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[NFL Betting] Topic: Trends & Things week 11 MNF edition 2010-2011 + after-bye trend |
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RobertoFiory |
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#1 Posted: 11/22/2010 6:48:26 PM Hey everyone,
Let's update the trend involving Favorites that are coming off a bye week >>>
San Diego is the last team to play a game following a bye this year .
Therefore , I'll take this opportunity to update on the results for favorites coming off a bye for the 2010-2011 season
Here is the update for favored teams coming off a bye >>
( For specifics about prior years , please refer to week 8's thread on the same subject ))
There have been 15 teams that have been favored coming off a bye in the 2010-2011 season ( there will be 16 )
The record stands at 8-5-2 ATS for the year...with one game left on the schedule.
Basically, we're looking at either 9-5-2 ATS or 8-6-2 ATS, unless there is a push> Covers final scores dictates the actual line
Week 5 : ( 0-1-0 ATS )
Tenn @ Dallas - 6.5 ( Lost SU & ATS )
Week 6 : ( 1-0-1 ATS )
Baltimore @ NE - 3 ( Won SU & pushed ATS )
Cleveland @ Pittsburgh - 14 ( Won SU & ATS )
Week 7 : ( 0-0-0 ATS )
Week 8 : ( 2-1 ATS )
Washington @ Detroit - 2.5 ( won SU & ATS )
Green Bay @ NY Jets - 6 ( lost SU & ATS )
Houston @ Indianapolis - 5.5 ( Won SU & ATS )
Week 9 : ( 2-2-1 ATS )
Tampa Bay @ Atlanta - 10 ( Atlanta won SU & Lost ATS )
Miami @ Baltimore -5 ( Baltimore won SU & won ATS )
Chicago - 3 @ Buffalo ( Chicago won SU & pushed ATS )
New York Giants - 7@ Seattle ( NY Giants won SU & ATS )
Indi @ Philadelphia -3 ( Phil - 3.5 won SU & lost ATS )
Week 10 : ( 1-1 ATS )
Houston @ Jacksonville - 1 ( Jac won SU & ATS )
St Louis @ San Francisco - 4.5 ( SF won SU & lost ATS )
Week 11 : ( 2-0 ATS ...pending San Diego )
Green Bay - 3 @ Minnesota ( Green Bay won SU & ATS )
Seattle @ New Orleans - 11 ( New Orleans won SU & ATS )
With Green Bay's win ATS (on the road) over the Vikings ...
Road Favorites coming off a bye are now 11-0-1 ATS
A streak I was unable to highlight with my sporadic posting, but brought it up going into week 9 where it went 1-0-1
This trend ( unbeaten in last 12 ) won't be put to the test again until next year sometime .
The breakdown for favorites coming off a bye for the 2010-2011 season thus far :
Favorites won 8 games SU & ATS
Favorites won 2 games SU & pushed ATS
Favorites won 3 games SU & lost ATS
Favorites lost 2 games SU & ATS
To be updated including percentages after MNF
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sungod95 |
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#2 Posted: 11/22/2010 6:51:28 PM  |
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Cyrax |
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#3 Posted: 11/22/2010 6:52:27 PM  |
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#4 Posted: 11/22/2010 6:53:47 PM |
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Louis_IV |
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#5 Posted: 11/22/2010 6:57:56 PM |
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#6 Posted: 11/22/2010 6:58:09 PM |
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#7 Posted: 11/22/2010 6:59:48 PM  |
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wil168 |
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#8 Posted: 11/22/2010 7:00:14 PM |
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Cooler999 |
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#9 Posted: 11/22/2010 7:05:28 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by kkkwinner: SD
Well thought out dicklips......I can see all the research you have done to give that wagging friggin finger to Roberto. Keep up the intense deep homework like Roberto does. It will pay off for you. I can see a future of you being a HOT handicapper, no doubt. Be sure and give us your posted picks, as I'm sure there's not a capper in here that wont make a move without checking with you and your finger first. |
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RobertoFiory |
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#10 Posted: 11/22/2010 7:17:15 PM After Bye week trend for favorites :
2009-2010 NFL season >>
week 5 : ( 2-1 ATS )
Houston @ Arizona - 5.5 ...won SU & ATS
Tampa Bay @ Philadelphia - 15.5 ... won SU & ATS
Washington @ Carolina - 5 ... won SU & lost ATS
Week 6 : ( 2-1 ATS )
Detroit @ Green Bay - 13.5 won SU & ATS
NYG @ New Orleans - 3.5 won SU & ATS
Denver @ San Diego - 3.5 ( MNF ) Lost SU & ATS
Week 7 : ( 2-0 ATS )
Atlanta @ Dallas - 4 ...won SU & ATS
Indianapolis - 13.5 @ St Louis ... won SU & ATS
Week 8 : ( 2-1 ATS )
Denver @ Baltimore - 3.5 Won SU & ATS
St Louis @ Detroit - 4.5 Lost SU & ATS
Jacksonville @ Tennessee - 3 Won SU & ATS
Week 9 : 1-1 ATS
Miami @ New England - 10.5 (Won SU & lost ATS )
Pittsburgh -3 @ Denver ( Won SU & ATS )
Week 10 : ( 0-2-1 ATS )
Jac @ NY Jets - 6.5 ( Lost SU & ATS )
KC @ Oakland - 1 ( Lost SU & ATS )
Detroit @ Minnesota - 17 ( Won SU & pushed ATS )
Week 11 : 0-2 ATS
Tennessee @ Houston - 4 ( Lost SU & ATS )
Atlanta @ NY Giants - 7 ( Won SU & Lost ATS )
Favorites did not enjoy as much success in the 2009-2010 NFL regular season as they finished on a weak note , but still managed to go 13-5 SU & 9-8-1 ATS
breakdown :
Favorites won 9 games SU & ATS
Favorites won 1 game SU & pushed ATS
Favorites won 3 games SU & lost ATS
Favorites lost 5 games SU & ATS
Going into the 2010-2011 NFL season Favorites coming off a bye were 45-22-1 ATS since the 2006-2007 season and
57-26-1 ATS since the 2005-2006 season began...
