After a team get blown out by 14 points or more on the spread, their chances of covering the following game is 61.8% based on historical trends since 2006.
It is that simple. If you bet $100 per game with 10% juice, you would made the following:
2006: $1,810 (39-19) 67.2%
2007: $1,000 (43-30) 58.9%
2008: $290 (15-11) 57.7% thru week 7.
If I have time, I will post the results of the historical games. Any system that can hit above 55% is good.
Sometime it is difficult to place a bet on team that got their butt kicked...but the results is money.
Hard to believe...but this actual show great promise. Track it for yourself and become a believer. Please note, you will not win every weeks. However, you will have more than twice the winning weeks than losing one. Good Luck to ALL.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
After a team get blown out by 14 points or more on the spread, their chances of covering the following game is 61.8% based on historical trends since 2006.
It is that simple. If you bet $100 per game with 10% juice, you would made the following:
2006: $1,810 (39-19) 67.2%
2007: $1,000 (43-30) 58.9%
2008: $290 (15-11) 57.7% thru week 7.
If I have time, I will post the results of the historical games. Any system that can hit above 55% is good.
Sometime it is difficult to place a bet on team that got their butt kicked...but the results is money.
Hard to believe...but this actual show great promise. Track it for yourself and become a believer. Please note, you will not win every weeks. However, you will have more than twice the winning weeks than losing one. Good Luck to ALL.
blaineg-- I will never play any teaser...It is just a bad bet with horrible odds. If you just take a look at the last two weeks alone, there were 13 games that are 14 points or more in either direction of the spread. Getting +6 points on a teaser is nothing. GL with your bet.
I will play all games separately with even amount and hope to hit 60%. Hoping to hit 4 out of six this week on the following teams...even without their key players in the games.
NO, DAL, CIN, KC, MIA, and IND
I definitely like IND vs TEN on MNF.
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blaineg-- I will never play any teaser...It is just a bad bet with horrible odds. If you just take a look at the last two weeks alone, there were 13 games that are 14 points or more in either direction of the spread. Getting +6 points on a teaser is nothing. GL with your bet.
I will play all games separately with even amount and hope to hit 60%. Hoping to hit 4 out of six this week on the following teams...even without their key players in the games.
DEN (which has a bye next week...look to play them in week 9)
Other than Miami, every team on the list has significant injuries.You picked a bad week to put this info out here, good luck to all who bet these games---- you'll need it. By the way, I'm locked in on TB +2 already, the Cowboys are in total meltdown mode right now !
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Quote Originally Posted by GoCalBears:
Here are Week 7 BIG LOSERS:
NO
DAL
IND
CIN
KC
MIA
DEN (which has a bye next week...look to play them in week 9)
Other than Miami, every team on the list has significant injuries.You picked a bad week to put this info out here, good luck to all who bet these games---- you'll need it. By the way, I'm locked in on TB +2 already, the Cowboys are in total meltdown mode right now !
hook- The injuries does look scary but it is the NFL not College. The depth of the players in the NFL is pretty good. One or two players on the injury list will move the line slightly but will not make a major difference. Any team can beat another team in a given week. Let see how my luck goes.
Weasie- thanks and good luck to you.
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hook- The injuries does look scary but it is the NFL not College. The depth of the players in the NFL is pretty good. One or two players on the injury list will move the line slightly but will not make a major difference. Any team can beat another team in a given week. Let see how my luck goes.
Went 4-1 on Sunday. This makes YTD for big losers to cover the next week is 19-12 (61.3%).
One more game this week still pending (MNF). IND went into GB as a 1 point favorite and got their butt kicked last week and failed to cover by 21 points. It will be a daunting task to go into Tennessee on MNF an play a team with a perfect record of 6-0 SU and ATS. Yet, Tenn is giving only 4 points with both Sanders and Addai out for IND?
I will play Week 7 Big Loser and hope it become Week 8 Big Winner. GO COLTS!!!
PS. By the way...I heard on the radio this morning and Trent Difler picked the Colts to win SU. I'll take the 4 points tio play it safe.
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Week 7 Big Losers = Week 8 Big Winners
NO
DAL
CIN
KC
MIA
Went 4-1 on Sunday. This makes YTD for big losers to cover the next week is 19-12 (61.3%).
One more game this week still pending (MNF). IND went into GB as a 1 point favorite and got their butt kicked last week and failed to cover by 21 points. It will be a daunting task to go into Tennessee on MNF an play a team with a perfect record of 6-0 SU and ATS. Yet, Tenn is giving only 4 points with both Sanders and Addai out for IND?
I will play Week 7 Big Loser and hope it become Week 8 Big Winner. GO COLTS!!!
