NFL PICKS WEEK 1

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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: NFL PICKS WEEK 1
MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 7/28/2011 10:28:16 PM

I already locked these in so far so ill post them now instead of later just in case the odds change...

Titans +3 (-110)

Vikings +9 (-110)

Browns -2.5 (-120)

I already like these odds plus i think the line will change on these, Browns are already a high -3  at a lot of books...

More to come later..

MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 7/28/2011 10:30:49 PM

Adding:

Cards -3.5 (-110)

npearl PM npearl
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Posted: 7/28/2011 11:53:15 PM
I'm pretty certain that Cards line completely flipped from when it first opened...let me check
npearl PM npearl
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Posted: 7/28/2011 11:56:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by npearl:

I'm pretty certain that Cards line completely flipped from when it first opened...let me check


totally wrong, sorry.  It opened at Cards -3...for some reason I thought it was the other way around.  I think it's going to be an interesting game, though...Panthers keeping or adding important parts.
MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 7/30/2011 8:24:38 PM

Adding:

5) EAGLES!!! -3.5 at Rams... Might even add more at that line, the spread is already at -4.5 at pinnacle so 3.5 is a steal IMO.

MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 8/4/2011 6:21:47 PM

My regular season win totals, some of these have already changed but a couple are still the same:

Minny over 7 games

Carolina over 4.5

Other Futures:

Cards +300 to win div

Eagles +100 to win  NFC Championship

Colts +100 to win division AFC South

Colts to win Superbowl +1600

 

 

 

MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 8/4/2011 6:27:46 PM

Oops meant Eagles +100 to win NFC South

 

And i have Eagles +500 to win NFC Championship

MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 8/4/2011 6:28:30 PM

LOL another mistake, eagles to win NFC East, had south in my head while i wrote that for some reason.

theory PM theory
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Posted: 8/4/2011 10:24:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MoneyShot:

Adding:

5) EAGLES!!! -3.5 at Rams... Might even add more at that line, the spread is already at -4.5 at pinnacle so 3.5 is a steal IMO.


LRM704 PM LRM704
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Posted: 8/4/2011 11:13:06 PM

I know it's all about the juice, but why not wait till the season gets closer and buy a point either way.

Like a future bet , just so many things can go wrong

LRM704 PM LRM704
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Posted: 8/4/2011 11:14:23 PM
Theory,I would wait and put an extra 2 units on the moneyline when it comes out.
theory PM theory
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Posted: 8/5/2011 3:00:02 AM
ive already got my bet down.  1100/500.  steep i know, but im in it for the guaranteed cash.  if the point spread lowers, by all means, i will jump on it
MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 8/5/2011 12:20:10 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LRM704:

I know it's all about the juice, but why not wait till the season gets closer and buy a point either way.

Like a future bet , just so many things can go wrong

i see  your reasoning but there are times that there is too much value and if you know where the line will be, it is definitely advantageous to bet in early... ive bet a lot of lines that have moved bigtime so im glad i got them early evne though of course i could still easily lose. im still happy i got a couple extra points here and there.  my browns bet at -2.5 is a massive steal, i think it is now around -4.5, and i definitely like those zona, phily, minny odds and my other bets..

LRM704 PM LRM704
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Posted: 8/5/2011 1:16:16 PM
GL Moneyshot,  
dugie243 PM dugie243
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Posted: 8/5/2011 1:29:45 PM
money-

i'm considering the o4.5 for carolina as well, where do you see them getting their 5 or maybe 6 wins?








GL to all
Gold_Rush PM Gold_Rush
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Posted: 8/5/2011 2:21:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by theory:

ive already got my bet down.  1100/500.  steep i know, but im in it for the guaranteed cash.  if the point spread lowers, by all means, i will jump on it


No such thing
PrimeTimeBoys PM PrimeTimeBoys
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Posted: 8/5/2011 2:26:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gold_Rush:



No such thing



theory PM theory
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Posted: 8/6/2011 11:54:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gold_Rush:



No such thing

Mark it down....I am calling it.  THE EAGLES MONEYLINE IS A GUARANTEED WIN AGAINST ST LOUIS.....A....LOCK.....YES, A LOCK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!  Let the word hunt me down and she me who is boss.  Sorry, wont happen unless the Eagles plane crashes on the way to St Louis.  
bobafett PM bobafett
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Posted: 8/7/2011 12:20:21 AM

TB -3 (revenge game for the bucs...stafford has yet to win a game on the road...stanton started the game last yr)

PIT +2.5 ( joe flacco is not the real deal...lost todd heap...and derrick mason...and mcaghee....depleting their offense)

 

 

MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 8/7/2011 9:38:15 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by dugie243:

money-

i'm considering the o4.5 for carolina as well, where do you see them getting their 5 or maybe 6 wins?








GL to all

i just think they had a lot of injuries and just everything went bad for them last year... they should improve greatly.

jbkizzle PM jbkizzle
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Posted: 8/7/2011 11:52:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by theory:


Mark it down....I am calling it.  THE EAGLES MONEYLINE IS A GUARANTEED WIN AGAINST ST LOUIS.....A....LOCK.....YES, A LOCK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!  Let the word hunt me down and she me who is boss.  Sorry, wont happen unless the Eagles plane crashes on the way to St Louis.  

Week 1 always causes bettors to lose tons.  A ridiculously new roster, versus an up-and-coming team that was all there last year. Plus, a road game. Tough call here.

It's a bit early, but I'd probably pass on this game. It's weird, but I think the easiest game on the board is CLE moneyline

jbkizzle PM jbkizzle
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Posted: 8/7/2011 11:55:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MoneyShot:

My regular season win totals, some of these have already changed but a couple are still the same:

Minny over 7 games

Carolina over 4.5

Other Futures:

Cards +300 to win div

Eagles +100 to win  NFC Championship

Colts +100 to win division AFC South

Colts to win Superbowl +1600

 

 

 

 

I think MIN will be one of the worst teams in the league this year. All of their talent (except for AP) abandoned ship. And, Donovan F. McNabb is a garbage player. I can't trust that guy to win games, especially with a newly depleted offensive and defensive line.

5 wins, tops.

tahoejoe2 PM tahoejoe2
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Posted: 8/7/2011 12:33:38 PM

TB -3 (revenge game for the bucs...stafford has yet to win a game on the road...stanton started the game last yr)

 

I'm with you Bob. Good stuff.

dugie243 PM dugie243
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Posted: 8/7/2011 1:09:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MoneyShot:

i just think they had a lot of injuries and just everything went bad for them last year... they should improve greatly.



i think its gonna be a no play for me. i think they will be better than people think, but i can't find 5 wins in their schedule. a lot of hard games in there.








GL to all
MoneyShot PM MoneyShot
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Posted: 8/7/2011 3:00:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jbkizzle:

 

I think MIN will be one of the worst teams in the league this year. All of their talent (except for AP) abandoned ship. And, Donovan F. McNabb is a garbage player. I can't trust that guy to win games, especially with a newly depleted offensive and defensive line.

5 wins, tops.

you watch...  they will have a decent season and win at least 7.

GL to you.

 

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