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[NFL Betting] Topic: Chiefs might as well not show up? |
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cyalx |
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#51 Posted: 1/4/2011 3:27:25 PM agree ^^^ if you dont like the points tough take ml its at 140 now not too bad i think
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ShadowWarrior |
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#52 Posted: 1/4/2011 3:29:37 PM After Minny beat Philly on MNF, anything is possible.
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I_won_the_money |
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#53 Posted: 1/4/2011 4:00:39 PM funny how almost 90% of the bettors are on baltimore, yet they decide to keep the line at 3... Maybe they are givin a late Holiday gift? Doubtful....they WANT you to take baltimore...large |
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dawniewags |
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#54 Posted: 1/4/2011 4:14:21 PM when was last time any team with LOSING DIV record ever even got to the superbowl ?
KC beat only the broncos and chargers once
look at KC's schedule the weak opponents they lost too
@ colts post bye week for KC +71/2 pts LOST 9-19
at TEXANS +4 points LOST 31 -35 @ Broncos - 1 point LOST
29-49 vs cards wheeeeeeeeeee wins @ Seattle omg theres a great chmpionship caliber foe WINs
+9 at Chagers Eats a doughnut 0-31 sorry folks when your team eats a doughnut
then they go to rams as a dog win then Titans who rolled over
then again their ugly phony team reared it's ugly head in DIV revnge game they lost by 3 points up at Oak this time favored by 3 vs raiders withot thier top RB Qb almost gets knocked out of game THEY LOST from wire to wire
a BLOW OUT loss to a team that had nothing to play for was out of playoffs
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I_won_the_money |
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#55 Posted: 1/4/2011 4:33:44 PM yes, that all sounds good and the stats and everything else....but don't you think vegas knows more than us? Why would they keep the line so low?
Let me help...For EVERYONE to hammer baltimore. The books make the money, not 90% of the public. the line alone is enough to tell me KC is the play here. Just my 2 cents, obviously everyone is sold on batlimore. I'm not trying to be a person, just trying to enlighten. |
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kamahsutra |
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#56 Posted: 1/4/2011 4:52:34 PM I say don't overthink this one. Baltimore is the better team, with a better record while playing a tougher schedule, with playoff tested veterans, and a vaunted D. Got Baltimore -1.5. If Vegas knows something and all Baltimore backers fall into the trap, then so be it, just part of capping. BOL |
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bigslickk |
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#57 Posted: 1/4/2011 5:10:14 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by kamahsutra:
I say don't overthink this one. Baltimore is the better team, with a better record while playing a tougher schedule, with playoff tested veterans, and a vaunted D. Got Baltimore -1.5. If Vegas knows something and all Baltimore backers fall into the trap, then so be it, just part of capping. BOL
...I love it when people bring up the whole "Vegas" angle....this game is simply a matter of picking the better team plain and simple. If they happen to lose then so be it...
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RJSizzle |
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#58 Posted: 1/4/2011 5:10:30 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by collegegambler: Everyone seems like Baltimore is such a lock to win? Why?
Chiefs are AFC west champs who are 7-1 at home and number 1 in rushing have no chance? I don't get it. Cassel threw 27 td's to 7int's. They have an explosive big play back in Charles and a pounder in thomas Jones.
Baltimore has not impressed me much of late as they seem to be struggling on offense. Balty could def win but I do not think this is a lock by any means.
I like the chiefs plus the points in this game, as I think they have a great chance to win outright.
It might have to do with KC's Strength of Schedule....its horrid. Combined record of KCs opponents are 85-123. Chiefs only beat one team that even qualified for the playoffs - the Seahawks.

