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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: How easy is this schedule
earthWake send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
earthWake
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#1
Posted: 7/4/2012 3:34:27 PM
1 - @ Houston
2 - vs Oakland
3 - vs Jets
4 - @ Arizona
5 - @ Cincy
6 - vs Rams
7 - bye
8 - @ Jets
9 - @ Colts
10 - vs Titans
11 - @ Buffalo
12 - vs Seattle
13 - vs Patriots
14 - @ SF
15 - vs Jags
16 - vs Bills
17 - @ NE


Rate this from 1-10, 1 being the easiest.

I'd give it a 3 or a 4. 
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kickinA
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#2
Posted: 7/4/2012 3:48:18 PM
7
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#3
Posted: 7/4/2012 3:49:41 PM
over 16 games, it's really impossible to tell because there are always many teams that are worse or better than last year and what we expect this year.  if we knew if a schedule was hard or easy, then we know how giood the teams on the schedukle are and then we'd all just bet team totals and make money.

but what else is ther to discuss in july so i would say the first half is pretty tough.  i think houston is the best team in the league, oakland could go either way this season but they bat a lot better teams than miami at home last year, the jets are always a tough division game, i'm not sure arizona is worse than miami and cincy should be solid and won every game they should have at home last season. 

as for the second half, the colts should be terrible but how much will miami be favored on the road, the titans could go either way as a team, buffalo could easily be better than miami, seattle at home in the heat is a good game for miami, at san francisco looks like a terrible spot after NE at home, th jags at home should be easy, and then they finish with two tough division games.

my opinion is this is a tough schedule, but not terrible.  however, miami will struggle with it. 
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#4
Posted: 7/4/2012 3:54:02 PM
sorry, oakland is in miami so that is a good week for maimi if oakland turns out to be worse or even with miami which is possible.  oakland did not do well in miami last year.

i forgot about the rams.  i expect the rams to be much better this season.  of course, having the rams at home looks like a good slot right now, but we'll see how the rams are. 

on a 1-10, i'd rate the schedule a 6 because i rate houston, st. louis, seattle, san francisco and the jets better than most people.
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#5
Posted: 7/4/2012 4:13:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ClubDirt:

over 16 games, it's really impossible to tell because there are always many teams that are worse or better than last year and what we expect this year. 
if we knew if a schedule was hard or easy, then we know how giood the teams on the schedukle are and then we'd all just bet team totals and make money.

but what else is ther to discuss in july so i would say the first half is pretty tough.  i think houston is the best team in the league, oakland could go either way this season but they bat a lot better teams than miami at home last year, the jets are always a tough division game, i'm not sure arizona is worse than miami and cincy should be solid and won every game they should have at home last season. 

as for the second half, the colts should be terrible but how much will miami be favored on the road, the titans could go either way as a team, buffalo could easily be better than miami, seattle at home in the heat is a good game for miami, at san francisco looks like a terrible spot after NE at home, th jags at home should be easy, and then they finish with two tough division games.

my opinion is this is a tough schedule, but not terrible.  however, miami will struggle with it. 

True and false.

Last year, Miami had a point in their schedule where they played KC, Washington, Buffalo, Dallas, Oakland. I knew going into the season if Miami had a 500 record, they would have a chance to make the playoffs solely off this easy 5 week period. Too bad they were 0-7 when this stretch started. They went 4-1, and the only loss being to Dallas by 1 point.

This year, they have a similar 6 game stretch of all teams where they have a good chance to pick up a lot of wins. Stl, jets, colts, titans, bills, seahawks..and they also play Jacksonville 2 weeks later.

Miami's schedule may not be easy, but compared to other NFL Teams it is. Just look at any random teams schedule and most likely by week 17, you will be surprised at all the good teams they play. I also expect the Bills to be solid this year, but Miami was 2-0 against them last year, so please no one respond by saying Buffalo is a team that will destroy Miami. I see them going 7-9..9-7 if things click.

