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[MLB Betting] Topic: SEMPER/McSHADY UNDERDOGS OF MAY |
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bikemcr |
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#651 Posted: 5/15/2012 8:38:40 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by PTOTOUR:
Originally Posted by bikemcr] Hey PTOTOUR did you chase the Cards ?
yes, lost last night but hit today. i am on texas tonight too.  Nice ! GL tonight with the Rangers .  |
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72DAVE |
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#652 Posted: 5/16/2012 12:29:06 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:
Chase The Dog
LOVE THE SPREADSHEET DETAIL SHADY! KEEP UP THE GREAT WORK!  HOW LONG U BEEN DOING THIS? CAN'T WAIT TIL MONDAY. BOL |
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3DTV |
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#653 Posted: 5/16/2012 12:38:13 AM
I jumped in two weeks back I believe and got railed by Az, which instantly put me in the red.
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BigWaveDave |
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#654 Posted: 5/16/2012 1:45:30 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Angle4U999:
Sorry to be off-topic, but isn't it a little fishy that the Dodgers are only -109 vs Arizona with the Dodgers 16-3 at home? Could the dog bark tonite?
Nice call - played along. Thanks!!
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bikemcr |
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#655 Posted: 5/16/2012 3:48:39 AM |
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McShady |
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#656 Posted: 5/16/2012 9:12:30 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by 3DTV:
McShady I realize your spreadsheet shows you crushing. The fact is somehow you avoided Az and the switch semp made to Col. Can you give an explanation of the long term profitability of the system?
I jumped in two weeks back I believe and got railed by Az, which instantly put me in the red.
I cannot offer guarantees...cause we are NOT selling anything. But I can only assume that you bet more than you were willing to lose on AZ and want to know if we will post winners to make up or it? Would I keep betting Chase The Dog if it lost me $...no. Sorry we cost you money, GL in your endeavors. |
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McShady |
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#657 Posted: 5/16/2012 9:14:37 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by 72DAVE:
LOVE THE SPREADSHEET DETAIL SHADY! KEEP UP THE GREAT WORK! HOW LONG U BEEN DOING THIS? CAN'T WAIT TIL MONDAY. BOL
Th bro. Just trying to help, gla your finding success with it! This is my 4th year Chasing...I don't feel confident betting any other way. |
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semperfi19 |
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#658 Posted: 5/16/2012 9:31:31 AM McShady...Thanks for holding down the fort had to go AWOL for a few days. Great job on the system tutorial. I will be back up and running next week and I will try and put my google Docs link up so everyone can see my spreadsheet as well.
See everyone on Monday...Have a great weekend and good luck on all you plays this weekend. |
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#659 Posted: 5/16/2012 10:14:38 AM |
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3DTV |
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#660 Posted: 5/16/2012 12:22:43 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:
I cannot offer guarantees...cause we are NOT selling anything. But I can only assume that you bet more than you were willing to lose on AZ and want to know if we will post winners to make up or it? Would I keep betting Chase The Dog if it lost me $...no. Sorry we cost you money, GL in your endeavors.
I was not trying to be rude. The fact that I am in the red isnt the issue. I am just curious about the profitability of this system. You guys seem to glance over that. If I offended you I apologize. I appreciate you guys sharing your picks but was just looking for a bit more info on the maths of the profitability.
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YoungCAP |
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#661 Posted: 5/16/2012 12:32:44 PM
anyway like ur idea and hope works well!!!
beat the book!!!
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#662 Posted: 5/16/2012 12:33:31 PM 
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Moth61 |
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#663 Posted: 5/16/2012 1:16:49 PM Angle, I think it was 5% of your bankroll.
With taking such a huge hit on game 3, does it make sense to do a 2 game chase?
And does it make sense to see if your team loses game 1, and then jump in only on game 2's. I guess it depends on the probablity of a team winning the first 2 games...
I appreciate your postings! |
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McShady |
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#664 Posted: 5/16/2012 1:48:49 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Moth61: Angle, I think it was 5% of your bankroll.
With taking such a huge hit on game 3, does it make sense to do a 2 game chase?
And does it make sense to see if your team loses game 1, and then jump in only on game 2's. I guess it depends on the probablity of a team winning the first 2 games...
