Week 2 Picks

Season Record: (5-0-0)

Well week 1 went well, let's keep it up...

Week 2 Picks:

Washington -3.5 Vs Arizona:
I'm sorta Jumping on the Skins bandwagon thisyr, sort of... I just see them moving out of the cellar (NYG replacing them). Arizona just looked OK Vs a really bad football team with a Rook QB. I'm bankin on "Good Rex" here but I think the Skins could win this game with their Rushing Game alone, Rex will just need to protect the football (but he "could" torch the Cards secondary... "could") against Azs inexperienced secondary. Skins 3-4 def looks legit, I'm hoping they slow down Beanie and mix up their pass rush enough to confuse Kolb n force him into some errors, hopefully resulting in TOs. Let's cross our fingers for "Good Rex"! (Laying 1 unit)

GB -9.5 @ Carolina:
Boy I hate laying 2 scores on the Road!.... Except when it's on a VERY GOOD GB Team, who is talented enough to repeat... Against a VERY bad Panthers team whose Rook QB overachieved partially due to a huge mismatch (Rook Peterson weighs 215+, biggest CB in NFL Vs ProBowler Steve Smith). Plus Carolinas TEs were let loose and helped Cam a security blankets. If u watched GB/NO, u saw Jimmy Graham do virtually nothing until the 4th Qrtr (when GB played more coverage) bc Brees needed Graham to pass block n protect. Carolina will DEFINITELY need Olsen n Shockey to block more, or Mathews n LB Crew might murder Cam. Couple this with Veteran CB Woodson D'ing up Smith and I smell a 3+ TO game from Cam. ARod will get his and James Starks increased workload will lead to a BIG game... Welcome to the NFL Cam Newton. (Laying 3 Units)

NO -6.5 Vs Chicago:
NO is nasty at home and can hang with anyone in Nawlens (even GB). Atl isn't the same team on the Road, Matt Ryans a diff QB at home, and conversely the Bears are a diff team at Home and capitalized on Atls weaknesses on grass and just made Atl look way worse than they are. Atls D couldnt get it done, but the Saints D will take care of business... And by that I mean blitz Chicago and force Cutler to make mistakes. Bears Oline still isn't great and Atl just didn't take advantage, Nawlens will with Various blitz packages. Urlacher might be a bit distracted, or he could be inspired... I really hate to go against a man with a heavy heart (see Brett Farve 2003-4, I think?), but I'll take my chances here. Saints need this one and Bears won't look nearly as good away from Soldier Field. (Laying 1.5 Units)

Miami +3 Vs Houston:
Houston made a team in disarray, look in disarray, albeit at home. Miami made Brady look all world (even tho he is), but let's not forget this "new Miami Offense", where Henne commands a passing attack with stud Marshall, possession WR Bess, and Reggie outta the backfield. Houstons secondary still isn't very good but Collins wasnt ready to prove that yet... Henne is. Miamis Defense will look much better thiswk. (Laying 1.5 Units)

StLouis +6 @ NYG
The NYGs just aren't that good thisyr... And they're hurt. StL is banged up too but Caddy looked capable as SJax backup, while Bradford should play n be fine. Philly had the perfect tools to thwart Bradford, the Giants DO NOT! Bradford will exploit the Giants secondary as long as he's healthy. I just don't have faith in the Giants being very good. I'm actually surprised this spread is so close to a TD, but the Giants have been good for a while now... I believe they take a BIG step backwards this season, while the Rams should compete (my pick) in the NFC West. Only thing stopping the Rams is their Health. (Laying 1.5 Units)

My early leans are towards Atl in the SNF game, as Ryans amazing at home, but Vick could deliver in a HUGE personal game, plus Philly has the formula to stop Atls aerial attack. I'm also leaning towards Denver and Dallas... But lastwk my Picks went 5-0, while my Leans went 0-3... Let's just stick to my Picks!!!

I may or may not add more plays but I like this card so well see. Best of Luck to you All!!

Let the Good Times ROLL!!!!

Meant to say "My OTHER leans..." not "Early"... Goodluck!!

i like alot!!

Good luck bets!

Like em especially N.O and GB and STL, other way on the washington game though, once i seen you on wash i'm kinda scared now to be honest i kind of loaded up on AZ, Best of luck to you and congrats on a hell of a week 1 5-0 AWESOME

bets2win, do you take these bets separately or do you take them as a multi bet?

