Posted: 12/11/2012 9:24:22 PM
QB: Peyton Manning or Josh Freeman.
Ravens defense is actually pretty good still. Manning had a mediocre game last week, and I don't feel like he has a high ceiling.
Freeman went for 30 pts earlier in the year at home vs. New Orleans. With the emergence of Doug Martin though, I'm afraid they will run a lot more than the first meeting. Freeman is shakey, and when New Orleans can't defend the pass or the run, it seems like Martin is a safer bet.
WR3: Dez Bryant, Danny Amendola, Brian Hartline
Assuming Dez plays, should I go ahead and start him with a broken finger? Pitt's pass defense is still pretty good. Amendola might not play either, so if neither plays I have pretty much no choice but to pluck Hartline off the waiver wire.
FLEX: Alfred Morris or Steven Jackson.
Morris hasn't been finding the endzone much this season. I live in Washington, and I doubt RG3 starts. I think a lot of Morris's success is based off the pistol where he grinds out 5 yards at a time because of the reads. Jackson has an absolute bust until coming on the past 4 weeks. Richardson was getting half the carries, but not only is Jackson taking them back, he is finding the endzone every week.
My RB1 is Bryce Brown and RB is Knowshon Moreno.
DEF: Houston vs. Indianapolis, NY Jets @ Tenn
Houston's defense looked pretty crappy on Monday and they are getting picked off by injury every week. Indy has been putting up points, but most of Luck's good games are at home. The game has a high o/u, but a high spread of Houston.
Despite the Jets' deficiencies on offense, their defense has been pretty solid this season. You can expect a solid 11 or so points from them against lesser competition. I just feel like Tenn is a lot better team than they have played recently. You know home teams can get up for Monday Night as well.
I'm a #2 seed facing a #3 this week and I definitely gotta score all the points I can. Other dude has Luck, Megatron, AJ Green, Garcon, Ridley, Sproles, Tony Gonzo, and Reggie Bush. Pretty solid squad.
Any comments would be appreciated.
On a betting note, I knew New England was gonna win on Monday night. Giving 5.5 against a team with only 1 loss was too many points, and Houston suffers vs. elite QBs.
My main thought was the "New England doesn't lose consecutive games" rationale, because New England is going to lose on SNF.
The only teams that can beat New England are ones with pass rush, which is SF's specialty. I know Houston has Cushing, but he is only one man. SF has Aldon Smith, Justin Smith, Navorro Bowman, and of course Patrick Willis. Also have a solid secondary. They will not give Brady time in the pocket. Why do you think the Giants own them?
Kaepernick hasn't been impressive the past couple, however Harbaugh has basically converted him into Alex Smith Jr. Short throws, a lot of running, high completion percentages. He'll keep the chains moving with 10 yard passes to crabtree and keep brady off the field. He'll also be able to air it out when necessary
After that murder on Monday Night, the public will be all over the Patriots. The 49ers only get +3 at New England?
San Fran wins the game outright.