Football season  
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#6
Posted: 7/4/2012 4:34:37 PM
maybe, but i don't play season team totals ever because i don't think there is a reliable way to evaluate strength of schedule to the extent that it gives you an edge worth betting.  way too many variables and unknowns.  it's hard enough to evaluate one team before the season starts. 

as for that 6 game stretch, i think seattle, st. louis, the jets the bills and the titans could all be playoff team,s this season.  but it's always nice to have seattle at home and the colts and jacksonville on the schedule anywhere. 
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#7
Posted: 7/4/2012 4:39:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ClubDirt:

maybe, but i don't play season team totals ever because i don't think there is a reliable way to evaluate strength of schedule to the extent that it gives you an edge worth betting.  way too many variables and unknowns.  it's hard enough to evaluate one team before the season starts. 

as for that 6 game stretch, i think seattle, st. louis, the jets the bills and the titans could all be playoff team,s this season.  but it's always nice to have seattle at home and the colts and jacksonville on the schedule anywhere. 

I would be SHOCKED if two teams from the NFC West make the playoffs. NFC is much too stacked for that to happen imo.
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#8
Posted: 7/4/2012 4:55:53 PM
that's my bold prediction right here (subject to change, of course).  two from the nfc west and two from the nfc north.
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kickinA
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#9
Posted: 7/4/2012 5:15:49 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by ClubDirt:

that's my bold prediction right here (subject to change, of course).  two from the nfc west and two from the nfc north.

That is BOLD, esp. two from the NFC West.   

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#10
Posted: 7/4/2012 5:19:35 PM
Seattle MAYBE.

Rams, Nooo sir
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#11
Posted: 7/4/2012 5:34:03 PM
Those first 6 games are really tough
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#12
Posted: 7/4/2012 6:20:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by earthWake:

Seattle MAYBE.

Rams, Nooo sir


don't sleep on the rams this season, they'll be undervalued and make you some money in the first half. 
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#13
Posted: 7/4/2012 7:07:06 PM
They might make you money, that doesn't mean they will finish ahead of.

- Packers
- 49ers
- Giants
- Saints
- Eagles
- Falcons
- Dallas
- Detroit
- Chicago

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#14
Posted: 7/4/2012 7:13:56 PM
i was thinking more along the lines of SF and seattle making the playoffs, possibl SF and Stl, but i like st louis as a team to bet opn early in the season depending on how things lo between now and then.

but of the group you listed, i think we'll see declines with green bay, new orleans, philly, new york, atlanta, dallas and detroit.  i say at least 4 of them don't make the playoffs. 
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#15
Posted: 7/5/2012 4:15:31 AM
5
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#16
Posted: 7/10/2012 10:16:59 AM
 I'd say it's pretty objective. Unfortunately, Fins will be facing McFadden very early in the season (before he can be injured). Weeks 10-17 are trouble IMO because they meet Pats and the improved Bills twice each. Seattle has been mentioned constantly as a challenger to the defending NFC west champ Niners. Titans beefed up O line for CJ and probaly have Britt back. Can they even beat the Jags with what they presently have?
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#17
Posted: 7/10/2012 10:30:10 AM
2...at Houston, at SF, and at NE are tough games.

Everything else is a joke.
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#18
Posted: 7/10/2012 10:52:36 AM
What everyone is not getting the NFL is a collection of bad teams,   so everyone schedule looks like this 

patriots vs divison buff miamij Jets they were 18-36 SU last season

3 out of divison games this year St louis INDY Jacksonville these teams went 9-39 

so in 9 of the patriots games this year
 their opponets were 27-75 SU LAST YEAR

THIS IS A JOKE OF A LEAGUE  ITS A STINKFEST 

 if it wasnt for gambling and fantasy football there would be little interest .
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#19
Posted: 7/11/2012 12:43:11 AM
not an easy schedule, i only see 3 easy games in there , colts, jags , and arizona, i dont think they will win more than 6 at the most , but i think they will win 4 games
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#20
Posted: 7/11/2012 12:44:26 AM
forgot to add rams, but any of those teams can beat them also, its not like the dolphins are good
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#21
Posted: 7/11/2012 11:14:18 AM
Brother i see 6-10/7-9

think the defense will be pretty solid , but might be left on the field to long with the offense struggling bc of QB play
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#22
Posted: 7/11/2012 12:02:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Brother i see 6-10/7-9

think the defense will be pretty solid , but might be left on the field to long with the offense struggling bc of QB play


Their defense and run game should be solid, but its obvious where the question mark is. For some reason I am optimistic about the Garrard to Ochocinko connection 

My bold prediction for the Dolphins this year is 8-8, and Daniel Thomas becomes more of a viable fantasy option than Reggie Bush.
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