Week 3: 4 team 13 point teaser teaser thread (2-0 +3 units)

um where do you see NE-17 anywhere?  last time i checked adding 13 to 13 is 26

this play is NE-1 or even or move on imho

there are four i see that would be nice

pit +12 @ tb

ne pk vs buf

and the other two are

nyj +14 @ mia (wait for the extra .5pts though if u can)

and bal +2.5 vs cle (maybe wait to see if it'll go down to 9.5 but i don't think it'll go that low)

actually check this out

bal last 4 against cle

@Bal     bal 34-3                 bal by 31

@Cle     bal 16-0                 bal by 16

@Bal     bal 28-10                bal by 18

@Cle     bal 37-27                bal by 10

this game is in baltimore and i can see them beating up on cleveland again.

might be a great team to tease   

i think pit and baltimore are two of the strongest plays don't really know how you could go against ne as a pick at home vs buffalo either, that'd be my three teams with the 13pt teaser

PIT is 2-0 both SU and ATS vs the likes of ATL as a home dog and @ TEN as a road dog. now they are a road fav -1 @ TB

TB is 2-0 both SU and ATS vs the likes of CLE as a home fav and @ CAR as a road dog.  now they are a home dog +1 vs PIT

bucs def has looked pretty solid this year but against jake delhomme and matt moore.  pit def has looked even more solid against the likes of matt ryan and vince young (by no means two pro bowlers but both better than delhomme and moore) freeman has looked good but now has to face imo a top 5 defense with polamalu back. not that dennis dixon if healthy or charlie batch are much better but i'd rather back the better defense in this game then try to decipher which QB is better.  take the +12 with those other two and sit back and watch, nothing is guaranteed but i'd feel good about those three

i like most of that but taylor is questionable this weekend and edwards will likely be suspended, hopefully he can appeal to play this weekend though we will see.  i did a write up thread on this game but still can't tell if i initially liked the jets based on my heart or my gut. (not that my gut is much better)

true and n.o. still hasn't impressed me that much but who knows when they will turn it on.  their special teams hit a bump losing bush so maybe they can't get it up over 18. liking the other three more but can't help but think atl can cover 17.5 against n.o. either

getting +12 has me all over it.  might even like it more than the baltimore game but both those strong and with ne as a pick won't find too many 3 teamers like that one. 

that under is very interesting but alas a couple of silly picks and giving the steelers great field position could result in 34 or more points, especially with maybe a late meaningless td like we saw last sunday night.  under probably the right play though

Quote Originally Posted by dl36:



PIT +12 seems like a good pick on paper because TB struggles on offense and similar to TEN (who needed to make a QB change to make it happen), TB does not have enough passing ability to play from behind...

PIT has shown such great ability on DEF, but their QB situation is somewhat of an unknown against a TB defense that has not done that bad... 

This fits the model/formula of getting more value in what is probably the lowest o/u on the board...  So theoretically this is the correct play +13 points ATS...  perhaps so theoretically correct that both sides should hit in theory...

another nice theoretically correct play is the NYJ +14 and agree with you that +14.5 would help out big time...  this is supposed be a lower scoring game in theory with both defenses looking good so far this season and with both offenses being a power running based concept...

Although it would seem that MIA vs NYJ is the formula to a lower scoring game, The interesting thing is that when these two played each other last season, the result was totals for 55! and 58!

This decreases the value of the +13 points ATS big time... But what looks good is that MIA won the game by 5 and 4 points which speaks to the game being a close divisional game...  This is probably a no play for me as I like the NYJ number better, but I think that MIA is at home playing a NYJ team that just beat NE is a better situation and line (had MIA lost ATS then this line would be +1.5 or better and I would be one it)...

thanks for your contributions, you are definitely in the spirit of the thread to have discussions about what we are thinking and why we are thinking about certain plays...

tell me what your final teaser is...

as of tuesday afternoon  my final teaser is

NE pk vs BUF

PIT +12 @ TB

BAL +2.5 vs CLE

too early in the week to put a play in for me but if i was i'd be looking to that one above

but what does a 3 teamer 13pt teaser pay?

is there one?  don't you need 3 teams 10pt or 4teams 13pt?

need to do a little better than that please.  jahvid best looked sick against philly and minnesota has looked weak back to back weeks, albeit vs two 2-0 teams.  safer 13pt teasers out there imho