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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Week 7 Forecast (55-32-2 ATS YTD) 63.2%
ForecastinFloyd
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#1
Posted: 10/19/2010 2:47:21 PM
Last week was up and down going (7-5-2ATS), bringing the YTD at (55-32-2 ATS) 63.2% through 6 weeks.  Hopefully things will improve as we all move forward to the Week 7 Forecast. 

Here is what I have in the Forecast for Week 7, these plays are final.. The two pending games will be posted later when the line/injury reports come in.

Early Games

Cleveland +13

Buffalo +13
Cincinnati +3.5
Miami +3
Chicago -3
Tampa Bay -2.5
San Francisco -2
Jacksonville at Kansas City - Pending Line/Injuries
Philadelphia at Tennessee - Pending Line/Injuries


Late Games

San Diego -3
Seattle -5.5

Sunday Night Game
Minnesota +2.5

Monday Night Game
Dallas -3

As always, best of luck to everyone regardless of your plays.

FF

Season Recap
(55-32-2 ATS) 63.2%
Week 1 (9-6 ATS)(60%)
Week 2 (11-5 ATS)(68.7%)

Week 3
(10-6ATS)(62.5%)
Week 4 
(9-5ATS) (64.2%)
Week 5 (9-5ATS) (64.2%)
Week 6 (7-5-2ATS)(
58.3%)
Totals (1-0)
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ForecastinFloyd
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#2
Posted: 10/19/2010 2:50:30 PM
Oakland at Denver - Pending Line/Injuries  as well and will be posted later
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#3
Posted: 10/19/2010 2:51:11 PM
Bills 
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Europa
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#4
Posted: 10/19/2010 2:51:32 PM
Like your card, i'm interested to know your take on SD -3.  
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#5
Posted: 10/19/2010 2:59:01 PM

What is the reason for the Cleveland pick.

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#6
Posted: 10/19/2010 3:09:02 PM
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#7
Posted: 10/19/2010 4:17:29 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Europa:

Like your card, i'm interested to know your take on SD -3.  

....just watch this line during the week.......if it doesn't move while the heavy action on NE....then it's hmmmm time.....

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#8
Posted: 10/19/2010 4:43:15 PM

i am Shocked u r on san diego..didn't think u could bet against the pats this year..haha

i think heavy action is warranted on the pats as a dog right now but this is their first west coaster of the year , opposite there

vikings

10 day forecast: steadily raining

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#9
Posted: 10/19/2010 4:55:13 PM
FF.. your DAL.. SD... and MIA picks puzzle me.. 
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#10
Posted: 10/19/2010 5:36:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

Bills 

Yeah as much as they are terrible, I'm betting Bills based on the following logic:

The Ravens just finished a stretch of @Pit, home against a reasonably tough Denver team, then at NE. They lost this last game in semi-heartbreaking fashion. Plus this is the week before the bye week. To me this has letdown game written all over it.

The other added benefit is that the Bills can throw it a bit, so the backdoor cover is always in play. And it's not like the Ravens have been raining points this season either.  
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Posted: 10/19/2010 8:03:33 PM
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#12
Posted: 10/19/2010 8:38:39 PM
Love your thread Floyd...But Buffalo??...that game sets up nice for a Balty Blowout
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ForecastinFloyd
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#13
Posted: 10/20/2010 1:14:19 AM
PrimeTime, PGram13, 2Sad2Say, Viking17

MrWeed13, pretty similar to some of my ideas about that game, best of luck.

EuroPA, B3 This is an absolute must win for the Chargers this weekend, and I think that's going to be stressed all weekend in San Diego.  I don't like their chances making the playoffs sitting at 2-5 with a loss this weekend and I think they would agree after already dropping their only two games inside the division.  This might be one of the more embarrassing teams on the road, but I like what I have seen from them at home and overall on defense. We didn't see it last week, but I believe that the Patriots will start missing Randy Moss at the conclusion of this game when the Patriots are playing from behind.  As bad as San Diego has played, they still lead the NFL in total team/passing offense, but one of the main reasons you have to like them at home against the Patriots is their league leading pass defense and total defense.  I like San Diego to cover the 3 here and win by a touchdown or more somewhere around 31-24.

