Messages

Forum Index : Covers NFL Betting : Messages Page 3 of 5  1 2 3 4 5  
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Chiefs might as well not show up?
cyalx send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
cyalx
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 2797
Location: Maryland
#51
Posted: 1/4/2011 3:27:25 PM
agree ^^^ if you dont like the points tough take ml its at 140 now not too bad i think
quote
ShadowWarrior
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
ShadowWarrior
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Nov 2002
Posts: 6346
Location: Hawaii
#52
Posted: 1/4/2011 3:29:37 PM
After Minny beat Philly on MNF, anything is possible.
quote
I_won_the_money send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
I_won_the_money
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 683
Location: Massachusetts
#53
Posted: 1/4/2011 4:00:39 PM
funny how almost 90% of the bettors are on baltimore, yet they decide to keep the line at 3...  Maybe they are givin a late Holiday gift?  Doubtful....they WANT you to take baltimore...large
quote
dawniewags send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetJamaica.com |
dawniewags
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 2524
Location: California
#54
Posted: 1/4/2011 4:14:21 PM

when was last time any team with LOSING DIV record ever even got to the superbowl ?

KC beat only  the broncos and chargers once

look at KC's schedule the weak opponents they lost too

@ colts post bye week for KC  +71/2  pts LOST 9-19

at TEXANS  +4 points  LOST 31 -35 @ Broncos - 1 point LOST

29-49  vs cards wheeeeeeeeeee wins @ Seattle omg theres a great chmpionship caliber foe WINs

+9 at Chagers  Eats a doughnut 0-31 sorry folks when your team eats a doughnut

then they go to rams as a dog win then Titans who rolled over

then again their ugly phony team reared it's ugly head in DIV revnge game they lost by 3 points up at Oak  this time favored by 3 vs raiders withot thier top RB Qb almost gets knocked out of game THEY LOST from wire to wire

a BLOW OUT loss to a team that had nothing to play for was out of playoffs

 

 

quote
I_won_the_money send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
I_won_the_money
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 683
Location: Massachusetts
#55
Posted: 1/4/2011 4:33:44 PM

yes, that all sounds good and the stats and everything else....but don't you think vegas knows more than us?  Why would they keep the line so low?  


Let me help...For EVERYONE to hammer baltimore.  The books make the money, not 90% of the public.  the line alone is enough to tell me KC is the play here.  Just my 2 cents, obviously everyone is sold on batlimore.  I'm not trying to be a person, just trying to enlighten. 

quote
kamahsutra send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
kamahsutra
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Apr 2008
Posts: 1361
Location:
#56
Posted: 1/4/2011 4:52:34 PM

I say don't overthink this one.  Baltimore is the better team, with a better record while playing a tougher schedule, with playoff tested veterans, and a vaunted D.  Got Baltimore -1.5.  If Vegas knows something and all Baltimore backers fall into the trap, then so be it, just part of capping.  BOL

quote
bigslickk send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
bigslickk
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 932
Location: Ontario
#57
Posted: 1/4/2011 5:10:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kamahsutra:

I say don't overthink this one.  Baltimore is the better team, with a better record while playing a tougher schedule, with playoff tested veterans, and a vaunted D.  Got Baltimore -1.5.  If Vegas knows something and all Baltimore backers fall into the trap, then so be it, just part of capping.  BOL

...I love it when people bring up the whole "Vegas" angle....this game is simply a matter of picking the better team plain and simple.  If they happen to lose then so be it...

quote
RJSizzle send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RJSizzle
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 5953
Location: New York
#58
Posted: 1/4/2011 5:10:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by collegegambler:

Everyone seems like Baltimore is such a lock to win? Why?

Chiefs are AFC west champs who are 7-1 at home and number 1 in rushing have no chance? I don't get it. Cassel threw 27 td's to 7int's. They have an explosive big play back in Charles and a pounder in thomas Jones.

Baltimore has not impressed me much of late as they seem to be struggling on offense. Balty could def win but I do not think this is a lock by any means.

I like the chiefs plus the points in this game, as I think they have a great chance to win outright.



It might have to do with KC's Strength of Schedule....its horrid. Combined record of KCs opponents are 85-123. Chiefs only beat one team that even qualified for the playoffs - the Seahawks.



Its just that Vegas is obivously not going to get 2 way action here and doesnt give a darn.

Which is interesting.


quote
mrbigstuff2466
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
mrbigstuff2466
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 257
Location:
#59
Posted: 1/4/2011 6:04:00 PM
Lets not underestimate Kansas City at home. Yes, the raiders went in there and beat them but KC already had the division and they were probably more relaxed than they should be having their position locked up and knowing they would be hosting a wild card game no matter what they did week 17. They have tons of speed and players with game breaking ability. Ravens are an older team with tons of experience but I am sure that the toll of the games over the season has left more bruises on the older Ravens than the younger Chiefs. Friends I am nobody important, but l say give me 3 points and l am all over the Chiefs. KC and I will buy points to +3.5
quote
cyalx send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
cyalx
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 2797
Location: Maryland
#60
Posted: 1/4/2011 6:05:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by I_won_the_money:

funny how almost 90% of the bettors are on baltimore, yet they decide to keep the line at 3...  Maybe they are givin a late Holiday gift?  Doubtful....they WANT you to take baltimore...large


okay we will c on sunday then oh yea your numbers are wrong though its 60 40 and im sure by gametime it will be close too even thats y they move points too get even action
quote
BIGfnPOO
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
BIGfnPOO
Participation Meter
All-Star
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 12148
Location: United States
#61
Posted: 1/4/2011 6:07:13 PM
kc $line +125
quote
AFTeRM4TH send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
AFTeRM4TH
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 248
Location: Georgia
#62
Posted: 1/4/2011 7:51:15 PM

you guys talk like Vegas sometimes fails to set the proper lines and LOSE their behind off on certain games.

