line that is puzzling week 1....

Atlanta -1 @ KC this line seems off, Can anyone tell me why KC getting so much respect this year?  

Atlanta is awful on the road and its KCS home opener. 

KC is a good home dog team. I'd lean KC.

I actually have a huge writeup coming on this game but I've already laid $2,000 on Atlanta(PK) for huge key STATISTICAL reasons. 

You mean an improved KC team that was the only team to beat GB last year at this very same venue?

***AFC West last four years against Atlanta are 1-3(Broncos won in Atlanta, KC lost in Atlanta and SD/OAK lost on the road)

The GB game was an obvious fluke. GB was snoozing into that one. You mean to tell me the team's new head coach and new QB only has six days to prepare??? Nah I'm gonna take a break this week...

If it looks to good to be true it probably is.

Sorry I meant to say KC is 1-3 its last four home OPENERS, with again the one win against the Chargers, division opponent, on a Monday night

This line is not puzzling at all.

It is dead on.

I could see KC having a chance to win, but they manage Charles' yards too much and error on the side of caution.

There will be some interesting matchups with Julio Jones and Roddy White versus Brandon Flowers and Eric Berry.

I foresee Jaquizz Rogers having a hell of a game and season. Rogers is a poor man's ray rice.

The line is perfect because this is game is a huge candidate for there to be an unbalanced line if points were given to either team. I could see tons of action on Atlanta by the public, and tons of action on KC by the sharps, but not both. KC -3 public is all over Atl, Atlanta -3 sharps all over KC. It really depends on KC. Will they be the team that beat the undefeated Packers and finished 2-1 under their head coach? Will they be the team that went 1-3 in their past four home openers while their starting QB, TE, S, RB and others off of IR are still recovering? Remember there is no more Charlie Weiss or Todd Haley to help the offense. theres also a potential of a Dwayne Bowe holdout in the next couple of weeks.....

no line makes much sense to me in july but i'd put it at KC -1 or 1- for what it's worth.  why anyone would take an average road team, a dome team, playing in one of the tougher venues in the first game of the season in july as a favorite is beyond me. 

^what he said.

I think Matt Ryan and company pull this one off. I could never bet on the Cheifs until they show me something... I do like the under in this game tho. Jamal Charles and P Hillis will be getting a lot of touches. Draining that clock out. I see 23-14

This game will be decided by which team can protect the QB.

 

I too lean ATL. There are too many questions in KC right now and they may try to manage JC's workload.

If you're going to play the UNDER, do it for one reason alone. And that is, defenses have a tremendous edge early into the season. That's usually why I play UNDER during the first month of the season.

This is the same game as last year when Atlanta played Chicago and everyone square in the world loved Atlanta.

Same line, same situation.

Another couple of stats to chew on: 

Falcons play poor on the road. Week 1 in the 2011 season and playoffs.

Interesting stats... I'll have to keep an open mind on this game closer to preseason.

Winning teams don't lose at home. Essentially to have a winning record if you win your home games(8-0 or 7-1) and split your road games(5-3 or 4-4) you're sitting well at 10-6, 11-5, or 12-4. This is what the falcons have done. They're not 'poor' or 'terrible' on the road. With Matty Ice going 26-4 at home and 17-15 on the road in the regular season they have been a playoff team 3 of the last 4 years with a record of 11-5, 9-7, 13-3, & 10-6. They have played and lost to winning teams in a winning team's home. Winning teams/QBs have come to and lost in their place. All the stats are above and I'll repost a new thread with everything. I love this line, not necessarily this team. This line exists because of the playoff games they've lost(NFC champs Cardinals and SB champs Packers and Giants), the last two road openers they've played(Soldier field , and a OT game in Pitt) and the money ppl lost on those games. KC isn't the NFC champ Cardinals, Superbowl champs Packers or Giants, or the Bears or the Steelers. Their the Chiefs hoping to return a starting qb that had a hand injury, running back, safety, and tight end with knee injuries, no big name offensive coordinators on staff, and a 'new' head coach that lost his job with the Browns...

They're KC.

i would pass on this game