PS. By the way...I heard on the radio this morning and Trent Difler picked the Colts to win SU. I'll take the 4 points tio play it safe.
Hear is another great facts to help support the Colts. Since 2006 season, the Colts has lost the spread by 14 points or greater only 4 times. Twice in 2006 and twice this season. Of the previous times they have bounced back and covered ALL of the next games.
2006 Week 5
TEN @ IND (-17) lost ATS 14-13
the following game after a bye week...
WAS @ IND (-8) won ATS 36-22
2006 Week 14
IND (-1) @ JAX lost SU and ATS 17-44
the following game...on MNF
CIN @ IND (-3.5) won ATS 34-16
IND was not a big loser in 2007.
2008 Week 1
CHI @ IND (-10) lost SU and ATS 13-29
the following game...
IND (-1) @ MIN won ATS 18-15
2008 Week 7
IND (-1) @ GB lost SU and ATS 14-34
Tonight's game on MNF....
IND (+4) @ TEN
Most folks will be riding on the fact that TEN is 6-0 ATS and pick TEN, I'll go with my trend that IND will covers after a big lost and the big losers will be big winners 61.5% on the following game. As for IND, the have covered 100% the time in the last 3 seasons.
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Hear is another great facts to help support the Colts. Since 2006 season, the Colts has lost the spread by 14 points or greater only 4 times. Twice in 2006 and twice this season. Of the previous times they have bounced back and covered ALL of the next games.
2006 Week 5
TEN @ IND (-17) lost ATS 14-13
the following game after a bye week...
WAS @ IND (-8) won ATS 36-22
2006 Week 14
IND (-1) @ JAX lost SU and ATS 17-44
the following game...on MNF
CIN @ IND (-3.5) won ATS 34-16
IND was not a big loser in 2007.
2008 Week 1
CHI @ IND (-10) lost SU and ATS 13-29
the following game...
IND (-1) @ MIN won ATS 18-15
2008 Week 7
IND (-1) @ GB lost SU and ATS 14-34
Tonight's game on MNF....
IND (+4) @ TEN
Most folks will be riding on the fact that TEN is 6-0 ATS and pick TEN, I'll go with my trend that IND will covers after a big lost and the big losers will be big winners 61.5% on the following game. As for IND, the have covered 100% the time in the last 3 seasons.
Hear is another great facts to help support the Colts. Since 2006 season, the Colts has lost the spread by 14 points or greater only 4 times. Twice in 2006 and twice this season. Of the previous times they have bounced back and covered ALL of the next games.
2006 Week 5
TEN @ IND (-17) lost ATS 14-13
the following game after a bye week...
WAS @ IND (-8) won ATS 36-22
2006 Week 14
IND (-1) @ JAX lost SU and ATS 17-44
the following game...on MNF
CIN @ IND (-3.5) won ATS 34-16
IND was not a big loser in 2007.
2008 Week 1
CHI @ IND (-10) lost SU and ATS 13-29
the following game...
IND (-1) @ MIN won ATS 18-15
2008 Week 7
IND (-1) @ GB lost SU and ATS 14-34
Tonight's game on MNF....
IND (+4) @ TEN
Most folks will be riding on the fact that TEN is 6-0 ATS and pick TEN, I'll go with my trend that IND will covers after a big lost and the big losers will be big winners 61.5% on the following game. As for IND, the have covered 100% the time in the last 3 seasons.
Enough-Enough!!!....You are 100% convincing. Good Luck! COLTS
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Quote Originally Posted by GoCalBears:
Hear is another great facts to help support the Colts. Since 2006 season, the Colts has lost the spread by 14 points or greater only 4 times. Twice in 2006 and twice this season. Of the previous times they have bounced back and covered ALL of the next games.
2006 Week 5
TEN @ IND (-17) lost ATS 14-13
the following game after a bye week...
WAS @ IND (-8) won ATS 36-22
2006 Week 14
IND (-1) @ JAX lost SU and ATS 17-44
the following game...on MNF
CIN @ IND (-3.5) won ATS 34-16
IND was not a big loser in 2007.
2008 Week 1
CHI @ IND (-10) lost SU and ATS 13-29
the following game...
IND (-1) @ MIN won ATS 18-15
2008 Week 7
IND (-1) @ GB lost SU and ATS 14-34
Tonight's game on MNF....
IND (+4) @ TEN
Most folks will be riding on the fact that TEN is 6-0 ATS and pick TEN, I'll go with my trend that IND will covers after a big lost and the big losers will be big winners 61.5% on the following game. As for IND, the have covered 100% the time in the last 3 seasons.
Enough-Enough!!!....You are 100% convincing. Good Luck! COLTS
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