Week 7 Forecast (55-32-2 ATS YTD) 63.2%

Forum: NFL Betting Page 1 of 3  1 2 3  
Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: Week 7 Forecast (55-32-2 ATS YTD) 63.2%
ForecastinFloyd PM ForecastinFloyd
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 1014
Indiana
 
ForecastinFloyd
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/19/2010 2:47:21 PM
Last week was up and down going (7-5-2ATS), bringing the YTD at (55-32-2 ATS) 63.2% through 6 weeks.  Hopefully things will improve as we all move forward to the Week 7 Forecast. 

Here is what I have in the Forecast for Week 7, these plays are final.. The two pending games will be posted later when the line/injury reports come in.

Early Games

Cleveland +13

Buffalo +13
Cincinnati +3.5
Miami +3
Chicago -3
Tampa Bay -2.5
San Francisco -2
Jacksonville at Kansas City - Pending Line/Injuries
Philadelphia at Tennessee - Pending Line/Injuries


Late Games

San Diego -3
Seattle -5.5

Sunday Night Game
Minnesota +2.5

Monday Night Game
Dallas -3

As always, best of luck to everyone regardless of your plays.

FF

Season Recap
(55-32-2 ATS) 63.2%
Week 1 (9-6 ATS)(60%)
Week 2 (11-5 ATS)(68.7%)

Week 3
(10-6ATS)(62.5%)
Week 4 
(9-5ATS) (64.2%)
Week 5 (9-5ATS) (64.2%)
Week 6 (7-5-2ATS)(
58.3%)
Totals (1-0)
ForecastinFloyd PM ForecastinFloyd
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 1014
Indiana
 
ForecastinFloyd
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/19/2010 2:50:30 PM
Oakland at Denver - Pending Line/Injuries  as well and will be posted later
PrimeTimeBoys PM PrimeTimeBoys
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 13343
Pennsylvania
 
PrimeTimeBoys
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/19/2010 2:51:11 PM
Bills 
Europa PM Europa
Joined: Dec 2003
Posts: 35213
California
 
Europa
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/19/2010 2:51:32 PM
Like your card, i'm interested to know your take on SD -3.  
saintsfan504 PM saintsfan504
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 10057
Maryland
 
saintsfan504
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/19/2010 2:59:01 PM

What is the reason for the Cleveland pick.

PGram13 PM PGram13
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 14618
Texas
 
PGram13
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/19/2010 3:09:02 PM
2sad2say PM 2sad2say
Joined: Sep 2005
Posts: 312
 
2sad2say
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/19/2010 4:17:29 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Europa:

Like your card, i'm interested to know your take on SD -3.  

....just watch this line during the week.......if it doesn't move while the heavy action on NE....then it's hmmmm time.....

BigBadBlove PM BigBadBlove
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 726
Heard and
              McDonald Islands
 
BigBadBlove
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/19/2010 4:43:15 PM

i am Shocked u r on san diego..didn't think u could bet against the pats this year..haha

i think heavy action is warranted on the pats as a dog right now but this is their first west coaster of the year , opposite there

vikings

10 day forecast: steadily raining

tiger9123 PM tiger9123
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 19
 
tiger9123
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/19/2010 4:55:13 PM
FF.. your DAL.. SD... and MIA picks puzzle me.. 
mrweed13 PM mrweed13
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 657
 
mrweed13
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/19/2010 5:36:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

Bills 

Yeah as much as they are terrible, I'm betting Bills based on the following logic:

The Ravens just finished a stretch of @Pit, home against a reasonably tough Denver team, then at NE. They lost this last game in semi-heartbreaking fashion. Plus this is the week before the bye week. To me this has letdown game written all over it.

The other added benefit is that the Bills can throw it a bit, so the backdoor cover is always in play. And it's not like the Ravens have been raining points this season either.  
Viking17 PM Viking17
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 793
 
Viking17
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/19/2010 8:03:33 PM
WilliamMunny PM WilliamMunny
Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 2140
Maryland
 
WilliamMunny
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/19/2010 8:38:39 PM
Love your thread Floyd...But Buffalo??...that game sets up nice for a Balty Blowout
ForecastinFloyd PM ForecastinFloyd
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 1014
Indiana
 
ForecastinFloyd
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/20/2010 1:14:19 AM
PrimeTime, PGram13, 2Sad2Say, Viking17

MrWeed13, pretty similar to some of my ideas about that game, best of luck.

EuroPA, B3 This is an absolute must win for the Chargers this weekend, and I think that's going to be stressed all weekend in San Diego.  I don't like their chances making the playoffs sitting at 2-5 with a loss this weekend and I think they would agree after already dropping their only two games inside the division.  This might be one of the more embarrassing teams on the road, but I like what I have seen from them at home and overall on defense. We didn't see it last week, but I believe that the Patriots will start missing Randy Moss at the conclusion of this game when the Patriots are playing from behind.  As bad as San Diego has played, they still lead the NFL in total team/passing offense, but one of the main reasons you have to like them at home against the Patriots is their league leading pass defense and total defense.  I like San Diego to cover the 3 here and win by a touchdown or more somewhere around 31-24.