I appreciate your postings! By skipping a G1 of a team you really like does not make sense in this scenario. Especially for me, since G1 is my strongest pick out of the 3. Last year 50% of my G1 got it done.
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Moth61 |
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#665 Posted: 5/16/2012 2:46:40 PM What about skippimg game 3, since it is such a large bet?
Thanks, McShady, You are the best! |
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McShady |
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#666 Posted: 5/16/2012 3:24:33 PM my profits.
If you wanna skip a game I would say G2 holds the least importance to me, but then it just sounds like selective betting which is what I want to avoid. |
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semperfi19 |
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#667 Posted: 5/16/2012 3:44:20 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by 3DTV:
I was not trying to be rude. The fact that I am in the red isnt the issue. I am just curious about the profitability of this system. You guys seem to glance over that. If I offended you I apologize. I appreciate you guys sharing your picks but was just looking for a bit more info on the maths of the profitability.
3DTV...If you go back to the top of this thread, you will see the previous 20 plus page thread and you can read all the conversatoin we had about the history of this method. This should enlighten you as to the math of profitability or whatever that means. Arizona the series you lost was not on McShady's spreadsheet becasue that was my play not his.
Sometimes we have the same choices and sometimes he tails me and I tail him. Just two guys sharing our handicapping is all. We keep our plays seperate but my total is actually higher than the posted total becasue of McShady's insight.
Follow if you want but do so knowing there is no magic trick or "math of profitablity". This is a grind it out method where you can be around 50% accurate and still make cash. For example, Lose game 1 ,win game 2 still make money when you are only 1-1. Lose game 1&2 win gane 3 make money and you are only 1-2.
Good Luck and stick with it and you will see the "math of profitability" in cold hard cash. |
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monkeymark5 |
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#668 Posted: 5/16/2012 5:17:59 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by semperfi19:
3DTV...If you go back to the top of this thread, you will see the previous 20 plus page thread and you can read all the conversatoin we had about the history of this method. This should enlighten you as to the math of profitability or whatever that means. Arizona the series you lost was not on McShady's spreadsheet becasue that was my play not his.
Sometimes we have the same choices and sometimes he tails me and I tail him. Just two guys sharing our handicapping is all. We keep our plays seperate but my total is actually higher than the posted total becasue of McShady's insight.
Follow if you want but do so knowing there is no magic trick or "math of profitablity". This is a grind it out method where you can be around 50% accurate and still make cash. For example, Lose game 1 ,win game 2 still make money when you are only 1-1. Lose game 1&2 win gane 3 make money and you are only 1-2.
Good Luck and stick with it and you will see the "math of profitability" in cold hard cash.
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3DTV |
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#669 Posted: 5/16/2012 5:56:43 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by semperfi19:
3DTV...If you go back to the top of this thread, you will see the previous 20 plus page thread and you can read all the conversatoin we had about the history of this method. This should enlighten you as to the math of profitability or whatever that means. Arizona the series you lost was not on McShady's spreadsheet becasue that was my play not his.
Sometimes we have the same choices and sometimes he tails me and I tail him. Just two guys sharing our handicapping is all. We keep our plays seperate but my total is actually higher than the posted total becasue of McShady's insight.
Follow if you want but do so knowing there is no magic trick or "math of profitablity". This is a grind it out method where you can be around 50% accurate and still make cash. For example, Lose game 1 ,win game 2 still make money when you are only 1-1. Lose game 1&2 win gane 3 make money and you are only 1-2.
Good Luck and stick with it and you will see the "math of profitability" in cold hard cash.
Thank you! I appreciate the thorough response. Going to give it a run the rest of the season.
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Bettingbrothers |
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#670 Posted: 5/17/2012 10:44:28 AM
BTW u drove from Arizona to Chicago and will be at tonights Cubs-Phillies game.
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QBUN |
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#671 Posted: 5/17/2012 10:58:45 AM  |
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#672 Posted: 5/17/2012 11:08:43 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Bettingbrothers:
Do you know when the series prices are generally posted?
BTW u drove from Arizona to Chicago and will be at tonights Cubs-Phillies game.
Series Prices come out the morning of G1. So tmrw AM... |
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#673 Posted: 5/17/2012 11:16:14 AM |
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#674 Posted: 5/17/2012 11:27:40 AM  |
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#675 Posted: 5/17/2012 11:35:18 AM |
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