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Author:	[Streak Survivor] Topic: Serious Streak Survivor Strategies
smoothd20	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Mar 2010 Posts: 3469 Location: Oregon	#8351 Posted: 5/3/2012 7:20:47 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Plisskin76: Here's a simple system i researched a nd played last half of last season and it's doing well again this season. PLAY ALL WEST COAST GAMES UNDER. Only teams in states that touch pacific ocean. 37-24-2 Under for april. May so far 6-1. I'm glad you brought that up. We were aware of this angle last year were quite successful. I found that the night games were very consistently going Under. I have been thinking about this angle but hadn't tracked it. Thanks for reminding us.
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smoothd20	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Mar 2010 Posts: 3469 Location: Oregon	#8352 Posted: 5/3/2012 7:25:15 PM The Miami Marlins seem to picking up the mantle that the Cubs had last year. Bama eluded to this earlier. Now the Marlins have been responsible for taking out the last 3 biggest streaks we have had. They took me out when I backed them going into Captown. They then turned around and ambushed Bama as he was headed to Hoodville. Then they hit the Trifecta by wiping out Trax just as he left Hoodville on his way to Thousand Dollar City. So now it looks official the Marlins have declared war on us.
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CZECH_RAZOR	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: SBGEuro.com \|
Banned Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 849 Location: Florida	#8353 Posted: 5/3/2012 8:05:39 PM Damn guys I forgot to post earlier but I did take NY and they're looking good so far. SHARP PLAY FOR THE NIGHT OKC UNDER 194 (or 193.5 depending on your book's price)
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CZECH_RAZOR	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: SBGEuro.com \|
Banned Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 849 Location: Florida	#8354 Posted: 5/3/2012 8:06:57 PM I'm gonna take credit for the NY pick since I did post earlier that I would be taking them as long as line didn't go above 5.5 and it didn't. My 2 plays for tonight are: NY +5.5 OKC under 194
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CZECH_RAZOR	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: SBGEuro.com \|
Banned Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 849 Location: Florida	#8355 Posted: 5/3/2012 8:11:49 PM Guys no offense but there is not one rational reason for taking an under simply due to a team's proximity to the Pacific Ocean. You can look in the past and find a trend to match anything you want but it doesn't necessarily mean anything. Maybe that trend persists for a real reason though. This is what you should consider. If there is a certain reason why it may persist then we should look at it. I can't think of any possible reasons but what do i know.
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Plisskin76	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2007 Posts: 2871 Location: Nevada	#8356 Posted: 5/3/2012 8:39:25 PM Hey,czech, thats not the reason,lol. All west coast ballparks are huge,pitching is great normally and most teams have no offense or offensive stars. Hey czech,the pacific ocean part was meant for humor. The salt air weighs the ball down in flight also.
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Plisskin76	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2007 Posts: 2871 Location: Nevada	#8357 Posted: 5/3/2012 8:40:41 PM Czech,I already knew the reason why.