How much money do you think "Vegas" lost when everybody and their mamas took PHI over WAS in that primetime game? 

To hell with the Vegas angle. Ravens are a better team than the chiefs. That rushing attack will have their hands full against the BAL front 7, leaving Cassell to carry the team on his shoulders ... exactly what the birds will gameplan

quote
I_won_the_money send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
I_won_the_money
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 683
Location: Massachusetts
#63
Posted: 1/4/2011 9:41:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cyalx:



okay we will c on sunday then oh yea your numbers are wrong though its 60 40 and im sure by gametime it will be close too even thats y they move points too get even action

http://www.pregame.com/EN/main/sports-betting-stats/sportsbook-spy-insights/


was at 90%...now at 88% on balt... 

quote
JimMack6 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
JimMack6
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 2030
Location: Pennsylvania
#64
Posted: 1/4/2011 10:02:17 PM

I liked the Chiefs as home dogs before the matchups were set.  I was hoping it would be the Jets but I still think they can beat the Ravens.  Anywhere you look everyone has already penciled the ravens into the divisional round.  GL i'll be on the Chiefs for sure.

quote
cropduster send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
cropduster
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 3542
Location:
#65
Posted: 1/4/2011 10:12:39 PM
Goin' back and forth on the game. It'll probably be my lowest valued game of the weekend.  I'm not sure I can see KC losing twice in row at home. I'm not sure they played their A game last week.
quote
BigShotBill send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
BigShotBill
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 1007
Location: Virgin Islands
              USA
#66
Posted: 1/4/2011 10:49:39 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by RJSizzle:



It might have to do with KC's Strength of Schedule....its horrid. Combined record of KCs opponents are 85-123. Chiefs only beat one team that even qualified for the playoffs - the Seahawks.



Its just that Vegas is obivously not going to get 2 way action here and doesnt give a darn.

Which is interesting.


Sizzle,

I heard sharps have been gobbling up KC plus three according to espn insider's gambling blog. They quoted Teddy Covers who said sharps were immediately on them because of their strong home record and running game. I still think there might be some solid action on KC which is why the line dropped and has since gone up with the public playing Balt.

quote
nc1capper send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
nc1capper
Participation Meter
All-Star
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 14374
Location: North Carolina
#67
Posted: 1/4/2011 10:52:44 PM
this one goes to balty- dont overcook the goose-
quote
BigShotBill send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
BigShotBill
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 1007
Location: Virgin Islands
              USA
#68
Posted: 1/4/2011 10:53:42 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by I_won_the_money:

funny how almost 90% of the bettors are on baltimore, yet they decide to keep the line at 3...  Maybe they are givin a late Holiday gift?  Doubtful....they WANT you to take baltimore...large

Or maybe Vegas knows they are already getting pounded with sharp action at KC +3. They aren't going to raise the line and get pounded even more at +3.5.

Anyways, betting based on what YOU THINK Vegas wants you to do is a great way to losing a lot of money over the long haul. Instead, why don't you try looking at a situation or angle that will give you an advantage.

quote
cyalx send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
cyalx
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 2797
Location: Maryland
#69
Posted: 1/5/2011 12:23:05 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by I_won_the_money:

http://www.pregame.com/EN/main/sports-betting-stats/sportsbook-spy-insights/


was at 90%...now at 88% on balt... 




well i dont no what site ur looking at but sbr and vegas insider dont have it at that and sbr is from 10 books
quote
RJSizzle send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RJSizzle
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 5953
Location: New York
#70
Posted: 1/5/2011 9:31:12 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BigShotBill:

Sizzle,

I heard sharps have been gobbling up KC plus three according to espn insider's gambling blog. They quoted Teddy Covers who said sharps were immediately on them because of their strong home record and running game. I still think there might be some solid action on KC which is why the line dropped and has since gone up with the public playing Balt.



Some of the sharpest gamblers I know are holding Balt -1 tickets right now.

I have no lean, whatsoever, right now.


quote
BigShotBill send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
BigShotBill
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 1007
Location: Virgin Islands
              USA
#71
Posted: 1/5/2011 12:04:04 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by RJSizzle:



Some of the sharpest gamblers I know are holding Balt -1 tickets right now.

I have no lean, whatsoever, right now.


I don't understand it myself either Sizzle. I love Baltimore and I can see why they do too. I haven't placed a wager yet though and the line is -3 everywhere. Should I buy half a point? I am thinking of going very heavy on this game but I hate paying the added juice.

quote
RJSizzle send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
RJSizzle
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 5953
Location: New York
#72
Posted: 1/5/2011 12:10:45 PM
I would never, ever, advocate the buying of any points.

If I miss a line, I miss it and it wasnt meant to be.

Idk. Thats just my approach. I see people throwing away money on -130 and -125 wagers all the time here.


quote
illnasty10 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
illnasty10
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 1043
Location:
#73
Posted: 1/5/2011 12:51:38 PM
cassel will get popped!
quote
Quidy
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
Quidy
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 107
Location: New York
#74
Posted: 1/5/2011 1:00:53 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by BIGfnPOO:

kc $line +125

 

KC Moneyline +147 at 5Dimes right now.

quote
Scumbob send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Scumbob
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 3
Location: New Jersey
#75
Posted: 1/5/2011 1:20:08 PM
Long Time Chiefs Fan... But I picked Balt. to win the Bowl Preseason.   Theese playoffs couldn't be set up any better, never been more excited to see some different outcome than recent pasts. When its all done I think whoever wins win earn the s... out of it.
quote
Forum Index : Covers NFL Betting : Messages Page 3 of 5  1 2 3 4 5  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.