Its just that Vegas is obivously not going to get 2 way action here and doesnt give a darn.
Which is interesting.
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mrbigstuff2466 |
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#59 Posted: 1/4/2011 6:04:00 PM Lets not underestimate Kansas City at home. Yes, the raiders went in there and beat them but KC already had the division and they were probably more relaxed than they should be having their position locked up and knowing they would be hosting a wild card game no matter what they did week 17. They have tons of speed and players with game breaking ability. Ravens are an older team with tons of experience but I am sure that the toll of the games over the season has left more bruises on the older Ravens than the younger Chiefs. Friends I am nobody important, but l say give me 3 points and l am all over the Chiefs. KC and I will buy points to +3.5 |
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cyalx |
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#60 Posted: 1/4/2011 6:05:08 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by I_won_the_money:
funny how almost 90% of the bettors are on baltimore, yet they decide to keep the line at 3... Maybe they are givin a late Holiday gift? Doubtful....they WANT you to take baltimore...large
okay we will c on sunday then oh yea your numbers are wrong though its 60 40 and im sure by gametime it will be close too even thats y they move points too get even action
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BIGfnPOO |
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#61 Posted: 1/4/2011 6:07:13 PM kc $line +125 |
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AFTeRM4TH |
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#62 Posted: 1/4/2011 7:51:15 PM you guys talk like Vegas sometimes fails to set the proper lines and LOSE their behind off on certain games.
How much money do you think "Vegas" lost when everybody and their mamas took PHI over WAS in that primetime game?
To hell with the Vegas angle. Ravens are a better team than the chiefs. That rushing attack will have their hands full against the BAL front 7, leaving Cassell to carry the team on his shoulders ... exactly what the birds will gameplan |
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I_won_the_money |
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#63 Posted: 1/4/2011 9:41:25 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by cyalx: okay we will c on sunday then oh yea your numbers are wrong though its 60 40 and im sure by gametime it will be close too even thats y they move points too get even action http://www.pregame.com/EN/main/sports-betting-stats/sportsbook-spy-insights/
was at 90%...now at 88% on balt... |
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JimMack6 |
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#64 Posted: 1/4/2011 10:02:17 PM I liked the Chiefs as home dogs before the matchups were set. I was hoping it would be the Jets but I still think they can beat the Ravens. Anywhere you look everyone has already penciled the ravens into the divisional round. GL i'll be on the Chiefs for sure. |
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cropduster |
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#65 Posted: 1/4/2011 10:12:39 PM Goin' back and forth on the game. It'll probably be my lowest valued game of the weekend. I'm not sure I can see KC losing twice in row at home. I'm not sure they played their A game last week. |
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BigShotBill |
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#66 Posted: 1/4/2011 10:49:39 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
It might have to do with KC's Strength of Schedule....its horrid. Combined record of KCs opponents are 85-123. Chiefs only beat one team that even qualified for the playoffs - the Seahawks.

Its just that Vegas is obivously not going to get 2 way action here and doesnt give a darn.
Which is interesting.
Sizzle,
I heard sharps have been gobbling up KC plus three according to espn insider's gambling blog. They quoted Teddy Covers who said sharps were immediately on them because of their strong home record and running game. I still think there might be some solid action on KC which is why the line dropped and has since gone up with the public playing Balt. |
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nc1capper |
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#67 Posted: 1/4/2011 10:52:44 PM this one goes to balty- dont overcook the goose- |
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BigShotBill |
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#68 Posted: 1/4/2011 10:53:42 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by I_won_the_money:
funny how almost 90% of the bettors are on baltimore, yet they decide to keep the line at 3... Maybe they are givin a late Holiday gift? Doubtful....they WANT you to take baltimore...large
Or maybe Vegas knows they are already getting pounded with sharp action at KC +3. They aren't going to raise the line and get pounded even more at +3.5.
Anyways, betting based on what YOU THINK Vegas wants you to do is a great way to losing a lot of money over the long haul. Instead, why don't you try looking at a situation or angle that will give you an advantage. |
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cyalx |
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#69 Posted: 1/5/2011 12:23:05 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by I_won_the_money: http://www.pregame.com/EN/main/sports-betting-stats/sportsbook-spy-insights/
was at 90%...now at 88% on balt...
well i dont no what site ur looking at but sbr and vegas insider dont have it at that and sbr is from 10 books
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RJSizzle |
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#70 Posted: 1/5/2011 9:31:12 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by BigShotBill:
Sizzle,
I heard sharps have been gobbling up KC plus three according to espn insider's gambling blog. They quoted Teddy Covers who said sharps were immediately on them because of their strong home record and running game. I still think there might be some solid action on KC which is why the line dropped and has since gone up with the public playing Balt.
Some of the sharpest gamblers I know are holding Balt -1 tickets right now.
I have no lean, whatsoever, right now.

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BigShotBill |
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#71 Posted: 1/5/2011 12:04:04 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
Some of the sharpest gamblers I know are holding Balt -1 tickets right now.
I have no lean, whatsoever, right now.

I don't understand it myself either Sizzle. I love Baltimore and I can see why they do too. I haven't placed a wager yet though and the line is -3 everywhere. Should I buy half a point? I am thinking of going very heavy on this game but I hate paying the added juice. |
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RJSizzle |
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#72 Posted: 1/5/2011 12:10:45 PM I would never, ever, advocate the buying of any points.
If I miss a line, I miss it and it wasnt meant to be.
Idk. Thats just my approach. I see people throwing away money on -130 and -125 wagers all the time here.
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illnasty10 |
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#73 Posted: 1/5/2011 12:51:38 PM cassel will get popped!
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Quidy |
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#74 Posted: 1/5/2011 1:00:53 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by BIGfnPOO:
kc $line +125
KC Moneyline +147 at 5Dimes right now. |
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Scumbob |
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#75 Posted: 1/5/2011 1:20:08 PM Long Time Chiefs Fan... But I picked Balt. to win the Bowl Preseason. Theese playoffs couldn't be set up any better, never been more excited to see some different outcome than recent pasts. When its all done I think whoever wins win earn the s... out of it. |
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