Posted: 9/30/2010 1:44:46 AM
Well Wk3 was a complete BLESSING!
Let me start by saying this, Week 4 looks MUCH MUCH tougher! Let me also say this, I said in my Wk3 post that I wasnt "thrilled" with the card but that seemed to workout alright, I guess I'm just a worrier
This season, so far has been GREAT, as im currently hitting slightly over 80% of my Picks with a 21-5 Record...
Coming off of a Perfect 7-0 Week, I guess we can only hope for one thing... Lets hope the Good Times Roll....
Week 4 Winners:
Washington +6 @ Philly: Washington is coming off a Loss and now goes into a hostile environment at Philly. Vicks playing great and the Eagles rolled last week. McNabb is a Big Game QB and will be able to exploit the Eagles Defense. Vick, on the otherhand will look "human" against the Redskins Defense. This is one of the most, if not the most, competetive divisions in football where every team is familiar with their foes, McNabb just so happens to be VERY familiar with this particular foe... Id consider the Skins ML but could see them letting this one slip late... I expect Vick to regress and McNabb to look great... Definitely Skins with the points!!
Jacksonville +7.5 vs Indianapolis: I really like this Jacksonville pick. They ussually play Indy VERY well and are at home, getting slightly more than a TD!! Jacksonville can Run the ball well, and I expect them to have a HUGE day running the ball against the Colts poor Run Defense. The Colts are definitely the "better" team but have already proven that they struggle on the road, against teams inside their Division. This could be a back-door cover, i might even suggest NOT watching this one and just checking the scores at the end bc it might seem painful to watch... or Jax could come out and score early and keep it close throughout... either way, its too much to give a division opponent in their home.
St Louis +1.5 vs Seattle: Seattle at home is a completely different team than they are on the road... With that said, this is a matchup between 2 NFC West opponents, thatre both in rebuilding mode... I do like having the veteran QB in Hass, but I'll take a Far Superior Running Game AND Home-Field advantage any day! Its not like Hasselbeck is "great" rather hes just "good"... "Good" wont be enough to Win on the Road... For those that Bet Totals... Loving the OV 40 Here! Id be shocked if this stayed below that...
Houston -2.5 @ Oakland: this game troubles me A LOT... I like Oakland to be MUCH improved but I also expected Houston to be a playoff contender. Andre Johnson being a "game-time decision" REALLY troubles me, but luckily, Schaub has 2 other Weapons in Jacoby Jones and Kevin Walter, as well as Owen Daniels at TE to use IF Andre is out... The Texans just have WAAAAY too many weapons for Oakland to keep pace... Oakland should be able to establish their Running Game and they could keep pace for the 1st half but the QB play is VASTLY better for the Texans! I expect the Texans to roll here... If Oakland runs the ball VERY well and if Andre DOESNT play and if Oakland puts A LOT of pressure on Schaub, i could see this being close... but thats WAAAY too many "ifs"
NYG -3.5 vs Chicago: I know, I know, the Giants have looked awful and the Bears are 3-0... The Bears are a good team, but they arent going to leave NY 4-0, no way!!! The Giants will force 3+ turnovers out of Cutler and possibly end up +4 in the Turnover battle... Theyre a VERY disciplined team (despite lastwks mess) and the Bears will bury themselves with turnovers and penalties... The Giants pass-rush will look great and the Bears O-Line will be exploited... Manningham being out isnt as big a deal as people are making it, as Eli spreads the ball around. Boss being back is HUGE for Eli, he has enough weapons to get it done here... the Bears special teams does scare me but I think the Giants win by 10+ here, GREAT Spot for the G-men, Primetime at Home, coming off a loss, against an over-rated team with a very mediocre O-line... pound the Giants!!
Thats it for now but I have a couple games that im working on and I will probably add them before Sunday... (for those that must know, Im thinking about playing Cle+3, Buff+5, Mia+1, SF+7... I highly doubt id play all of them, but Im doing my HW before adding any of them)
All plays are 1 Unit...
Those with me
Those against me
Lets continue to beat-up the Bookie Ladies n Gents!!!!