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Author: [Fantasy Sports] Topic: Help with my Lineup: Go With Who Got You Here? Plus SNF Pick
slamspurs
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#1
Posted: 12/11/2012 9:24:22 PM

QB: Peyton Manning or Josh Freeman.

Ravens defense is actually pretty good still. Manning had a mediocre game last week, and I don't feel like he has a high ceiling.

Freeman went for 30 pts earlier in the year at home vs. New Orleans. With the emergence of Doug Martin though, I'm afraid they will run a lot more than the first meeting. Freeman is shakey, and when New Orleans can't defend the pass or the run, it seems like Martin is a safer bet.

 

WR3: Dez Bryant, Danny Amendola, Brian Hartline

Assuming Dez plays, should I go ahead and start him with a broken finger? Pitt's pass defense is still pretty good. Amendola might not play either, so if neither plays I have pretty much no choice but to pluck Hartline off the waiver wire.

FLEX: Alfred Morris or Steven Jackson.

Morris hasn't been finding the endzone much this season. I live in Washington, and I doubt RG3 starts. I think a lot of Morris's success is based off the pistol where he grinds out 5 yards at a time because of the reads. Jackson has an absolute bust until coming on the past 4 weeks. Richardson was getting half the carries, but not only is Jackson taking them back, he is finding the endzone every week.

My RB1 is Bryce Brown and RB is Knowshon Moreno.

DEF: Houston vs. Indianapolis, NY Jets @ Tenn

Houston's defense looked pretty crappy on Monday and they are getting picked off by injury every week. Indy has been putting up points, but most of Luck's good games are at home. The game has a high o/u, but a high spread of Houston.

Despite the Jets' deficiencies on offense, their defense has been pretty solid this season. You can expect a solid 11 or so points from them against lesser competition. I just feel like Tenn is a lot better team than they have played recently. You know home teams can get up for Monday Night as well.

I'm a #2 seed facing a #3 this week and I definitely gotta score all the points I can. Other dude has Luck, Megatron, AJ Green, Garcon, Ridley, Sproles, Tony Gonzo, and Reggie Bush. Pretty solid squad.

Any comments would be appreciated.

 

SNF Pick:

On a betting note, I knew New England was gonna win on Monday night. Giving 5.5 against a team with only 1 loss was too many points, and Houston suffers vs. elite QBs.

My main thought was the "New England doesn't lose consecutive games" rationale, because New England is going to lose on SNF.

The only teams that can beat New England are ones with pass rush, which is SF's specialty. I know Houston has Cushing, but he is only one man. SF has Aldon Smith, Justin Smith, Navorro Bowman, and of course Patrick Willis. Also have a solid secondary. They will not give Brady time in the pocket. Why do you think the Giants own them?

Kaepernick hasn't been impressive the past couple, however Harbaugh has basically converted him into Alex Smith Jr. Short throws, a lot of running, high completion percentages. He'll keep the chains moving with 10 yard passes to crabtree and keep brady off the field. He'll also be able to air it out when necessary

After that murder on Monday Night, the public will be all over the Patriots. The 49ers only get +3 at New England?

San Fran wins the game outright.

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#2
Posted: 12/11/2012 9:29:43 PM

Oh yea, I have Antonio Gates. High celing, but pretty much boom or bust.

I pretty much already decided to start Heath Miller in his place. He'll probably get somewhere between 7 and 13 points, so he's probably the more solid play.

 

This is a non-ppr, standard scoring (4 pt passing TD) league.

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#3
Posted: 12/11/2012 10:27:40 PM

Some intriguing defense possibilities on my wire this week.

Tenn DEF vs. Sanchez

Oakland DEF vs. KC and Quinn

DET DEF vs. JAX

I wouldn't trust Detroit's defense. Apparently they are a hot wire add this week, but they haven't scored garbage all year. Tenn is at home. I'm reluctant to start Oakland because of their penalties that will keep drives alive.

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#4
Posted: 12/12/2012 12:56:52 PM
Nice write up in my thread!  You obviously know what you are doing and I am not sure how much I can help......but here are my thoughts.

QB
Don't let Manning's performance last Thursday sway your opinion.  Manning has historically checked out of games that he has in hand and does not run up the score.  A tougher opponent makes for more scoring.  I can live with starting Manning and watching Freeman put up crazy numbers, I would kick myself if the opposite happened.

WR3
If Dez is really hurt badly then I go Amendola (assuming he is healthy) he is easily the favorite target of Bradford and will get the most targets.  The Cowboys have plenty of other receivers that will get looks if Dez is not 100%.

Flex
Tough call here, Clev D is stout and I am anti Steven Jackson.  I lean Morris for no good reason in particular.

Def
I would not play Houston D, I think Indy will move the ball and put up some points.  QBs that can throw the rock have had no trouble scoring on this D.  Also other dude is playing Luck so if he has a big game then you are screwed.  (flip side is they lock down Luck, but I don't see it)

No way you can trust Oakland D even if it is KC.  I expect them to feed Charles (esp with Bowe out) and that will limit sacks and pics.  Could be low scoring though.

Detroit D or Jets D are viable options.  I lean Jets because they have been playing good D lately and are still clinging to playoff hope. 

I hope that San Fran kicks the $hit out of NE Sunday night.  But only because i am playing Brady in my fantasy matchup!

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PureHoppiness send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#5
Posted: 12/13/2012 4:29:02 PM
Det d. Morris in a heart beat
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#6
Posted: 12/14/2012 12:18:14 PM
might of done a 180 on the houston D.  the more i think about it the more i see a blow out with multiple ints 
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slamspurs
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#7
Posted: 12/15/2012 10:48:56 AM

Thanks so far guys. Bryce Brown sure put up a stinker. Pair that with an AJ green TD and I'm already in a hole.

They actually counted that handoff as a fumble for Foles, which is ridiculous. I'm expecting a stat correction on that one already.

I really think my DEF needs to be my ace in the hole, so that's a big choice. I'm also considering TENN def as I think Sanchez should be good for a pick 6 on MNF.

RG3 looks like he's gonna play, so I've reinserted Morris into the lineup. I don't think I'm gonna gamble that St Louis doesn't turn to Richardson at some point.

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MANIAX
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#8
Posted: 12/15/2012 11:42:19 PM

I would go with hartline as your sleeper. No bess, so he should get plenty of targets.

 

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slamspurs
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#9
Posted: 12/17/2012 12:28:22 AM

I actually went with Freeeman at the last second

Not a big deal though cuz Peyton only got 6 more points for me. Despite the margin of victory, he didn't have a good game.

I went ahead with Dez. Unfortunately, since my first post, someone had already picked up Hartline.

Thanks to a solid performance from the rest of my team, I'm in the Championship.

I hope everyone cashed on San Fran ML. Definitely went big on that one!

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