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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: ***SUPER BOWL XLVI--PATRIOTS VS GIANTS***
Gold_Rush
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#151
Posted: 1/31/2012 1:30:27 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ZonaCats:

In 5 super bowl rematches, the team that won the first meeting won the subsequent game 4 times. 

With that said, i'm still leaning towards Brady tying Montana's 4 super bowls....

heavy stat, why the lean on the pats then?
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GAIMDAY_LUKE
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#152
Posted: 1/31/2012 5:02:43 AM
FADE THE PUBLIC......VEGAS LOST BIG ON SUPERBOWL LAST YEAR. IT WONT HAPPEN 2 YEARS IN A ROW. EXAMPLE PUBLIC LOVED LSU AND BAMA KILLED THEM! PUBLIC LOVES GIANTS AND PATS WILL WIN AND COVER. FROM TEDDYS WRITE UP ON EXPERTS PAGE....... In the Belichick-Brady era, the Pats are 43-13 SU, 36-17-3 ATS when avenging a loss, including an 18-3 SU, 16-4-1 ATS mark when playoff off three or more wins in a row. Clearly, this team makes good adjustments and uses their extra time to prepare wisely.$$$$$$$$$$$$$ CHECK MY RED STARS B4 YOU RUN YOUR MOUTH LIKE U ARE A WINNING CAPPER 

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#153
Posted: 1/31/2012 8:28:22 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GAIMDAY_LUKE:

FADE THE PUBLIC......VEGAS LOST BIG ON SUPERBOWL LAST YEAR. IT WONT HAPPEN 2 YEARS IN A ROW. EXAMPLE PUBLIC LOVED LSU AND BAMA KILLED THEM! PUBLIC LOVES GIANTS AND PATS WILL WIN AND COVER. FROM TEDDYS WRITE UP ON EXPERTS PAGE....... In the Belichick-Brady era, the Pats are 43-13 SU, 36-17-3 ATS when avenging a loss, including an 18-3 SU, 16-4-1 ATS mark when playoff off three or more wins in a row. Clearly, this team makes good adjustments and uses their extra time to prepare wisely.$$$$$$$$$$$$$ CHECK MY RED STARS B4 YOU RUN YOUR MOUTH LIKE U ARE A WINNING CAPPER 

 

Wow that sucks. Maybe I should add the Patriots in a teaser instead while the line favors the Patriots by game time. I have the Giants in a teaser.

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#154
Posted: 1/31/2012 8:31:53 AM

Another stat to consider.

In the past 3 super bowls when the Patriots were the favorite. They lose to the spread 3 times.

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#155
Posted: 1/31/2012 9:06:18 AM
[Quote: Originally Posted by BostonStrangler]

Oh, St. Louis is in the Super Bowl now?


no idiot obviously rams are not in super bowl...what it means is it dont matter what teams go over to play in london....wow u are an ignorant fck
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az49erdog
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#156
Posted: 1/31/2012 10:12:52 AM
Looking from the standpoint of pure stats on both sides of the ball, G-men have the advantage in most catagorys, including IMHO the most important; Special Teams coverage. Also, if Gronkowski does not play, not only does the offense suffer, but so does the protection for Brady. If we look at the Patriots game plan, losing Gronk is like losing a leg on a chair, you put a lot of pressure on the other legs to support the chair. Remember Pats only have 2 signed tight ends, whos gonna replace him? If he can play, I dont beleive Gronk will be at full speed, so more of a decoy that cant block down the pass rush of the Giants. Giants + 3 all day GL all !
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#157
Posted: 1/31/2012 11:05:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Nah. Revenge is sweet. Manning has no business being in this game. Belichek takes Cruz away.....NE by 14+




cant believe I'm agreeing with someone with a mental case as an avatar but l agree completeley. 
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#158
Posted: 1/31/2012 11:07:33 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GAIMDAY_LUKE:

FADE THE PUBLIC......VEGAS LOST BIG ON SUPERBOWL LAST YEAR. IT WONT HAPPEN 2 YEARS IN A ROW. EXAMPLE PUBLIC LOVED LSU AND BAMA KILLED THEM! PUBLIC LOVES GIANTS AND PATS WILL WIN AND COVER. FROM TEDDYS WRITE UP ON EXPERTS PAGE....... In the Belichick-Brady era, the Pats are 43-13 SU, 36-17-3 ATS when avenging a loss, including an 18-3 SU, 16-4-1 ATS mark when playoff off three or more wins in a row. Clearly, this team makes good adjustments and uses their extra time to prepare wisely.$$$$$$$$$$$$$ CHECK MY RED STARS B4 YOU RUN YOUR MOUTH LIKE U ARE A WINNING CAPPER 


A+ commentary .....I am on the Pats bigtime!!
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#159
Posted: 1/31/2012 11:10:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GAIMDAY_LUKE:

FADE THE PUBLIC......VEGAS LOST BIG ON SUPERBOWL LAST YEAR. IT WONT HAPPEN 2 YEARS IN A ROW. EXAMPLE PUBLIC LOVED LSU AND BAMA KILLED THEM! PUBLIC LOVES GIANTS AND PATS WILL WIN AND COVER. FROM TEDDYS WRITE UP ON EXPERTS PAGE....... In the Belichick-Brady era, the Pats are 43-13 SU, 36-17-3 ATS when avenging a loss, including an 18-3 SU, 16-4-1 ATS mark when playoff off three or more wins in a row. Clearly, this team makes good adjustments and uses their extra time to prepare wisely.$$$$$$$$$$$$$ CHECK MY RED STARS B4 YOU RUN YOUR MOUTH LIKE U ARE A WINNING CAPPER 


with all them stars you should change your name to the General!!

ok good luck Patton
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ac_bum
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#160
Posted: 1/31/2012 11:16:19 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ac_bum:

 LOVE THE OVR WHAT EVER IT IS INDOORS FAST TRACK
CHANGE OF HEART HERE
THIS # AT 55 HAS UNDER TATTED ALL OVER IT
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#161
Posted: 1/31/2012 11:33:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Nah. Revenge is sweet. Manning has no business being in this game. Belichek takes Cruz away.....NE by 14+



I think you ment the pats don't belong, if balt kicker makes that chip shot the pats are at home, pluss that late catch was a TD IMO and balt should have thrown the red flag on that bad call, my 2 cents ff.
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#162
Posted: 1/31/2012 12:23:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by shark_apreza:

ANY ONE BACKING THE PATS

IS A COMPLETE AND UTTER SUCKER



Eli and the giants ---OWN  Brady , his bunch and all the Pats fools...

No revenge here, Brady will play infuck You Mode, but it wont be enough, the Pats had no business playing in the Sbowl, if u guys think the Giants got lucky and San Fran shot themselves in their feet , ...what did NE did, ..same garbage , but the difference...Eli is better than flacco and his receiving core as well , and not to mention special teams, might be a great game , but , Brady will have nightmares about Eli once more

very stupid angle, the giants snuck into the playoffs, and SF coughed up the game.  Pats had a wicked easy schedule and the ravens coughed up the game so both teams essentially got lucky.  no revenge? dumb man, and it will most likely come down to a field goal, betting the superbowl is a risk itself, i'd go with the under because vegas knows people want big points in the bowl
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#163
Posted: 1/31/2012 12:30:00 PM
yo lockburger, what i have concluded after being on the forum for quite some time is that shark apreza is a complete moron.  he has an education of a 4th grader. 

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#164
Posted: 1/31/2012 12:32:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ZonaCats:

In 5 super bowl rematches, the team that won the first meeting won the subsequent game 4 times. 

With that said, i'm still leaning towards Brady tying Montana's 4 super bowls....

 

Check by how much each team won. This years ago, I haven't track it recently but teams winning by 7 pts or fewer in the regular season the opposite team wins in the playoffs or SB.

Teams winning by 14 pts or more in regular season the same team wins in a rematch.

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#165
Posted: 2/1/2012 3:16:26 PM
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#166
Posted: 2/1/2012 6:05:53 PM
PTB, wtf? Look at what your thread has cultivated into where is all the G-MEN love and NE hate  Monopoly $$$$$$$ WTF???


