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Author: [Rugby] Topic: Super 15 Week 8
snake2710
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snake2710
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#1
Posted: 4/12/2012 6:12:11 PM

Super 15 YTD 31-32 +5.60 units

Had a good weekend last week so going to try keep that going with some good plays this week. So far cant really see to many lines that are off, they mainly look about right to me so will have to do some true capping to make money.

The Big question for tonights games is will the Blues turn it round or will they continue with the BS rugby they have been playing and get pistol whipped by the Sharks

Picks:

Force +3.5 1 unit @ $1.90

The Force have been playing good footy of late and they are a good team at home. They did get beat last week by my chiefs but played very well in the first half and im thinking they should have enough to keep this game within 3 points if not get the Su win tonight. They did win there last game agains the Tahs back in week 4 by 1 point in sydney. So at home not sure how they would be underdogs but will take the points and hope they show up to play hard in a confrence game.

Really cant find an angle for the the Blues/Sharks game a the moment. Thinking the over could be worth a shot as both teams have weak D. At the moment would have to lean towards the Sharks as they are the better team and getting points but this Blues team has been through a few things this week and could bring them out fired up and ready to start their season,

BOL

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snake2710
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#2
Posted: 4/12/2012 9:18:32 PM

Have been thinking all day about the Blues/Sharks game tonight and have decided to give the Blues a chance to turn their game around and get a much needed win,

Pick:

Blues -2.5 2 units @ $1.90

Has been a long day to date of thinking who is going to get the 4 points in this one but in the end i will have to go with the Blues. They have got back a few players and they should be good enough to beat the Sharks at home tonight. The Sharks got pasted last week and cant see it getting much better for them tonight.

BOL

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snake2710
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snake2710
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#3
Posted: 4/13/2012 2:21:28 AM

Have just got home from work and had a look over my stats board and found a very good play,

Pick:

Blues/Sharks over 48.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Really like the over tonight. Yes there is a bit of weather around at the moment but both these teams have been huge over teams in this years comp. Blues are 5-1 on totals this year and 3-0 outside thier confrence. The Sharks are 5-2 on totals and 4-0 outside their confrence so it has all the makings of a high scoring match.

BOL

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phatmaori
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#4
Posted: 4/13/2012 4:36:48 AM
Made some good plays so far!
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snake2710
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#5
Posted: 4/13/2012 5:03:16 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by snake2710:

Have just got home from work and had a look over my stats board and found a very good play,

Pick:

Blues/Sharks over 48.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Really like the over tonight. Yes there is a bit of weather around at the moment but both these teams have been huge over teams in this years comp. Blues are 5-1 on totals this year and 3-0 outside thier confrence. The Sharks are 5-2 on totals and 4-0 outside their confrence so it has all the makings of a high scoring match.

BOL

Thanks Phatty, doesnt help when the Sharks have a clear knock on and then the ref and touchies all miss it and dont bother with video ref and sharks get a try

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snake2710
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#6
Posted: 4/13/2012 5:18:01 AM

Super 15 YTD 32-33 +4.50 units

Over

Blues Well untill the Blues can cover im just going to continue to fade them as i have been doing. That was the last time i gave them the BOD.

Come on the force

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snake2710
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#7
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:16:42 PM

Super 15 YTD 32-34 +3.50 units

Force

Working on the games for tonight right now and will have some plays soon.

quote
snake2710
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#8
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:53:22 PM

Have been looking over the games for tonight and have found a few good plays,

Picks:

Stormers +4.5 2 units @ $1.90

Really like this play a lot tonight. The best team in the comp at the moment going undefeated to this point with a record of 6-0 and 3-3-0 ATS are now getting points against the Saders who are 3-3 Su and 2-4-0 ATS. Hmmmm i will take the points and considering that the saders have had a long travel back from SA and having just played the Bulls. Stormers should be good enough to win the game Su.

Rebels +5.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Really like this play as well. The Brumbies are 0-2-0 ATS in their confrence and the Rebels are 2-1-0 ATS. So they have the advantage there and i think the rebels may have really learnt something last week against the blues and should be good enough to compete with the Brumbies tonight. Like this play a lot and could be upgraded later depending on how much more i like it.

Chiefs -1.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Chiefs have been a form team in the comp and showed last week they can grind out the wins. They had a very competitive match with the force but still managed to get the W and i reckon will prove a lot to themselves.The Cheetahs have been very good this year ATS going 6-1-0 which is very impressive but that is mainly due the bookies underestimating thier improvement this year. The Chiefs are 4-2-0 ATS. However the Chiefs are 5-1 Su and Cheetahs are 3-4 so huge advantage there for the chiefs and just think they should be good enough for a 5-10 point win.

BOL

 

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phatmaori
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#9
Posted: 4/13/2012 10:28:06 PM
quote
snake2710
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#10
Posted: 4/14/2012 12:58:37 AM

Cheers Phatty

Starting to like the look of the over in the saders/Stormers game as think both these teams should be good enough to go over 41.5 points

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phatmaori
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#11
Posted: 4/14/2012 1:01:00 AM
Was maybe thinking under for that game. Stormers don't score many tries and win games because of their D
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snake2710
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#12
Posted: 4/14/2012 1:05:31 AM
Saders 4-2 to the game total and the Stormers are 3-3 to the game total so hard to say really but just getting that gut feeling that this game should go over this total although the stormers have been involved in low scoring games
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phatmaori
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#13
Posted: 4/14/2012 1:07:02 AM
Mmm it's a hard one to pick. Was thinking maybe just playing Stormers SU win
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snake2710
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#14
Posted: 4/14/2012 1:13:30 AM

Yea that could be worth a shot. There TT is at 18.5 which looks hard to resist. Also im going to add one more play at the moment,

Pick:

Bulls -9.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Have had a look at this game and think the bulls should blow the lions out big time tmrw. The Bulls are 4-2-0 ATS this year and the Lions are 1-5-0 ATS. The Bulls in confrence are 2-1 Su and ATS so good stuff there. The Lions are 1-3 Su and ATS so have to give the heads up to the Bulls for this game.

BOL

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snake2710
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#15
Posted: 4/14/2012 3:06:10 AM

Well have been thinking about the stormers game tonight and going to add this play,

Pick:

Stormers 1-12 winning margin 1 unit @ $3.25

BOL

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snake2710
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#16
Posted: 4/14/2012 5:17:27 AM

Super 15 YTD 32-36 +0.50 units

Stormers

Nothing to say really

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snake2710
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#17
Posted: 4/16/2012 12:50:22 AM

Super 15 YTD 34-37 +1.30 units

Chiefs

Bulls

Rebels

quote
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