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[Pro Football] Topic: WEEK 8's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop! |
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demapples |
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#1 Posted: 10/30/2009 1:43:29 PM  ""Good afternoon everyone and welcome to Week 8's edition of the SUCKER
BET, as always brought to you by the kind folks at Tootsie Pop! For
those of you who are unfamiliar
with the SUCKER BET, each week I identify the games where the public
seems to be heavily favoring one side. Typically there are 3 or 4
choices each week. From those games, I choose one unpopular pick as
the SUCKER BET. Last week was tough loss for the SUCKER BET as I was almost guilty of counting my chickens before they hatched. The Dolphins looked like yet another outright win for the SUCKER BET, but ended up on the wrong side bringing our season tally to 3-4 ATS. This week I like the Eagles +1 hosting the New York Giants. The Eagles are playing well at home, which they will need to do because the Giants have won the last 4 ATS in Philly. These teams are not unlike eachother as they their offenses and defenses score and give up a relatively similar amount of points. They have balanced offenses and are well coached. The big difference I see is Turnover Differential as the Eagles are the leaders in the NFL at +11, thanks in large part to their 12 INTs this season. In their last 13 games coming off a division game, the Eagles are 11-2 ATS. Eli is a streaking QB and the Eagles are lucky that he isn't flying high right now. Over the past 2 weeks he has 2 TD passes and 4 INT. Asante Samuel is hoping he can grab a pick this week as the Eagles are 22-2 SU in games when he has an interception. I'm not sure about the status of Brian Westbrook, but I'm going to assume he will not be in the lineup this week, which means LeSean (Shady) McCoy will be the main ball carrier for the Eagles. The underdog is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 meetings. The line opened with the Eagles being favored by two points. Quick money came in on the Giants and Vegas quickly obliged moving the line the other way. Take this for what it's worth from Whatifsports.com, "The tight race in the NFC East becomes just a smidgen clearer as
front-runners New York and Philadelphia square off in the City of
Brotherly Love. The home-standing Eagles, who struggled the past two
weeks with Washington and Oakland, score a major victory 58.5% of the
time and by a score of 24-19." The Philly crowd will be excited as they have a long sports day to support their teams with the Phillies hosting the Yankees across the street 4 hours after the Eagles game ends. The Eagles spanked the Giants last year in the playoffs and New York has revenge in thier eyes as they try to snap their 2-game losing streak with the winner taking the lead in the division. Sounds like a lot of pressure to me. Give me the home team getting a point. Good luck to everyone this week and see you next week for WEEK 9's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!" |
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The-dank-one |
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#2 Posted: 10/30/2009 2:06:53 PM New York-Philadelphia games almost always come down to 1 possession. Despite not getting a single sack on Philadelphia last year in 3 games, New York still kept every game close including a road win.
No Dawkins means a sigh of relief for Manning and the Philadelphia offensive line situation has the New York defensive line salivating.
Remember the last time Eagles lined up Winston Justice against the Giants? "On the night, New York's defense sacked QB Donovan McNabb 12 times (tying an NFL record), with half of those sacks coming from DE Osi Umenyiora. Also, DE Michael Strahan had one sack in the game to surpass Lawrence Taylor as the Giants' All-Time Sack Leader (Taylor was present at the game)." |
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Splooge |
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#3 Posted: 10/30/2009 5:31:09 PM |
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Gold_Rush |
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#4 Posted: 10/30/2009 6:03:23 PM
Giants are good Eagles are good
its a toss up either way
It is not like the world loves the Eagles here |
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Gold_Rush |
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#5 Posted: 10/30/2009 6:05:51 PM
I meant to say its not like the world loves the Giants here |
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jesron1269 |
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#6 Posted: 10/30/2009 6:06:27 PM
I also predicted that MIN and GB would each make the playoffs but not sure which would win the division. Both looking good so far.
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Bruuuuce78 |
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#7 Posted: 10/30/2009 6:10:42 PM |
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SharpShooter8 |
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#8 Posted: 10/30/2009 8:10:24 PM  |
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Johnnypicks |
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#9 Posted: 10/30/2009 8:50:23 PM good write apples....kinda true... although...I think I'll lay off this one..inter division games this early are so unpredictable. IMHO - -jp-
kinda like the ny football giants to re-assert themselves tho. |
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icover4u |
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#10 Posted: 10/30/2009 10:53:08 PM |
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dytide |
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#11 Posted: 10/30/2009 11:30:43 PM I thought for sure Arizona would be the sucker bet. ..(Carolina would be the play)
Big win as dog on Sunday Night TV and now a big favorite against a Carolina team who just lost at home to the Bills.
(but I understand your reasoning in regards to the line movement.)
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GunShard |
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#12 Posted: 10/31/2009 1:40:43 AM |
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mrjiggyfly |
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#13 Posted: 10/31/2009 1:48:35 AM |
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UpTheAnte |
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#14 Posted: 10/31/2009 4:03:52 AM This is almost two close of a game to actually be called SUCKER BET - even though the public seems to be siding on NYG. They are both evenly matched and at the top of their division. I think two better games that qualify for this criteria would be HOU @ BUF or CAR @ ARI. I personally don't think CAR has a chance but BUF is definately a live dog in my opinion. CAR (who isn't getting any kind of love, for good reason) might be the real SUCKER BET this week. |
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UpTheAnte |
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#15 Posted: 10/31/2009 4:04:47 AM  |
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SonicBlue |
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#16 Posted: 10/31/2009 5:09:12 AM
Either way, thanks for posting because I always look forward to it.
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dl36 |
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#17 Posted: 10/31/2009 5:53:05 AM
I thought you be on BUF or CAR...
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redskinsnut |
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#18 Posted: 10/31/2009 9:03:24 AM  |
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mrjiggyfly |
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#19 Posted: 11/2/2009 11:54:16 AM |
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jesron1269 |
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#20 Posted: 11/2/2009 12:25:00 PM
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webba |
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#21 Posted: 11/2/2009 12:53:48 PM 
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saintsfan504 |
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#22 Posted: 11/2/2009 12:58:08 PM  |
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Pitt94 |
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#23 Posted: 11/2/2009 1:01:56 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by The-dank-one:
Remember the last time Eagles lined up Winston Justice against the Giants? "On the night, New York's defense sacked QB Donovan McNabb 12 times (tying an NFL record), with half of those sacks coming from DE Osi Umenyiora. Also, DE Michael Strahan had one sack in the game to surpass Lawrence Taylor as the Giants' All-Time Sack Leader (Taylor was present at the game)."
How did Justin Tuck fare vs. Winston Justice? |
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sho$money |
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#24 Posted: 11/2/2009 7:53:17 PM
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