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Plisskin76	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2007 Posts: 2871 Location: Nevada	#8358 Posted: 5/3/2012 8:41:36 PM Heat 2H -6 Under pick is dead,lol
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edwardglennx3	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 695 Location: Texas	#8359 Posted: 5/3/2012 8:45:31 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR: Guys no offense but there is not one rational reason for taking an under simply due to a team's proximity to the Pacific Ocean. You can look in the past and find a trend to match anything you want but it doesn't necessarily mean anything. Maybe that trend persists for a real reason though. This is what you should consider. If there is a certain reason why it may persist then we should look at it. I can't think of any possible reasons but what do i know. FOR THE SAME REASON YOU USE YOUR SYSTEM, BECAUSE THE PERCENTAGE IS ATLEAST 60%!!!! Its what is hot right now and the percentage is well above 60%. any jackass can go to vegas and throw down 10 or 20 grand on a line, and jack that line up. doesn't necessarily mean they are a sharp. They might of just paid for that pick and the dude assured him it is the pick of the year so mortgage the house!!! Your line system works only for the simple fact that it hits 60%. A system is a system. History shows the west coast under
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edwardglennx3	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 695 Location: Texas	#8360 Posted: 5/3/2012 8:50:14 PM Oh yeah,,,,BTW,,,my POD is the under Miami Game,,,i know its 3rd quarter, but the under is the POD
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CZECH_RAZOR	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: SBGEuro.com \|
Banned Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 849 Location: Florida	#8361 Posted: 5/3/2012 9:25:03 PM Lol the under was the POD. Ny was suspect too. Lol once again I break my own rules on NY since line went back up and now hoping to get lucky. Okc under still looks good Thanks pliss for the info. Lol that's why I mentioned before I don't know person about baseball. Thanks for the info though I didn't really know that stuff
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CZECH_RAZOR	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: SBGEuro.com \|
Banned Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 849 Location: Florida	#8362 Posted: 5/3/2012 9:26:42 PM Hey Edward man wouldn't it be nice if we followed our own knowledge sometimes. You coulda banked on your strategy and I'd be banking on mine too if I didn't break the rules ever night. Only the OKC pick really qualified but I was reaching and wanted to bet NY. plus I hate Miami. Oh well hope Knicks can find a way to cover.
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CZECH_RAZOR	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: SBGEuro.com \|
Banned Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 849 Location: Florida	#8363 Posted: 5/3/2012 9:31:22 PM I dont mind my Knicks play either necessarily although they aren't covering at the moment. I still liked the play not saying I didn't by any means. Just saying I've been talking garbage about my system so I should at least try sticking to it for a little bit.
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CZECH_RAZOR	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: SBGEuro.com \|
Banned Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 849 Location: Florida	#8364 Posted: 5/3/2012 9:33:22 PM Does anyone have an opinion on the hockey game? I noticed the total dropped to 4.5 and I already liked under before but now I'm not sure what I want to do. I liked LA for whole series originally but they're already up 2-0 and stl needs a win for sure. Idk
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edwardglennx3	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 695 Location: Texas	#8365 Posted: 5/3/2012 9:35:52 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR: Hey Edward man wouldn't it be nice if we followed our own knowledge sometimes. You coulda banked on your strategy and I'd be banking on mine too if I didn't break the rules ever night. Only the OKC pick really qualified but I was reaching and wanted to bet NY. plus I hate Miami. Oh well hope Knicks can find a way to cover. Don't push a pick Czech,,,thats one thing i still haven't learned.....it takes discipline. i get greedy all the time and push a pick onto a parlay for a bigger payout, and that one simple pick costs me BIG!!!!!
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edwardglennx3	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 695 Location: Texas	#8366 Posted: 5/3/2012 9:40:37 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR: I dont mind my Knicks play either necessarily although they aren't covering at the moment. I still liked the play not saying I didn't by any means. Just saying I've been talking garbage about my system so I should at least try sticking to it for a little bit. Why don't you take your system plays for the day, and just pick the top 2. or take what the system shows you but put your personal opinion into it, like the Knicks for example, your system showed to play them, but yet we know Stoudemire is out. That alone making it iffy, would be a no play. if the system shows NY, and you do your research and see that NY has a lot healthier of a team than miami, than lay the wood on NY
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edwardglennx3	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 695 Location: Texas	#8367 Posted: 5/3/2012 9:43:42 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by CZECH_RAZOR: Does anyone have an opinion on the hockey game? I noticed the total dropped to 4.5 and I already liked under before but now I'm not sure what I want to do. I liked LA for whole series originally but they're already up 2-0 and stl needs a win for sure. Idk Under66 % ( 918 - 471 )93 % ( 14 - 1 ) Public is all over it for being a low total, but the Experts(sharps) are 14-1 on it as well
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Plisskin76	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2007 Posts: 2871 Location: Nevada	#8368 Posted: 5/3/2012 9:52:12 PM 1-1 so far after bad over pick. Gonna watch 1st half of mavs and maybe have a play for 2H.
