21-5 Season (7-0 last week) Week 4 Winners Inside...

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Author: [NFL Betting] Topic: 21-5 Season (7-0 last week) Week 4 Winners Inside...
bets2win PM bets2win
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Posted: 9/30/2010 1:44:46 AM

Well Wk3 was a complete BLESSING!

Let me start by saying this, Week 4 looks MUCH MUCH tougher! Let me also say this, I said in my Wk3 post that I wasnt "thrilled" with the card but that seemed to workout alright, I guess I'm just a worrier 

This season, so far has been GREAT, as im currently hitting slightly over 80% of my Picks with a 21-5 Record...

Coming off of a Perfect 7-0 Week, I guess we can only hope for one thing... Lets hope the Good Times Roll....

 

Week 4 Winners:

 

Washington +6 @ Philly: Washington is coming off a Loss and now goes into a hostile environment at Philly. Vicks playing great and the Eagles rolled last week. McNabb is a Big Game QB and will be able to exploit the Eagles Defense. Vick, on the otherhand will look "human" against the Redskins Defense. This is one of the most, if not the most, competetive divisions in football where every team is familiar with their foes, McNabb just so happens to be VERY familiar with this particular foe... Id consider the Skins ML but could see them letting this one slip late... I expect Vick to regress and McNabb to look great... Definitely Skins with the points!!

 

Jacksonville +7.5 vs Indianapolis: I really like this Jacksonville pick. They ussually play Indy VERY well and are at home, getting slightly more than a TD!! Jacksonville can Run the ball well, and I expect them to have a HUGE day running the ball against the Colts poor Run Defense. The Colts are definitely the "better" team but have already proven that they struggle on the road, against teams inside their Division. This could be a back-door cover, i might even suggest NOT watching this one and just checking the scores at the end bc it might seem painful to watch... or Jax could come out and score early and keep it close throughout... either way, its too much to give a division opponent in their home.

 

St Louis +1.5 vs Seattle: Seattle at home is a completely different team than they are on the road... With that said, this is a matchup between 2 NFC West opponents, thatre both in rebuilding mode... I do like having the veteran QB in Hass, but I'll take a Far Superior Running Game AND Home-Field advantage any day! Its not like Hasselbeck is "great" rather hes just "good"... "Good" wont be enough to Win on the Road... For those that Bet Totals... Loving the OV 40 Here! Id be shocked if this stayed below that...

 

Houston -2.5 @ Oakland: this game troubles me A LOT... I like Oakland to be MUCH improved but I also expected Houston to be a playoff contender. Andre Johnson being a "game-time decision" REALLY troubles me, but luckily, Schaub has 2 other Weapons in Jacoby Jones and Kevin Walter, as well as Owen Daniels at TE to use IF Andre is out... The Texans just have WAAAAY too many weapons for Oakland to keep pace... Oakland should be able to establish their Running Game and they could keep pace for the 1st half but the QB play is VASTLY better for the Texans! I expect the Texans to roll here... If Oakland runs the ball VERY well and if Andre DOESNT play and if Oakland puts A LOT of pressure on Schaub, i could see this being close... but thats WAAAY too many "ifs"

 

NYG -3.5 vs Chicago: I know, I know, the Giants have looked awful and the Bears are 3-0... The Bears are a good team, but they arent going to leave NY 4-0, no way!!! The Giants will force 3+ turnovers out of Cutler and possibly end up +4 in the Turnover battle... Theyre a VERY disciplined team (despite lastwks mess) and the Bears will bury themselves with turnovers and penalties... The Giants pass-rush will look great and the Bears O-Line will be exploited... Manningham being out isnt as big a deal as people are making it, as Eli spreads the ball around. Boss being back is HUGE for Eli, he has enough weapons to get it done here... the Bears special teams does scare me but I think the Giants win by 10+ here, GREAT Spot for the G-men, Primetime at Home, coming off a loss, against an over-rated team with a very mediocre O-line... pound the Giants!!

 

Thats it for now but I have a couple games that im working on and I will probably add them before Sunday...  (for those that must know, Im thinking about playing Cle+3, Buff+5, Mia+1, SF+7... I highly doubt id play all of them, but Im doing my HW before adding any of them)

All plays are 1 Unit...

Those with me 

Those against me 

Lets continue to beat-up the Bookie Ladies n Gents!!!!

bets2win PM bets2win
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Posted: 9/30/2010 1:49:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bets2win:

 Cle+3, Buff+5, Mia+1, SF+7...

Please DISREGARD these picks... as im on the fence on a couple of them... meaning I might comeback tomorrow having bet Cincy, NYJ, NE, and Atl, haha... But seriously, these 4 have me VERY Torn so DO NOT consider them my "picks", im just taking a much longer look at them before i play any of them... Some serious "public" plays making me leary

Europa PM Europa
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Posted: 9/30/2010 2:04:11 AM
Nice record you got, hope winning keep coming for you. On Giants as well, looking at others... GL!
biggiantkiller PM biggiantkiller
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Posted: 9/30/2010 2:11:38 AM
like it
Thaistix PM Thaistix
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Posted: 9/30/2010 2:14:00 AM

Great Job Buddy!! Keep it up.

