with only 2-3 parameters. Not even close to what you are saying. And nobody is forcing you to read my posts. I have been winning big money with those same systems for the past 7 years. Anyways, thanks for your feedback.
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#21
Posted: 7/24/2012 1:46:36 AM
System of the day for Tuesday 7/24/2012

NFL teams with max regular 6 days of rest are 12-40 ATS if they won their last game as underdogs of +11.5 or worst.


College teams are vulnerable in this situation if they were dogs of more than +14 in their win while favored in their following game (48-73 ATS)
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#22
Posted: 7/24/2012 12:03:45 PM
Data mining at its finest
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#23
Posted: 7/24/2012 1:18:45 PM
i agree with spartacus..  THIS IS GARRBBBBBBBAGE
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#24
Posted: 7/24/2012 1:21:01 PM

If all your system works... why would you share it with COVERs AND communites... LOL.. NOnsesnse
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#25
Posted: 7/24/2012 2:30:24 PM

I'm not trying to hate, you seem like a good dude, but cap the games then you dont need a system.  your numbers are interesting, but to me playing systems takes away the best part of betting, breaking down the teams and situations and the satisfaction that you picked the winner.  But the money is still green so what do I know?
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