Monday Night: Comeback To A Tough Weekend...Thoughts?

Had a pretty rough weekend, as I know alot of others had as well. The one thing I hate the most is trying to chase my money, so instead I'm gonna make a small gamble and hope I can catch some good luck to offset the bad luck =)  Haven't made the play yet, but here's what I'm thinking:

Parlay Ravens Moneyline +165 with Under 43

Not sure of the amount yet, but thinking risking $200 to win $810. If I hit it will take a nice dent out of my losses, and if I lose it won't break the bank like it would if I tried chasing and bet a G on someone or whatever. It's a gamble sure, but I was leaning Ravens anyway...just not totally convinced on the over under. I'm thinking if the Packers win it will prolly be an over, and if the Ravens win then most likely an under...that's my feeling. The temp has plunged over the past couple days and they're calling for some frigid temps tonight and a chance of some flurries/snow showers. Ed Reed is expected to play (last I heard) and we all know that Baltimore has a great D, and they love to step it up even more in primetime. Packers Offense has been off and on, and when it's been on it's been against lesser competition. Pack Defense has been stepping it up lately, and the Ravens aren't a team to light up the board. With that all said, that's why I'm leaning Under.

I'm really beating my head against the wall here trying to figure this one out and would love some feedback....Smart Play? Dumb Play? Why? 

Any thoughts are appreciated! BOL all!

Wow definately seen those days and they suck lol I was down 2370 really bad day on friday night and now back to 800 with just today left... i pay or get payed at every 500.... greenbay seems to be right but that half point sucks and i hear ya if you bet balt take the 3 and half points on games like that always worth the spread then the torment of not doing it and thinking bout it lol.... i got one more chance and im taking the over 42.5 dont think this gets much lower talked to a guy up their and its cold but snowed an inch and just flurries tonight till tommorrow.... weather will not factor in unless the cold is a factor which both teams are used to... im stabbing 400 on the over and not gonna touch the sides as can make a case for either side... just counting on gb to come out with their offensive game as they wont match up well on a deffensive game against baltimore ( if i was a coach thats what i would do lol) lets go offense and take the stress off the holidays lol good luck to all