 

The_Ace PM The_Ace
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Posted: 9/30/2010 2:36:22 AM
GL, enjoyed reading
aznnotorious PM aznnotorious
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Posted: 9/30/2010 3:59:05 AM
SO.....  WAS , JACK, RAMS, Texan, Giants..... ARE UR LOCK PLAY?
xorifa PM xorifa
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Posted: 9/30/2010 4:33:15 AM
alltalc PM alltalc
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Posted: 9/30/2010 5:07:01 AM
like the wash picl. bol.
indi_kid19 PM indi_kid19
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Posted: 9/30/2010 6:43:15 AM

yes indis run d is satisfactory but whos to say when garrard isnt a missile thrower hes like 26th in the league in passing yards they play them close but not close enough, orton nearly had 500 yards and couldnt cover. itl be close or a blowout im leaning blowout when doesn indi ever keep it close in the low weeks of the season. take oakland and chi as well houstons secondary blows and they dont seem to attack the run to well, im liking chicago for the fact that nyg aint no greenbay ansd we all know they suck ion the road and at home , let me know

Ducati PM Ducati
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Posted: 9/30/2010 8:09:38 AM
I like Macnabb but he's no big time QB. WSH got no pass rush Vick will eat them alive...I like the Eagles at home with a hot QB. Too many play makers on Philly.
Like your other play though. I am leaning Texans to get back on track. BOL

hit_a_parlay PM hit_a_parlay
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Posted: 9/30/2010 11:24:53 AM
ats_mike PM ats_mike
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Posted: 9/30/2010 11:32:11 AM

Love the ...New York Jets -6.5  St. Louis Rams +1.5, Houston Texans - 3.5 lays but i think the Indy Colts -8.5 are good to cover guess well see...gl this week

bets2win PM bets2win
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Posted: 9/30/2010 12:04:04 PM

Europa

biggiantkiller

thaistix

theace

aznotorious... I dont use the L-word, ever! this is the NFL, theres no such thing as a L_ _ _! the only L-words I use are Like and Love... and yes, I "Like" those games... hope that helps!

xorifa

alltalc... lets pound it then!

hit_a_parlay

To those with opposing opinions... I like reading your opinions and I definitely take them into account. I dont think that your opinions are wrong, I just personally feel different. There are 500 Different ways to cap each game, this is just my opinion, take it or leave it, im not offended either way! Best of Luck to You All !!!!

D-Town PM D-Town
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Posted: 9/30/2010 12:24:15 PM
DicSchmell PM DicSchmell
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Posted: 9/30/2010 12:24:35 PM

Hey Bet,

You stated that St.L has superior run game but what if SJax does not play? You still going to pick that game?

wilk704 PM wilk704
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Posted: 9/30/2010 12:31:06 PM

The number of 'guaranteed' betting systems, the proliferation of myths and fallacies concerning such systems, and the countless people believing, propagating, venerating, protecting, and swearing by such systems are legion. Betting systems constitute one of the oldest delusions of gambling history.

I hope you do well this week but at the same time I still think that you will be wrong with Philly and Chicago. Not to mention the Rams will "tread very lightly" as Spags put it with Jackson..... I think you will find a bump in the road this week!!!!

But BOL.....

Cyrax PM Cyrax
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Posted: 9/30/2010 12:54:55 PM
I do like Houston  
IgetMoney101 PM IgetMoney101
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Posted: 9/30/2010 1:00:57 PM
Well you read my mind on these games 
Fazool PM Fazool
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Posted: 9/30/2010 1:05:07 PM

The offense is too much of a mess in JAX for me to take them.

I like the STL and WAS picks.

bets2win PM bets2win
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Posted: 9/30/2010 1:07:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DicSchmell:

Hey Bet,

You stated that St.L has superior run game but what if SJax does not play? You still going to pick that game?

SJax playing is definitely Vital to that pick... My bets wont be "Locked In" until Saturday but I highly doubt that id go against my picks... "if" anything, i'll lay off it

Wilk704: I too, try and stay away from "betting systems" , I try and just bet my gut or my numbers but sometimes, there are "good spots" for teams... like lastwk with the Boy at Houston... that was a "perfect spot" for them... anyways, I Hope I dont "find a bump in the road" but I understand that betting the NFL has its ups and downs... Lets just hope this week is an UP

bets2win PM bets2win
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Posted: 9/30/2010 1:08:40 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

Well you read my mind on these games 

 Lets get that $$$ !!!

K4ngur13 PM K4ngur13
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Posted: 9/30/2010 1:13:09 PM
wilk704 PM wilk704
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Posted: 9/30/2010 1:22:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bets2win:

SJax playing is definitely Vital to that pick... My bets wont be "Locked In" until Saturday but I highly doubt that id go against my picks... "if" anything, i'll lay off it

Wilk704: I too, try and stay away from "betting systems" , I try and just bet my gut or my numbers but sometimes, there are "good spots" for teams... like lastwk with the Boy at Houston... that was a "perfect spot" for them... anyways, I Hope I dont "find a bump in the road" but I understand that betting the NFL has its ups and downs... Lets just hope this week is an UP

 

You know I am all for you buddy.... last week i changed a bet because of your posts.... so please do not get me wrong, I enjoy reading your posts..... I just hate how people just say well this team cannot do that when they are not in the locker room nor playin the game

 

BOL BUD

bets2win PM bets2win
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Posted: 9/30/2010 1:37:46 PM

Wilk704

About the Washington +6 pick... Let me also add that I expect Washingtons Running Game to look much better against Philly, I also expect Ryan Torain to have a potential breakout game! hes the 1-cut runner that Shanahan likes to use and he was VERY high on him in Denver, but an injury derailed that relationship. I think Torain cracks the gameplan often this week with a good amount of success... Allowing McNabb to also find Santana Moss often, as well as utilizing the dual TE attack that he has in Davis and Cooley... I think Washington has a well-rounded offensive attack and keeps this close, if not Wins outright

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