Federer looks like "fool's gold" tonight..........

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Author: [Tennis] Topic: Federer looks like "fool's gold" tonight..........
12_FL_Oz PM 12_FL_Oz
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Posted: 1/26/2012 1:01:51 AM
steaks never last and nadal only lost that first set to berdych cause of the shitty lines people
jshen601 PM jshen601
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Posted: 1/26/2012 1:10:13 AM
does anyone have the stats on nadal covering against fed as a dog?
D-Chizzle PM D-Chizzle
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Posted: 1/26/2012 1:11:08 AM
Well call me a damn Fool.  I'm going with Fed today.  160 to win 100 and I just put in another at 165 to win 100 on betus.  If you win...congrats. If Fed wins, well good for the fed backers. I'm here to post some picks and look at other plays so it can help me and others win some cash.  Rubbing it in seems a little childish. 

Good luck 
gridironguy PM gridironguy
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Posted: 1/26/2012 7:26:14 AM
one fed backer said that fed is too hot right now

another fed backer said nadal does not look right, right now

this was the best fed has looked against nadal in a long time in a major, even better than the 5-set loss in the 2009 aussie final, yet he STILL lost.

fed backers: got any excuses??

to those of you who cannot take your loss like a man and give some credit where it's due, i sure hope this crow tastes nice 
joesinswins PM joesinswins
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Posted: 1/26/2012 8:32:05 AM
Good Win.
Slick Rick PM Slick Rick
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Posted: 1/26/2012 9:05:19 AM
Nice call. Do you see any value in sprinkling a small amout on the Andy Murray ML? The fact that not ONE person is even mentoning it tells me could be an under the radar value play.
gridironguy PM gridironguy
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Posted: 1/26/2012 9:37:07 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by joesinswins:

Good Win.

i respect you a lot, Joe.  i know you're a Fed guy and I'm a Rafa guy, but don't forget i'm a big Fed guy too, when he's playing anyone except Rafa

gridironguy PM gridironguy
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Posted: 1/26/2012 9:46:07 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Slick Rick:

Nice call. Do you see any value in sprinkling a small amout on the Andy Murray ML? The fact that not ONE person is even mentoning it tells me could be an under the radar value play.

hey dude. i actually don't like Murray's matchup vs Djoko at all.  Murray plays such a similar game, except not as strong from the baseline, and cannot cover the court quite as well.  he's like a poor man's Djoko.  he does everything Djoko does, but a little less talented at all of them.  the only area i give Andy is on the first serve, but Djoko's the best service returner in the gm.

murray is like a poor man's Djoko, so i don't like the matchup at all.  Djoko would have to get hurt or have a complete 5 set meltdown to lose this match, i think

xibeleli PM xibeleli
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Posted: 1/26/2012 9:57:32 AM
And the result was just as predicted. I expected people to know better by looking at rafas record vs roger federer, his like an anti-roger federer. federer also seems to choke when up against this guy.

  $$$$ nice win.
Jayson25 PM Jayson25
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Posted: 1/26/2012 10:28:26 AM
congrats to those of you who took nadal plus the ultra generous 130          i am dumbfounded that the line was so high and nadal won.     the same guy must have made that line must have been the same friggin moron who made the packers -9 vs the giants a few weeks ago.              i need to get to vegas and put my linesmaker application in because they need help quickly!!!!
joesinswins PM joesinswins
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Posted: 1/26/2012 10:50:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gridironguy:

i respect you a lot, Joe.  i know you're a Fed guy and I'm a Rafa guy, but don't forget i'm a big Fed guy too, when he's playing anyone except Rafa

 Hate to see him lose, but you are right Rafa is in his head, and well I guess Fed cant dominate everybody, forever. Everyone has their lex luthor and That would be Nadal. Just like Djok is Nadals.  I couldn't stay up late enough to watch it, but I was a half click away from Betting Fed 1st set instead of ML, but I had Fed 3-0 Just on a whim, and really that made my decision cause a loss in the 1st set would have lost both wagers. Turned out, THAT was the gut I should have followed at less juice and i would have broken even. GL the rest of the tourney, I think I am out and will watch, although i will be tempted to go with Sharapova if i can afford to. lol.

stingercofc PM stingercofc
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Posted: 1/26/2012 11:13:10 AM
Gridon, I don't know anything about tennis, but is there value laying the wood on Novak
gridironguy PM gridironguy
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Posted: 1/26/2012 1:59:20 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by stingercofc:

Gridon, I don't know anything about tennis, but is there value laying the wood on Novak

i dont see any value on any wager tonight involving the match, bro.  not either side, and not on games.  O/U is set right, i think.  i'm just gona be a fan tonight.  will wait for the men's final to see if there's value, and if i think there is, i'll certainly post it

Slick Rick PM Slick Rick
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Posted: 1/26/2012 4:57:49 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Jayson25:

congrats to those of you who took nadal plus the ultra generous 130          i am dumbfounded that the line was so high and nadal won.     the same guy must have made that line must have been the same friggin moron who made the packers -9 vs the giants a few weeks ago.              i need to get to vegas and put my linesmaker application in because they need help quickly!!!!

With Federer likely the public bet (just guessing) I'm pretty sure Vegas did ok on this one!

Slick Rick PM Slick Rick
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Posted: 1/26/2012 4:59:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gridironguy:

i dont see any value on any wager tonight involving the match, bro.  not either side, and not on games.  O/U is set right, i think.  i'm just gona be a fan tonight.  will wait for the men's final to see if there's value, and if i think there is, i'll certainly post it

What is this "not wagering and just watching a match as a fan" business that you speak of? I am intrigued and would like to subscrbe to your newsletter. Signed, every degenerate on Covers.

gridironguy PM gridironguy
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Posted: 1/26/2012 7:47:21 PM
boys i actually have a play now, posting in a new thread
gridironguy PM gridironguy
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Posted: 1/26/2012 7:55:00 PM
let's face it, Andy is a very good player, but everything he does, the Djoker does better, except maybe the 1st service.  but even that is debatable as Djoker has better placement on his 1st serve than Andy.

the Djoker is simply too consistent, too focused, too fit, to lose to andy on this stage.  the Djoker will cruise over Andy in 4 sets max.

i won 4 big units on Rafa's win yesterday over Fed, and gave you all the reasoning and it played it out pretty much to form.  i expect the same tonight.

Djoko minus the reduced juice to win 1 unit, should be -240 or so, maybe -245 depending on where

gridironguy PM gridironguy
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Posted: 1/27/2012 11:32:09 AM
even though it looked like an easy win, it was not. it's never ever ever easy.
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