Only FOUR short days until the greatest Show or Game on TURF

I REALLY like G-MEN in this spot
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#167
Posted: 2/2/2012 10:14:48 AM
God, I hope NY wins this game,but you and I both know Vegas doesn't lose money very often......and no one is picking NE. Except for the Chowderheads on this site.
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#168
Posted: 2/2/2012 12:27:52 PM
1 reason and only 1 reason why i think Pats win this game...Brady in all his yrs. in this league has a lights out game after sucking in the previous one.Can the Giants keep up?I just dont see it happening..Just my opinion G-men backers,don't have to hate.Gonna be a good one though.Prediction:30-24 Patriots
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#169
Posted: 2/2/2012 12:30:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GAIMDAY_LUKE:

FADE THE PUBLIC......VEGAS LOST BIG ON SUPERBOWL LAST YEAR. IT WONT HAPPEN 2 YEARS IN A ROW. EXAMPLE PUBLIC LOVED LSU AND BAMA KILLED THEM! PUBLIC LOVES GIANTS AND PATS WILL WIN AND COVER. FROM TEDDYS WRITE UP ON EXPERTS PAGE....... In the Belichick-Brady era, the Pats are 43-13 SU, 36-17-3 ATS when avenging a loss, including an 18-3 SU, 16-4-1 ATS mark when playoff off three or more wins in a row. Clearly, this team makes good adjustments and uses their extra time to prepare wisely.$$$$$$$$$$$$$ CHECK MY RED STARS B4 YOU RUN YOUR MOUTH LIKE U ARE A WINNING CAPPER 

 GO PATS!!!!
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#170
Posted: 2/2/2012 7:09:19 PM
Adding:



Under 54 (-110)   $5,500 to win $5,000
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#171
Posted: 2/4/2012 11:39:33 PM
trends,trends,trends,trends,and more trends.... I hope next year you do better and, learn from this junk... you keep making the same bad decisions... you are going to take a beating in this game like all year by looking at a trend book..you def lost the side and , might lose on the total... Why dont you look at the aspects that matter? How are you ever going to learn??Thankfully, noone follows you in this forum...This place is full of great cappers that give solid info ....When are you going to step up and, do the right thing man?  your going 1-1 at best on this game... most likely 0-2 on trends again     
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#172
Posted: 2/5/2012 5:51:48 PM

Giants were actually better than the Pats this season in the "key stat" ave gain per pass att differential............................

Giants --- 7.35-5.88 = 1.47

Pats --- 7.63-6.72 = .91

Just the 7th time a team better in this "key stat" has been a dog........................4-2 ATS.

A team better by .3 or more is.....................19-13 SU and 17-13-2 ATS since the 16 game schedule began in 1978.

Advantage Gmen.........................................................

Total yds diff..........................................20-12 SU, 20-10-2 ATS

When better by 10 yds or more 17-9 SU

When better by under 10 yds.........................3-3 SU

No Advantage

Pats --- 16.9

Giants --- 8.7

When the Fav is better in both ave per pass diff and total yds diff they are an impressive................14-4 SU and 11-5-2 ATS

When the Fav is not better in both the are a very mediore 8-6 SU and a pathetically poor 4-10 ATS.

Advantage Gmen ATS

4 of the Fav 8 wins were by 4 pts or fewer with an ave of 10.5.

5 of the Dogs 6 wins were by 10 pts or better with a monster ave win by 19.8 pts.

This would suggest if the Pats win it's more likely to be a close game, but if the Giants win we could be looking at a more dominate win.

Eli should be able to easily beat this defense and run up the score, I'd look for a higfh scoring Giants big win...........38-23...............................................................................

Good luck PT and everyone else.................................................

 

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#173
Posted: 2/5/2012 6:00:48 PM
Line changing what do you think 52.5 and in few minutes will be -2,5
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#174
Posted: 2/5/2012 6:09:16 PM
Fade material

Your huge plays are a curse to covers 


Jk 

Bol 
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#175
Posted: 2/5/2012 10:17:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by markpa:

trends,trends,trends,trends,and more trends.... I hope next year you do better and, learn from this junk... you keep making the same bad decisions... you are going to take a beating in this game like all year by looking at a trend book..you def lost the side and , might lose on the total... Why dont you look at the aspects that matter? How are you ever going to learn??Thankfully, noone follows you in this forum...This place is full of great cappers that give solid info ....When are you going to step up and, do the right thing man?  your going 1-1 at best on this game... most likely 0-2 on trends again     



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