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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: SEMPER/McSHADY UNDERDOGS OF MAY
bikemcr send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
bikemcr
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Posted: 5/15/2012 8:38:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PTOTOUR:

Originally Posted by bikemcr] Hey PTOTOUR did you chase the Cards ?

yes, lost last night but hit today.  i am on texas tonight too. 

Nice ! GL tonight with the Rangers .
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72DAVE
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#652
Posted: 5/16/2012 12:29:06 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by McShady:

Chase The Dog

 

LOVE THE SPREADSHEET  DETAIL SHADY! KEEP UP THE GREAT WORK!  HOW LONG U BEEN DOING THIS? CAN'T WAIT TIL MONDAY. BOL

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Posted: 5/16/2012 12:38:13 AM
McShady I realize your spreadsheet shows you crushing. The fact is somehow you avoided Az and the switch semp made to Col. Can you give an explanation of the long term profitability of the system?

I jumped in two weeks back I believe and got railed by Az, which instantly put me in the red.
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Posted: 5/16/2012 1:45:30 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Angle4U999:

Sorry to be off-topic, but isn't it a little fishy that the Dodgers are only -109 vs Arizona with the Dodgers 16-3 at home? Could the dog bark tonite?


Nice call - played along.  Thanks!! 
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Posted: 5/16/2012 3:48:39 AM
Thanks again for all your work McShady ... Could you post your plays until we start Chase system again ?
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Posted: 5/16/2012 9:12:30 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 3DTV:

McShady I realize your spreadsheet shows you crushing. The fact is somehow you avoided Az and the switch semp made to Col. Can you give an explanation of the long term profitability of the system?

I jumped in two weeks back I believe and got railed by Az, which instantly put me in the red.

I cannot offer guarantees...cause we are NOT selling anything. But I can only assume that you bet more than you were willing to lose on AZ and want to know if we will post winners to make up or it? Would I keep betting Chase The Dog if it lost me $...no. Sorry we cost you money, GL in your endeavors. 
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Posted: 5/16/2012 9:14:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 72DAVE:

 

LOVE THE SPREADSHEET  DETAIL SHADY! KEEP UP THE GREAT WORK!  HOW LONG U BEEN DOING THIS? CAN'T WAIT TIL MONDAY. BOL


Th bro. Just trying to help, gla your finding success with it! This is my 4th year Chasing...I don't feel confident betting any other way. 
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Posted: 5/16/2012 9:31:31 AM

McShady...Thanks for holding down the fort had to go AWOL for a few days. Great job on the system tutorial.   I will be back up and running next week and I will try and put my google Docs link up so everyone can see my spreadsheet as  well.

See everyone on Monday...Have a great weekend and good luck on all you plays this weekend.   

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Posted: 5/16/2012 10:14:38 AM
Hey no problem skipper...welcome back!
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Posted: 5/16/2012 12:22:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:


I cannot offer guarantees...cause we are NOT selling anything. But I can only assume that you bet more than you were willing to lose on AZ and want to know if we will post winners to make up or it? Would I keep betting Chase The Dog if it lost me $...no. Sorry we cost you money, GL in your endeavors. 


I was not trying to be rude. The fact that I am in the red isnt the issue. I am just curious about the profitability of this system. You guys seem to glance over that. If I offended you I apologize. I appreciate you guys sharing your picks but was just looking for a bit more info on the maths of the profitability.
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Posted: 5/16/2012 12:32:44 PM
my buddy had a system like this but it was w the yankees winning at least one game each series...ill never forget the time they lost the first three of a four game series and he had to quadruple up on the forth game and won on a walkoff...crazy....

anyway like ur idea and hope works well!!!

beat the book!!!

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Posted: 5/16/2012 12:33:31 PM
If anyone who got in late is in the red you might want to keep this in mind. This is a marathon, not a sprint. Bet a certain amount and keep it there unless McShady or Semper say to bet less. If one unit for you is $100 and you can take a loss and lose $700, no problem. It will take 7 wins at even money to make it up and these are almost always plus money plays so it will take less than that! For some people it might be $50, $20 or even $10 for a unit. Don't be greedy and up your bets. Stay within your comfort level. Money management and self-control is extremely important. Then next year when your bankroll is larger, increase your unit amount. Somebody posted what % of your bankroll you should use as a unit amount but I can't remember what it said. Maybe McShady can give newcomers some insight on this so if you jumped in with Arizona and San Diego you guys won't go broke trying to dig out of a hole. I hope this helps. If I'm out of line here Semper or McShady, I apologize. I have played some chases on my own but you guys have the best systems I have seen. I just wish I had found this at the beginning of the season! Keep up the good work!
.
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Posted: 5/16/2012 1:16:49 PM

Angle, I think it was 5% of your bankroll.

 With taking such a huge hit on game 3, does it make sense to do a 2 game chase?

And does it make sense to see if your team loses game 1, and then jump in only on game 2's. I guess it depends on the probablity of a team winning the first 2 games...

I appreciate your postings!

