Posted: 1/28/2013 9:10:25 PM
Originally Posted by hotdamn85:
its already -4 (-105)
And SF Moneyline back up to -180
This eerily reminds me of the Colts/Saints superbowl with respects to the line movement.... and only the line movement lol
I remember because it was the first superbowl I lost because I hammered the Colts moneyline after winning 5 straight before that.
The line started out at around 6 points, the line went down even though the public was allll over the Colts (including me)
I got a lesson in reverse line movement after that loss.... I wasn't sure where/when the sharps were betting and it seems more information on that is provided now.
Anyway, the public is allllll over the Ravens, still at 3.5, yet the line is moving back up before game day. We can all sit here and read these articles about the sharps....
I'm not a pro at this stuff but for me I kinda feel that the sharps got most of their bets in at the origonal 5 point line....
To me, the line should not be going back-up that high unless the public is betting SF. But it doesn't seem like that's the case....
I expect things to change on gameday....
again, I'm not great at reading into these lines and I really don't figure this into my capping, but I think there is evidence of reverse line movement
GL TO ALL!