Posted: 5/5/2012 10:41:54 AM
Its always nice to hear everyones picks If none of the six horses I pick here hit the board and you have 6 more picked out than you'll do just fine on the derby, if you hit big buy a boat i heard there nice.
No horse in this derby has a better than 20% chance to win. Good horses train themselves so i don't care to much about trainers, the only thing they can do is allow the horse to train ideally or less than ideally.
I've heard alot of talk about folks comparing horses to one another, the only horse that you can compare a horse to is himself and does todays conditions give him a good chance to win or be itm. So i don't care who his niece, nephew, or third cousin was, or what barn did what. A guy name Chip who trains 2 thoroughbreds a year has as many derby wins as Todd Pletcher.
I've heard alot about positioning and traffic trouble, the truth is their all in trouble, there is no car pool lane and the pace will turn out to be whatever it is in the derby. Forget odds the horses can't read the tote board, find the best eight horses and bet them according to your bugget.
There is still some time between now and the Derby, but i do think there are some who are completely underestimating two horses and they are Gemologist and Dullahan.
I have examined the pro's and the con's and if these horses run there best race the rest of them are running for third and fourth. Here is two thumbs-up for the truth even if our truths end up being different. Last but not least if for some reason this derby falls completely apart don't fall asleep on Prospective he just might give you a new one.
And Im Done Talking
2]Daddy Knows Best
4]Went the day Well