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Posted: 5/16/2012 1:48:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Moth61:

Angle, I think it was 5% of your bankroll.

 With taking such a huge hit on game 3, does it make sense to do a 2 game chase?

And does it make sense to see if your team loses game 1, and then jump in only on game 2's. I guess it depends on the probablity of a team winning the first 2 games...

I appreciate your postings!

By skipping a G1 of a team you really like does not make sense in this scenario. Especially for me, since G1 is my strongest pick out of the 3. Last year 50% of my G1 got it done. 

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Posted: 5/16/2012 2:46:40 PM

What about skippimg game 3, since it is such a large bet?

Thanks, McShady, You are the best!

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Posted: 5/16/2012 3:24:33 PM
G3 is the most important bet. If you skip it every time that means you don't believe a team wants to avoid a SWEEP. And this whole premise is based off that. But I have #'s to back it up as well and if I skipped G3 I would have l missed out on half
my profits. 

If you wanna skip a game I would say G2 holds the least importance to me, but then it just sounds like selective betting which is what I want to avoid. 
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Posted: 5/16/2012 3:44:20 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by 3DTV:



I was not trying to be rude. The fact that I am in the red isnt the issue. I am just curious about the profitability of this system. You guys seem to glance over that. If I offended you I apologize. I appreciate you guys sharing your picks but was just looking for a bit more info on the maths of the profitability.

3DTV...If you go back to the top of this thread, you will see the previous 20 plus page thread and you can read all the conversatoin we had about the history of this method. This should enlighten you as to the math of profitability or whatever that  means. Arizona the series you lost was not on McShady's spreadsheet becasue that was my play not his.

Sometimes we have the same choices and sometimes he tails me and I tail him.  Just two guys sharing our handicapping is all.  We keep our plays seperate but my total is actually higher than the posted total becasue of McShady's insight.   

Follow if you want but do so knowing there is no magic trick or  "math of profitablity".  This is a grind it out method where you can be  around 50% accurate and still make cash. For example, Lose game 1 ,win game 2 still make money when you are only 1-1.  Lose game 1&2 win gane 3 make money and you are only 1-2.   

Good  Luck and stick with it and you will see the "math of profitability" in cold hard cash.

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Posted: 5/16/2012 5:17:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by semperfi19:

3DTV...If you go back to the top of this thread, you will see the previous 20 plus page thread and you can read all the conversatoin we had about the history of this method. This should enlighten you as to the math of profitability or whatever that  means. Arizona the series you lost was not on McShady's spreadsheet becasue that was my play not his.

Sometimes we have the same choices and sometimes he tails me and I tail him.  Just two guys sharing our handicapping is all.  We keep our plays seperate but my total is actually higher than the posted total becasue of McShady's insight.   

Follow if you want but do so knowing there is no magic trick or  "math of profitablity".  This is a grind it out method where you can be  around 50% accurate and still make cash. For example, Lose game 1 ,win game 2 still make money when you are only 1-1.  Lose game 1&2 win gane 3 make money and you are only 1-2.   

Good  Luck and stick with it and you will see the "math of profitability" in cold hard cash.



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Posted: 5/16/2012 5:56:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by semperfi19:

3DTV...If you go back to the top of this thread, you will see the previous 20 plus page thread and you can read all the conversatoin we had about the history of this method. This should enlighten you as to the math of profitability or whatever that  means. Arizona the series you lost was not on McShady's spreadsheet becasue that was my play not his.

Sometimes we have the same choices and sometimes he tails me and I tail him.  Just two guys sharing our handicapping is all.  We keep our plays seperate but my total is actually higher than the posted total becasue of McShady's insight.   

Follow if you want but do so knowing there is no magic trick or  "math of profitablity".  This is a grind it out method where you can be  around 50% accurate and still make cash. For example, Lose game 1 ,win game 2 still make money when you are only 1-1.  Lose game 1&2 win gane 3 make money and you are only 1-2.   

Good  Luck and stick with it and you will see the "math of profitability" in cold hard cash.



Thank you! I appreciate the thorough response. Going to give it a run the rest of the season.
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Posted: 5/17/2012 10:44:28 AM
Do you know when the series prices are generally posted?

BTW u drove from Arizona to Chicago and will be at tonights Cubs-Phillies game.
Posted using a mobile device.
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Posted: 5/17/2012 10:58:45 AM
in semper we trust.......
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Posted: 5/17/2012 11:08:43 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Bettingbrothers:

Do you know when the series prices are generally posted?

BTW u drove from Arizona to Chicago and will be at tonights Cubs-Phillies game.

Series Prices come out the morning of G1. So tmrw AM...
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Posted: 5/17/2012 11:16:14 AM
hey mcshady great work brotha...been following u and semper and by far d best cappers on covers
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Posted: 5/17/2012 11:27:40 AM
Hey thx QBUN! But I'm pretty sure we don't post enough plays to get that title...
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Posted: 5/17/2012 11:35:18 AM
Anyone taking the Mariners today? Thur is a slow day in the Chase game...looking at M's / Marlins 2teamer +480
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