Posted:
#1
YTD: 5-9
Rough start to the year to say the least. Time to get rolling.
Cincinnati -2
San Francisco has not lost a spread yet but a heck of a lot has had to go their way for that to happen. In Game 1 against Seattle they were losing ATS against Seattle but needed two late kick return TD's to cover. Last week they squeak out a push despite being out gained by almost 270 yards but they were the beneficiaries of Romo breaking a rib and fracturing a lung and getting Kitna to come in and throw two picks. San Fran's offense is a trainwreck. In Week 1 they managed just 209 total yards and last week it was just 204 total yards. Their offensive line is awful and can't block anybody. The run game has been held to a terrible 2.8 yards per rush so far and last week they gave up 6 sacks.
Alex Smith has a decent QB rating but he has done nothing spectacular. If asked to make a play my guess is he will fail. Now he goes on the road where he has a career 66.8 QB rating, 55% completions, and a 22-29 TD-INT ratio. San Fran has also won just 6 of the 30 road games he's played and at 2 you will most likely need San Fran to win SU to cash your ticket. The Niners are also +4 in the turnover department which is something I don't see continuing. While the markets look at this team as a squad that has played above market expectations so far, I see a team that stinks and has needed a lot to go right to get to where they are.
On the other side even though the Bengals have covered both games I see them as underrated coming into this game. This team has actually played well which is something the Niners have not done IMO. There is nothing sexy about this Bengals team at all but they have a lot of pieces that fit well together. The defense is still a good unit, they have a nice running game, and the pass game looks to be coming together. You know if you throw out the 2nd preseason game @ the Jets Andy Dalton has played well every time he has taken the field which is pretty impressive. He also has a nice group of receivers. AJ Green looks as good as advertised, Jerome Simpson is showing the end of last year was no fluke, and they have a nice TE in Gresham. Losing Shipley is tough but they also have a similar player in Caldwell to take over that spot.
Everyone thought the Bengals were shit coming into the year but they really aren't that terrible. I said they would be better than everyone's darling Cleveland and I still believe it. This team is playing well and I think the change in attitude there is doing wonders for the organization. Cutting the dead weight bums like T.O and Ocho Cinco and telling Palmer to shove it while going with young enthusiastic kids was one of the better decisions this organization has made in a while. I expect this under the radar team to get it done in their home opener against an overrated team coming east for a 1:00 game.
More later.
Rough start to the year to say the least. Time to get rolling.
Cincinnati -2
San Francisco has not lost a spread yet but a heck of a lot has had to go their way for that to happen. In Game 1 against Seattle they were losing ATS against Seattle but needed two late kick return TD's to cover. Last week they squeak out a push despite being out gained by almost 270 yards but they were the beneficiaries of Romo breaking a rib and fracturing a lung and getting Kitna to come in and throw two picks. San Fran's offense is a trainwreck. In Week 1 they managed just 209 total yards and last week it was just 204 total yards. Their offensive line is awful and can't block anybody. The run game has been held to a terrible 2.8 yards per rush so far and last week they gave up 6 sacks.
Alex Smith has a decent QB rating but he has done nothing spectacular. If asked to make a play my guess is he will fail. Now he goes on the road where he has a career 66.8 QB rating, 55% completions, and a 22-29 TD-INT ratio. San Fran has also won just 6 of the 30 road games he's played and at 2 you will most likely need San Fran to win SU to cash your ticket. The Niners are also +4 in the turnover department which is something I don't see continuing. While the markets look at this team as a squad that has played above market expectations so far, I see a team that stinks and has needed a lot to go right to get to where they are.
On the other side even though the Bengals have covered both games I see them as underrated coming into this game. This team has actually played well which is something the Niners have not done IMO. There is nothing sexy about this Bengals team at all but they have a lot of pieces that fit well together. The defense is still a good unit, they have a nice running game, and the pass game looks to be coming together. You know if you throw out the 2nd preseason game @ the Jets Andy Dalton has played well every time he has taken the field which is pretty impressive. He also has a nice group of receivers. AJ Green looks as good as advertised, Jerome Simpson is showing the end of last year was no fluke, and they have a nice TE in Gresham. Losing Shipley is tough but they also have a similar player in Caldwell to take over that spot.
Everyone thought the Bengals were shit coming into the year but they really aren't that terrible. I said they would be better than everyone's darling Cleveland and I still believe it. This team is playing well and I think the change in attitude there is doing wonders for the organization. Cutting the dead weight bums like T.O and Ocho Cinco and telling Palmer to shove it while going with young enthusiastic kids was one of the better decisions this organization has made in a while. I expect this under the radar team to get it done in their home opener against an overrated team coming east for a 1:00 game.
More later.
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