I bet them individually. Despite the fact that I tend to either be red hot or ice cold, I do not do many parlays. It'd make sense for me to throw in a parlay or two since I have gone on some serious runs, but I'm also well aware of the decrease in odds that you encounter once you place exotic bets, i.e. parlays, teaser, reverses, etc

I'm adding:

Atl +2.5 Vs Philly:
The angle of Vick returning to Atl doesn't effect my pick as much as Philly having their second straight road game. Philly allowed Caddy (29yo backup RB) to gash them a couple times, which just proves what I already knew, Phillys secondary is all world, while their front 7 is a complete liability. Matt Ryan plays on another level at Home, he's almost unbeatable in recent years at Home. The Burner looked vintage lastwk, as he ran for 100yds on 10 carries, but they fell behind early n were forced to be one dimensional. Atlanta will be able to run on da Eagles, period. I'm gonna need Atlantas Defense to step up on this one, as Vick n his weapons are dangerous on turf.... but make no mistake about it, if St Louis' entire offense didnt get so banged up, the Rams hang with them... Atlanta needs this game and will take it at home, I like the ML but gimme the points! (Laying 2 Units)

Recap of Week 2 Plays:
Atl +2.5 (2u)
Miami +3 (1.5u)
GB -9.5 (3u)
Wash -3.5 (1u)
NO -6.5 (1.5u)
StL +6 (1.5u)

Goodluck Ladies n Gents!!!

like your Skins and Rams picks

Bets, you dont find it difficult for the Packers after playing the Saints down to the wire & then knowing they have B2B road games with a rookie Qb in Carolina & then the division rival Bears in week 3? I see this as a total look ahead for the Packers.

Admit it, you have been waiting for my appearance in this thread with the greatest of anticipation

Hey bets, congrats on the amazing week 1 victory.

Tramon Williams will not play in this game for GB.  McCarthy is saying all the right things about Williams having a shot at playing, but he won't, strictly deception from the head coach. Carolina might be able to do some damage with their TE's in this game, over is always a good play with GB.  

I like the plays still not sure on the Atl game myself. Thanks!

Hey Bets........1st. time poster.

Been followin you for a while......gotta say i look forward to your weekly commentary.......GL and Keep up the great work.

if the Atl game was under+2.5 would you take ml ??

 

 

BOL buddy  

Haha... Hugh, I'll admit that I have been expecting your post here.... But I figured it would be to pounce on an 0-fer type of effort, lol... I hope your betting season is off to a good start! Best of Luck this Season Hugh_Jorgan!

PrimeTime, I can see your "look ahead" angle here but i think it's far too early for teams to look ahead. ARod and Mathews are the leaders on their respective side of the ball and I just cannot see either of them allowing their unit to look ahead. Infact Cam Newtons stellar performance lastwk probably made GB a lot more focused on Carolina, since he could be a real challenge to gameplan for. I firmly believe this early in the season that GB is focused on the task at hand, stopping Cam Newton, and not their Wk3 matchup.

Handicapper31: I laid off of Baltimore for 1 reason... they looked "too good" in Wk1, and as a result there is 84% of the consensus picking them.... One very important factor I've learned over the years; Teams are never as Bad or never as Good as they look in any given week. In other words, any given Sunday, any team can look Great or Awful, the key is to not overreact to either result. 84% betting on Baltimore is a gross overreaction to Wk1, not that the Ravens couldn't smack the Titans but I'll layoff and just spectate this one. There's a chance that this game is a good ol fashion "gimme", but I'll let 84% of the betting public decide that.

Another VERY important factor is to
consider Teasers... How many people are doing 2 team, 6pt Teasers with Baltimore and labeling the Ravens a "LOCK" to Win outright??? I'll bet 80% of 6 Point teasers have the Ravens at PK... No Thanks!! I'd MUCH rather take the Points @ home (once it hits a TD), or just take Titans ML.... Just my opinion though

check out these picks 

GL. Looks like a nice card. I'm a little iffy about the Pack, but I like the rest. I especially like the Dolphin play. I agree with your analysis 100%. I don't think the line is gonna move, but I'm waiting out for 3.5 regardless. Way I see it, IF it does move, it will be in Miami's favor. I don't see it clicking down at all. Then again, if the "flavor of the week" tout(whoever it may be here in 2011) publicly hits them, it very well might move against Dolphin backers. Don't think so, though.

Adding:

Buffalo -3 Vs Oakland:
Oakland will be traveling cross country to play a 1 o'clock ET game. This is their second straight road game, and they weren't very good lastyr outside of their division. West Coast teams going east and playing at 1 ET (10am PT) never bodes well for the west coast teams plus you can add in the fact that Oakland played on MNF so it's an even shorter week. Fitzpatricks a better QB than a lot of people give credit for and I believe the Bills front 7 has improved enough to slow down Run DMC. (Laying 1 Unit)

I'm really tempted to add Cleveland, this Indy team isn't very good without Peyton Manning and Peyton Hillis should run amuck on Indys D... Holding off for now

GL.

Great writeups

Not seeing the Dolphins. Short week and the Hou defense is rested after their scrimmage with the Colts.....The Phins D was wore out by Brady....

 

bol bets

GL Bets, except for the Saints pick!  On the other side.