(21-3)YTD 87.5% Whats a realistic betting percentage

Quote Originally Posted by PlacinUnits:

i think you are proving you are a good capper.  you just need to see two things:

A)  your money management and discipline long term (across 2-3 season)

B) your betting percent across two plus seasons

But don't let anyone tell you differently, if you really have clipped at that rate...you are good and probably lucky.

keep it up.  but it is about the long-haul.  question is, can you limit yourself when your streak turns and not lose it all chasing a bad run.

Agree with Placin here. 75% isn't realistic over a career. In 2006 I hit at 70% in both NFL and college football. I hit above 60% the year prior and the year subsequent. However; I had a couple of seasons around 50% after that.

Even the best cappers have off stretches; even years. The key is managing your money during those times to weather the storm.

To answer your original question, 30 individual trials (games) is considered the minimum for a good sample size. The more you go above that, your reliability numbers will increase. Keep in mind, if you dramatically increase the amount of games you bet, your winning percentage will inevitably fall. So if you are betting 3 games per week now and you start betting 20 games per week, you will almost asuredly hit at 75%, but your profit margin may indeed increase, so you need to ask yourself, what would you rather have, a high winning percentage or more bankroll?

That's the best way to approach it MilsBest, many bettors become to arrogant or undisciplined to do that; however. I, myself average about 5 games/totals for the NFL per week. Some weeks I have 1, some weeks I have 7. Almost always though, it is usually 4-5 plays. This has worked well for me over the years.

I bet many more games for college football and tend to be very streaky in that sport. I am historically a much stronger NFL capper, but have had some big seasons in college. Make no mistake, 4-5 games per week is easier on your stress level and the swings in your bankroll.

2 things,I'm asking for advice so thats why alot of "prospects" make these post,Duh there new.And just because people are "Prospects" on a website that makes them noobies to sports betting.Lol n1capper, I think you play to much video games a need to seriously get laid.Just because people don't make a million posts on a website,that don't meant that they don't have sports knowledge.Lol 

Thanks alot dgnerate for the advice,I guess the honor code no longer is good huh when someone says there telling the truth lol.Im an innocent till proven guilty believer myself,but i guess I understand if people think the other way.What sucks is 40 years ago a handshake was verbally binding,boy oh boy we don't live in those times anymore lol.Now a days everyone needs visual proof and iron clad contracts.Anyways,thanks againfor the advice...

Quote Originally Posted by dgnerate:

No problem MilsBest 

very well done by the way for showing the doubters that not all people here lies and talks big with nothing to back their stuff.BOL!

To be honest I had no intention of posting my tickets but if thats what it takes for people to believe you then i guess i have no choice.Since i'm fairly new to the sports betting scene I wasn't sure why people posted there records before there picks n such.I thought it might be some sort of bragging.But now I see It's not and there thrying to help everyone else out by giving free advice,picks,n such.From now on I will be doing the same.

See this is the kind of input I like.I figured I must just be running hot.But I then also thought that i'm not betting on every game like alot of people do.So I figured if I only bet 3,4,5 games a week that my winning percentage can be that much better.We shall see.Thanks for the input Europa

23-9-1 in NCAAF Bowls last seaon (2010-2011).