San Fran had 5 turnovers last week but only made it to the red zone 4 times all game, this is VERY poor. When they got to the red zone they scored 20 pts. The other 16 pts came on 2 big plays, a FG and missed 2pt conversion.
5 Turnovers and big plays this week will NOT happen. Aaron Rodgers longest completed pass was 21 yards. This from an offense that scored 35 pts a game with HUGE plays. The giants will concentrate on field position and make san francisco drive 70-90 yards to score TD's, it will take 10/11 play drives to do this. Their offense isnt capable. Thier drives will end in FG's and Akers will make all of them. Harbaugh will be conservative in Giants territory believing his defense will stop the giants. If by some reason the 49ers turn the ball over, which I think will happen maybe once at most it will hurt their offense further.
San Fran won't score more than 20 pts in this game and I think it will be closer to 13-16. Alex Smith has been sacked 48 times in 17 games. The giants pass rush will get to him at least 2-3 times which will kill drives. They wont have to blitz 3 players to get pressure like new orleans, Smith will have a much harder time completing passes and even with a run game that is very effective they wont score.
Boley didnt play the 2nd half in the last game and the giants were lost on defense and allowed 2 big plays which cost the giants the game. They were up 13-12 in that game in third qtr. Even with boley out the 49ers only were 3 for 11 on third down. Boley is a major factor, the Giants are 11-3 this year when he plays a full game.
In the last game Manning threw for 311 yards average almost 8 per throw. he went 7-14 on 3rd down and was able to move the ball very well. Bradshaw missed the game. He is healthy and will make a huge difference. Darren Sproles had 15 catches last week. Bradshaw will be a factor out of the backfield, something they didn't have last time they played.
The 49ers are an average 16th in the league in opponent passing yards and gave up 12 plays 40 yards or more which is the 5th most in all of the NFL.
The weather is completely overrated. The Giants will still be very effective throwing the ball, in fact it will probably be harder to cover Nicks, Cruz, Manningham when the corners are no able to make quick movements to recover when they get beat by them. The giants WR's are more talented than New Orleans and they thrashed them.
Eli Manning has 35 Td's and over 5400 yards this season including the 2 playoff games. He WILL get his points. He has thrown for 2 TD's or more in 13 of the 18 games and the giants are 9-4 in those games and average 28 pts per game. The Giants will score 3 TD's on offense and probably 1-3 FG's from their other drives. This will lead to 24-30 pts.
Final Score Giants 27-13
Any Comments are appreciated.
HUGE PLAY
GIANTS ML +120







