Posted: 1/19/2008 11:05:37 PM
I agree with most of you on this game....Packers and Over...but it does scare the living crap outta me that this seems to be the consensus pick and the lines haven't moved.
wonbadappl...you have made a living out of a couple lucky games for the G-men. Against Tampa, they won because Garcia didn't play out of the shotgun and they were unable to get the ground game going. Tampa isn't a team that can come back, and obviously resting their players killed them. Then they go into Dallas, a team they know very well and get a good road win. But this was not the usual Dallas team. Tony Romo looked like he was still in Mexico and once again, they refused to go to the shotgun. This is what the Patriots did in the last game of the year and absolutely tore that defense up. For some reason, nobody in the playoffs seems to have found the tape from that game because that is how you beat the Giants. Spread em out and take advantage of the weak secondary. This week they go up against a team that has solid receivers in Driver and Jennings, and a quarterback that will find the open guy no matter what. I look for the Packers to be in the shotgun for a lot of this game.
On the other side of the ball, the Giants are going to have a harder time. The Packers defense I think has been THE most underrated defense in the NFL. They have a very strong secondary, fast and aggressive linebackers, and a very good defensive line. Without Shockey in there, I think the Packers secondary will be able to shut down Plax and Toomer...especially considering Charles Woodson is one of the bigger CB's in the game, which will limit that advantage for Burress. Brandon Jacobs might just be one of the more overrated backs in the league...he's big and thats about it. Ryan Grant had more yards and more touchdowns than Jacobs in two less games.
Biggest factor in this game is going to be the weather as MANY of you have pointed out. This is going to be the 2nd or 3rd coldest game in Lambeau Field history. Packers played in the snow last week...Giants played indoors last week, and in beautiful Tampa the week before. Huge advantage for the Packers here. Last time the Giants saw bad conditions was over a month ago in Buffalo.
Brett Favre vs Eli Manning
Ryan Grant vs. Brandon Jacobs
Driver/Jennings vs. Burress/Toomer
Slight Adv. Packers
GB Def. Vs. NYG Defense
Slight adv. Packers
GB special teams vs. Giants special team
Mike McCarthy vs. Tom Coughlin
HUGE adv. Packers
GREEN BAY -4.5 1ST HALF AND OVER 40 GAME
GB +3...GIANTS +17.5...OVER 30 TEASER
GREEN BAY 27 NY GIANTS 17