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Plisskin76	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2007 Posts: 2871 Location: Nevada	#8369 Posted: 5/3/2012 9:55:20 PM Czech,no problems. You siad you hate miami heat. One thing in betting is you can not have emotional dislikes for teams,it will lose you money by the boatloads. you have to take your own personal likes/dislikes out of the equation. A lot of teams you dislike can make you money.
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Plisskin76	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2007 Posts: 2871 Location: Nevada	#8370 Posted: 5/3/2012 9:57:34 PM gonna pass angels under tonite,i missed SF under win so i'll wait till saturday. if you guys bet it good luck!
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CZECH_RAZOR	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: SBGEuro.com \|
Banned Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 849 Location: Florida	#8371 Posted: 5/3/2012 10:00:58 PM I'll take credit for the Knicks play as a system play even though it wasn't technically. 7/7 with this okc under pending.
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CZECH_RAZOR	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: SBGEuro.com \|
Banned Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 849 Location: Florida	#8372 Posted: 5/3/2012 10:02:15 PM That's what makes me nervous about that under. I took LA
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CZECH_RAZOR	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: SBGEuro.com \|
Banned Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 849 Location: Florida	#8373 Posted: 5/3/2012 10:05:32 PM Hey Edward thanks for sharing your thoughts. Yeah I frustrate myself to no end. I should only take the ones that meet all the criteria. I've been saying it and not doing it. I'll get it down eventually though been trying to cut down my plays per day, etc. discipline seems key
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edwardglennx3	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Nov 2009 Posts: 695 Location: Texas	#8374 Posted: 5/3/2012 10:14:57 PM Atleast you get back up and Ride....I woulda done been like to hell with it. LOL... You have faith in it which does mean a lot, it takes faith to get back on that horse and Ride Out
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smoothd20	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Mar 2010 Posts: 3469 Location: Oregon	#8375 Posted: 5/3/2012 10:17:38 PM Czech-West Coast night baseball explained. Plisskin touched on it a little I will elaborate. We will start with the Northwest. Seattle has had a pathetic offense for years now. This year is a little better. But because the Stadium is close to water the ball doesn't carry well at night. Thats just a scientific fact. I live in Portland 160 miles south of Seattle. I go to about 4-5 games a year up there especially when my Yankees come to town. Great stadium. But the numbers will show you that historically night games go under Seattle. Bay Area teams Oakland-SF. Again I lived in the Bay for 13 years so I'm talking personal knowledge. I go to 1 game a year down there. Mostly when the Yankees come to town. Haven't been to AT&T park in a long time though. The Bay Area is really cool at night especially in the Spring and Summer months. The ball simply doesn't carry well at night. Oakland's stadium is a joke now for a baseball stadium since they remodeled it for the Raiders. Very hard to HR's out of there even in the day time. The Giants play in the most beautiful stadium I have personally been in. The area of town is called the China Basin. It's better than Candlestick but make no mistake it still gets cold and windy in that park. The stadium literally is next to the Bay (McCovey's Cove) as they call it. HR's go to SF to simply die at night. When that wind is blowing combined with the fog and water of the Bay you really have to hit it to kiss it goodbye. Now let's go to Southern Cal. Dodger stadium. You don't have the water to be concerned about but the fact is the Dodgers have great pitching and you simply aren't going to score alot of runs against them for the most part. The only really good hitter they have is Kemp so their games at home are mostly under. Now we go to San Diego. Are you kidding. That is a pitcher's paradise. I haven't been to my hometown's ballpark yet but by all accounts it's the hardest park to hit a HR out of and that's saying something when you include Oakland. Combine the size of the park with the fact that's it's downtown SD where it's close to the water and you have Oakland times 2 in San Diego. I'm sure there's some scientific nerd that could break this down scientifically for you but I'm just giving you the skinny as it pertains to sports investments and why the West Coast numbers are usually unders. Last year was really strange because it was hitting so automatically that some games had a run total of 4.5 and they still came in under if memory serves me correctly. I hope this clears up the West Coast angle.
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