Week 9: 4 team 13 point teaser teaser thread (5-3 +2 units)

Quote Originally Posted by raffchfd:

seattle +20

Quote Originally Posted by cashin:

Nice job last week - did well myself. So far liking Indy +16 & Pitt +8.5 sides-wise for obvious reasons but need to look more a dig deeper cuz it looks a bit tricky this wk & will probably incorporate 2/3 totals (Atl & Hou overs) as well. Balty +8 at home off a bye with Mia on a b2b roadie (prob good either way), Cleve +18 & Hou at +16 all look like they're worth lookin into -

Quote Originally Posted by XhuegoX:

sup bud...

I agree with cleveland 100%, this is a mus take IMO. there's a reason why the books have kept this line at 4.5. Pinny has the browns juiced at -114. I think this will be a close game throughout. +17.5 is a nice number as well, passing both 14 and 17.

also looking at a total play. I know you don't like to take totals but i can't pass up getting chargers/texans over 37.5. Feel very confident that each team can get 21 points.

others i'm looking at...

Jets +8

Vikings +2 (I can't see them losing this game)

 

Quote Originally Posted by cashin:

dl - sounds good, every little bit of relevant info & insight helps.

Indy - think Philly will put up at least 17-21 but gotta take Manning outside of 2 tds.

Pitt - situationally & pointwise you're prob right on Cincy, but I just don't see 'em gettin it together vs the Pitt D & feel just slightly stronger with the Steelers.

Think Balty & Mia are both good, same with the Pats/Cleve -

Another 1 I'm starting to like is TB+22 with the way Freeman's going, emergence of Blount at RB the way they've played on the road. Atl with plenty of weapons & at home off a bye but still can't see 'em winning by 14/17 max.

 

Quote Originally Posted by MossPaysCash:

KC +16   KC has the best Run Offense in the league and OAK is horrible against the run.  This obv kills clock and keeps the raiders off the field.  Oak is gonna want to try and run the ball as well but KC ranks 7th in Run D.  16 pts is a ton of pts in a game like this where both teams are gonna want to run the ball...

Indy +16  The last time Indy couldn't cover a +16 pt spread has to be 10 years ago.  I remember them getting pounded the last game of last season but obv they were not trying.  16 pts is a ton of pts in the NFL and just an absurd amount for Indy.  Indy is gonna score on Phili so that means Phili is gonna have to put up at least 40 for this not to cover.  Possible but highly unlikely.

NE +8  Could NE lose this game? Of course, it's the NFL but if I'm gonna trust any team in the NFL not to get blown out by a horrible team even on the road, it's Belichik and Tom Brady.  As I see it, NE wins this game 9 out of 10 games and when they lose, it's by a FG.  There is just no way they don't cover this against a rookie QB.

Houston +16  This line seems weird as Hou is underdogs at home against SD who is 0-4 on the road with losses to KC, SEA, OAK and ST LOUIE?  This makes me think Vegas is begging people to take Houston here.  This line just reeks but I have to go with my gut here.  Hou plays well at home and Foster might be a top three RB in the league.  Johnson is getting healthier and they are playing at home.  Traditionally, SD tends to start out slow and catch fire but have proven to be a terrible road team so I'm gonna go with my gut here.  Statistically, SD is second in run D but once again they are marketable better at home.  On the road, SD has given up 130+ yards to KC, 68 to SEA, 110+ to OAK without McFadden and 109 yards to Steven Jackson.  Foster has a big day here in my opinion.  SD just never blows out playoff teams on the road, hell they barely ever blow out bottom feeders on the road.

Quote Originally Posted by dl36:



I actually like the KC +16 for similar reasons but also because KC can run the ball... they basically have a running back by committee with two guys that could be starters on other teams...

I will look into the numbers on the date that IND lost a game but 16 or more points and get back to you....

Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Miami +18

Colts +16

KC +15.5

Hou +16

Quote Originally Posted by cashin:

Moss - like all those & would take the Pats over Cleve as well. Only thing that scares me about Hou is their D & the pressure it usually puts on their offense. Should be a relatively close & high scoring game & a couple of picks by SD at bad times could cause probs. Still, like Hou & will either use 'em or leave it alone -

Quote Originally Posted by gmitran:

NE +7.5 - Billichick will not overlook this game as against his nemesis, ex-assistant Mangini (Spygate).  Cle beat NO but got outgained 2-1 and NO making 4 TO, including 2 INT ret for TD (NE don't beat themselves).  NE def weakness is passing and don't see McCoy exploiting that.   Hard to see NE losing by TD+.

Boy was I wrong on Jets last wk, cost me a bundle.

Quote Originally Posted by Howard_Jughes:

Won my 13pt teaser last week with buffalo, tampa, houston, greenbay.

This week I'm rolling with

buffalo +16 hosting chicago, tampa +21.5 at atlanta, miami +18 at baltimore, arizona +21 @minnesota

buffalo could win straight up and chicago isnt gonna beat anybody going away without a running game.  tampa could lose by 10 or 13 worst case, but >3 tds I dont think so.  if baltimore needs overtime to beat the bills, they arent going to blow out the fish.  cardinals stink but vikings arent beating anybody by 3 tds.

gl everyone.