SaintsFan504,  The Browns offense has struggled the last few weeks, but defensively, they have been pretty good this year only giving up roughly 20pts a game.  Cleveland has been pretty successful in the redzone, and I like my chances with Hillis against a suspect rush defense to score a few times.  Obviously the Browns need to put up more than 10 points to probably cover the number here, but I don't think it will be much more than that.  I think the Saints win here, but fail to cover with a final somewhere around 27-24 - 17.

WilliamMunny,  I watched a lot of the Baltimore game last weekend against New England and wasn't impressed with the chain of events that led to them losing after having a 20-10 lead and how their offense has been performing in the redzone.  Although it's certainly a different set of circumstances playing on the road in New England, I still haven't been impressed with the Ravens much at all this year.  This is a Buffalo team that's fully capable of keeping it within the number and rallying from behind to backdoor the big number.  I don't think Fitzpatrick will put up quite the numbers he did against New England, but I think their offense will do just enough to make some noise and lose by no more than ten on the road here.  I think we'll see a score somewhere around 24-14, 24-17 when it's all said and done in Baltimore. 

Tiger9123,  I like Miami to win s/u this weekend, and Dallas to finally get back on track with a convincing win by 10 or more pts against the Giants on the center stage. 


Best of luck to all of you, always remember, I'm not trying to persuade anyone to tail my picks or get you off of your original selection. Just simply trying to generalize some of the questions that were asked above. There's a flurry of reasons on why I make the picks I do, but I've never really been one to act like all of my picks are the grand finale as an argument can always be made on each side of the spectrum and I always appreciate the insight myself.  That's why I normally just post my picks, hope that I remain green every week and keep betting the card in hopes that if there is a toss up game for someone out there, it might help them move one way or another.  If there is any advice I can give, it's always go with your first instinct and never second guess yourself.  The key is to be in the green at the end of the day, and that's what I hope takes place in my forecast, as well as everyone here on covers unless they are fading my picks, jk. 

Best of luck,

FF
Europa PM Europa
Joined: Dec 2003
Posts: 35213
California
 
Europa
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/20/2010 2:02:44 AM
Points taken, thanks FF!
KicKA55 PM KicKA55
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 597
United States
 
KicKA55
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/20/2010 2:47:33 AM
vanillagq PM vanillagq
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 39
New York
 
vanillagq
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/20/2010 2:53:26 AM
Top 1 or 2 plays of the week?
ANTE_CHICAGO PM ANTE_CHICAGO
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 1368
Illinois
 
ANTE_CHICAGO
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/20/2010 2:58:53 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KicKA55:

   in every thread?? really?? 
THESHOOTER PM THESHOOTER
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 1891
Nevada
 
THESHOOTER
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/20/2010 3:19:05 AM
GBP PM GBP
Joined: May 2009
Posts: 8609
United Kingdom
 
GBP
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/20/2010 4:19:47 AM
nice

cheers
D-Town PM D-Town
Joined: Jul 2002
Posts: 120365
Michigan
 
D-Town
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/20/2010 7:52:52 AM
Good luck Floyd. 
Scorsese PM Scorsese
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 479
New York
 
Scorsese
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/20/2010 1:08:20 PM
Nice thread FF...like your style. Just curious if you still like Minnesota if in fact Favre announces he is quitting today. Not sure who will be starting but, if it's Jackson, I will have a hard time betting them. Thanks for your insight, and BOL the rest of this year
ForecastinFloyd PM ForecastinFloyd
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 1014
Indiana
 
ForecastinFloyd
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/20/2010 1:26:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Scorsese:

Nice thread FF...like your style. Just curious if you still like Minnesota if in fact Favre announces he is quitting today. Not sure who will be starting but, if it's Jackson, I will have a hard time betting them. Thanks for your insight, and BOL the rest of this year


If Brett Favre is quitting, someone better tell him to settle down on the conference calls today with the Green Bay media.  He will be playing this weekend, and I think they will win s/u. Even if Brett called Green Bay "the toughest test of the year so far" this morning. 

Best of luck
ForecastinFloyd PM ForecastinFloyd
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 1014
Indiana
 
ForecastinFloyd
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/20/2010 1:52:50 PM
Interesting enough, Brett wasn't the only one talking to the media this morning.  His wife was on Good Morning America where she was quoted as saying- Deanna Favre:"Those pictures Brett sent were meant for me - but you know Brett - they were intercepted!"

Hopefully those types of interceptions don't take place Sunday Night.

FF
BayBridgeTunnel PM BayBridgeTunnel
Joined: Sep 2008
Posts: 1387
Maryland
 
BayBridgeTunnel
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/20/2010 1:59:38 PM
I'm leaning Buff, Clev, Dall, Mia and New Eng myself. Good info.
tiger9123 PM tiger9123
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 19
 
tiger9123
Participation Meter
Posted: 10/20/2010 3:02:38 PM
 FF stay away from Oakland this week. They have just been a let down in the west coast games. I see a blow out in Denver.

 KC and TENN all the way this weekend!
Forum: NFL Betting Page 1 of 3  1 2 3  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.