SaintsFan504,  The Browns offense has struggled the last few weeks, but defensively, they have been pretty good this year only giving up roughly 20pts a game.  Cleveland has been pretty successful in the redzone, and I like my chances with Hillis against a suspect rush defense to score a few times.  Obviously the Browns need to put up more than 10 points to probably cover the number here, but I don't think it will be much more than that.  I think the Saints win here, but fail to cover with a final somewhere around 27-24 - 17.

WilliamMunny,  I watched a lot of the Baltimore game last weekend against New England and wasn't impressed with the chain of events that led to them losing after having a 20-10 lead and how their offense has been performing in the redzone.  Although it's certainly a different set of circumstances playing on the road in New England, I still haven't been impressed with the Ravens much at all this year.  This is a Buffalo team that's fully capable of keeping it within the number and rallying from behind to backdoor the big number.  I don't think Fitzpatrick will put up quite the numbers he did against New England, but I think their offense will do just enough to make some noise and lose by no more than ten on the road here.  I think we'll see a score somewhere around 24-14, 24-17 when it's all said and done in Baltimore. 

Tiger9123,  I like Miami to win s/u this weekend, and Dallas to finally get back on track with a convincing win by 10 or more pts against the Giants on the center stage. 


Best of luck to all of you, always remember, I'm not trying to persuade anyone to tail my picks or get you off of your original selection. Just simply trying to generalize some of the questions that were asked above. There's a flurry of reasons on why I make the picks I do, but I've never really been one to act like all of my picks are the grand finale as an argument can always be made on each side of the spectrum and I always appreciate the insight myself.  That's why I normally just post my picks, hope that I remain green every week and keep betting the card in hopes that if there is a toss up game for someone out there, it might help them move one way or another.  If there is any advice I can give, it's always go with your first instinct and never second guess yourself.  The key is to be in the green at the end of the day, and that's what I hope takes place in my forecast, as well as everyone here on covers unless they are fading my picks, jk. 

Best of luck,

FF
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Europa
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#14
Posted: 10/20/2010 2:02:44 AM
Points taken, thanks FF!
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Posted: 10/20/2010 2:47:33 AM
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#16
Posted: 10/20/2010 2:53:26 AM
Top 1 or 2 plays of the week?
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#17
Posted: 10/20/2010 2:58:53 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KicKA55:

   in every thread?? really?? 
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Posted: 10/20/2010 3:19:05 AM
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#19
Posted: 10/20/2010 4:19:47 AM
nice

cheers
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#20
Posted: 10/20/2010 7:52:52 AM
Good luck Floyd. 
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#21
Posted: 10/20/2010 1:08:20 PM
Nice thread FF...like your style. Just curious if you still like Minnesota if in fact Favre announces he is quitting today. Not sure who will be starting but, if it's Jackson, I will have a hard time betting them. Thanks for your insight, and BOL the rest of this year
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ForecastinFloyd
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#22
Posted: 10/20/2010 1:26:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Scorsese:

Nice thread FF...like your style. Just curious if you still like Minnesota if in fact Favre announces he is quitting today. Not sure who will be starting but, if it's Jackson, I will have a hard time betting them. Thanks for your insight, and BOL the rest of this year


If Brett Favre is quitting, someone better tell him to settle down on the conference calls today with the Green Bay media.  He will be playing this weekend, and I think they will win s/u. Even if Brett called Green Bay "the toughest test of the year so far" this morning. 

Best of luck
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ForecastinFloyd
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#23
Posted: 10/20/2010 1:52:50 PM
Interesting enough, Brett wasn't the only one talking to the media this morning.  His wife was on Good Morning America where she was quoted as saying- Deanna Favre:"Those pictures Brett sent were meant for me - but you know Brett - they were intercepted!"

Hopefully those types of interceptions don't take place Sunday Night.

FF
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#24
Posted: 10/20/2010 1:59:38 PM
I'm leaning Buff, Clev, Dall, Mia and New Eng myself. Good info.
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#25
Posted: 10/20/2010 3:02:38 PM
 FF stay away from Oakland this week. They have just been a let down in the west coast games. I see a blow out in Denver.

 KC and TENN all the way this weekend!
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