This is to be updated following tonight's MNF matchup between San Diego and Denver ...
These numbers do no include the 2010-2011 season.
We can however state , regardless of the outcome of tonight's game :
Favorites ( coming off a bye ) have covered more spreads than not in 6 consecutive seasons as I have tracked them .
Road Favorites ( coming off a bye ) go into the 2011-2012 regular season on a 11-0-1 ATS streak
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moosehunter |
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#11 Posted: 11/22/2010 7:18:24 PM |
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RobertoFiory |
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#12 Posted: 11/22/2010 7:26:00 PM Now , a review of the performances of favored teams coming off a bye week in the 2008-2009 season :
Results : 2008-2009 NFL season
Favorites coming off their bye week
16 Favorites ( 14-2 SU & 12-4 ATS )
HF : 8-2 SU & 6-4 ATS
RF : 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS
Favorites won 12 games SU & ATS ( 75.00 % )
Favorites won 2 games SU & lost ATS ( 12.5 % )
Favorites Lost 2 games SU & ATS ( 12.5 % )
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RobertoFiory |
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#13 Posted: 11/22/2010 7:42:55 PM
This is the result for Favorites coming off their Bye weeks for the 2007-2008 NFL season :
So, how did the 18 favorites perform coming off their byes :
Favorites won 13 games SU & ATS ( 72.2 % )
Favorites won 1 game SU & Lost ATS ( 5.6 % )
Favorites lost 4 games SU & ATS ( 22.2 % )
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Favorites coming off their bye week during the 2006-2007 season
16 of the teams were set as favorites
Favorites : ( 16 total )
Favorites won 11 games SU & ATS ( 68.75 % )
Favorites won 1 game SU & lost ATS ( 6.25 % )
Favorites lost 4 games SU & ATS ( 25.00 % )
The last Road Favorite to lose ATS happened in this season on week 6 : Seattle - 3 @ St Louis
Seattle won 30-28 missing the spread by 1 point
We can state that the last time a Road favorite coming off a bye did not cover the spread was in week 6 of the 2006-2007 NFL regular season...
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Gilberto |
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#14 Posted: 11/22/2010 7:45:40 PM |
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RobertoFiory |
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#15 Posted: 11/22/2010 11:59:59 PM After Bye trend closes shop for the year ...
It finishes the year 9-5-2 ATS with San Diego's win on MNF
The breakdown for favorites coming off a bye for the 2010-2011 season :
Favorites won 9 games SU & ATS
Favorites won 2 games SU & pushed ATS
Favorites won 3 games SU & lost ATS
Favorites lost 2 games SU & ATS
The updated numbers read like this now :
Going into the 2011-2012 NFL season :
Favorites coming off a bye are
54-27-3 ATS since the 2006-2007 season and
66-31-3 ATS since the 2005-2006 season began...
Road Favorites ( coming off a bye ) go into the
2011-2012 regular season on a 11-0-1 ATS streak
File it away !
RF
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thefever1 |
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#16 Posted: 11/23/2010 1:03:05 AM
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#17 Posted: 11/23/2010 9:54:31 PM |
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#18 Posted: 11/23/2010 10:14:45 PM  |
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#19 Posted: 11/23/2010 11:16:47 PM |
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#20 Posted: 11/23/2010 11:57:18 PM |
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#21 Posted: 11/24/2010 12:02:36 AM
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#22 Posted: 11/24/2010 12:05:32 AM
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#23 Posted: 11/24/2010 2:54:45 AM much appreciated |
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#24 Posted: 11/24/2010 7:43:36 AM
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#25 Posted: 11/24/2010 7:48:35 AM |
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